Golf DFS Picks: 4 Potential Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleepers For 2024 Sony Open In Hawaii
The Hawaii Swing keeps swinging as PGA TOUR action continues with the first full-field event of 2024. A field of 144 players at the Sony Open in Hawaii brings appealing longshot golf odds, and the latest Underdog promo code is a $100 bonus for those interested in playing these golf DFS picks! Waialae CC in Honolulu, Hawaii, is set to host the Sony Open this Thursday.
Waialae CC has proven to be a plodder’s paradise, rewarding those who can consistently keep their drives within its narrow fairways and capitalize with mid-iron approaches between 125-200 yards. That simple formula has led to repeatable results from course horses like Matt Kuchar and Corey Conners. Still, plenty of other discounted options with similar skill sets are available in this field.
Ahead, we’ll dive into the most viable longshot options to consider for the 2024 Sony Open.
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Waialae Cc INTRODUCTION
Standing at just 7,044 yards as a par-70, Waialae CC is not a course to be overpowered with distance. Recent winners Si Woo Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Kevin Na, and Matt Kuchar continue to further a trend that rewards accurate ball-strikers, elite mid-iron players, and capable Bermuda putters.
Waialae CC features just two par-5s and the easiest par-5 scoring average on the PGA TOUR, just shifting the importance to par-4 scoring between 400-500 yards. With recent modifications to grow out this Bermuda rough even further, we should expect scoring to be kept relatively in check, with a projected winning score around 20-under par.
For a deeper dive into the course and my Underdog draft rankings, read my Sony Open preview. The Three-Putt Thursday contest for Round 1 is now open. The entry fee is $5, with $3,000 to the winner; six-person drafts with six rounds and a 30-second clock to pick.
Let’s get to our 2024 Sony Open picks, focusing on longshots and PGA TOUR golf sleepers for your DFS lineups.
FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: Sony Open
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile, then take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At The Sony Open, Driving Accuracy, mid-iron approach play, Course History, and recent form to close 2023 are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance on the importance of course history over recent form and elite ball-striking on comp courses over Bermuda, putting them as two key areas to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament.
Below, find my favorite golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2024 Sony Open. Stats were pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted. Each player is listed with the best price in Sony Open odds.
TheLines is partnering with Underdog Fantasy this season. Create a new account on the Underdog Fantasy app and sign up with promo code THELINES to get up to a $100 depsoit match on your first deposit. Underdog snake drafts include PGA TOUR contests that strip away the complexity of traditional DFS lineup-making. John’s golf picks may provide valuable sleepers for your Underdog golf drafts.Editor’s Note
Lucas Glover (, $7,600)
Underdog Round 1 Score: Higher or Lower Than 68.5 Strokes
Underdog Round 1 Birdies: Higher or Lower Than 4.0
We may have finally allowed Glover to come too far down to Earth since his world-beating stretch last summer included two wins and five top-6 finishes over a six-tournament stretch. As rational minds expected, switching to the broomstick was not a permanent cure-all for one of the worst putters on TOUR, but it has helped unlock some new optimism for a higher ceiling in 2024. This time last year, Si Woo Kim reaped the benefits of a broomstick putter change at the end of the prior season.
Elite ball striking will travel to any PGA TOUR course, but Glover can keep the ball in their fairway on comp positional tracks that’s piqued my interest. In addition to ranking No. 1 in SG: Ball Striking and SG: APP and ranks No. 3 in SG: OTT on sub-7,200 yard courses. A top-5 finisher here two years ago, Glover remains in form to contend again in 2024.
Taylor Pendrith (, $7,200)
Pendrith, a bomber, does not fit the mold of a typical target for a positional course like Waialae CC. But with that said, he seems to have mastered the art of clubbing down to navigate shorter courses. Since his first full PGA TOUR season in 2022, Pendrith has already carded eight career top-15 finishes on short and positional courses, two of which came over his last three starts at the Bermuda Championship and Shriners Open.
Ranking No. 1 in Prox: 150-175 and top-10 in both Greens in Regulation and Par-4: 450-500, Pendrith is a sneaky great fit for this course that may go overlooked despite his trending form.
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Joel Dahmen (, $6,300)
As we delve deeper down the board in this full field of 144, the expectations are not to win but to find those with a make-the-cut floor and top-20 ceiling. Despite a tumultuous 2023 season, those are still fair expectations to set for Dahmen at odds this long, given his track record on comparable short and positional courses.
Dahmen turned a corner to close his 2023 season, finishing T13 and T7 in two of his last three starts. Over his last 4 starts, Dahmen ranks top-5 in SG: OTT, a credit to his elite driving accuracy when in form. Putting has been an issue throughout Dahmen’s career, but not at Waialae, where he’s been positive on the greens in two of the last three years. With finishes of T12 and T22 at the Sony Open over that span, the course fit and course history are worth chasing in the placement market for Dahmen.
Zac Blair (, $6,200)
You play Zac Blair on Zac Blair courses, and a tight design like Waialae CC, which shifts the driving paradigm from distance to accuracy, is a very Zac Blair-friendly setup. Blair’s 2023 was not remarkable, but he’s on a fairly short list of players who recorded at least four top-15 finishes. Each came on shorter, positional layouts that reward playing from the fairway, including a season-best runner-up finish at The Travelers.
In addition to his elite driving accuracy (No. 6 in in Fairways Gained), Blair also ranks top-10 in Prox: 125-175, a very encouraging profile for Waialae CC. That fit has paid off historically for Blair as well, as he’s made the cut in each of his first five Sony Open appearances, including a pair of top-6 finishes. With some of the longest odds in this field, Blair has legitimate top-40 potential at this strong of a course fit.
Best of luck if you bet or play this golf DFS picks for The Sentry!
2024 Sony Open ODDS
Shop the odds at the best sports betting sites for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players here, including for the top 10, top 20, etc.
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