Golf DFS Picks: 4 Potential Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleepers For 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
The West Coast swing continues to march forward, with more PGA TOUR golf sleepers to uncover in Monterey, California, for the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. The 2024 season has produced nothing but longshot winners thus far, and despite the loaded field in store for this Signature Event, this short, second-shot layout should open the playing field for deeper sleepers to contend. Identifying the right sleepers is just as crucial in fantasy, so take advantage of the latest PrizePicks bonus and Underdog promo codes, including a $100 deposit match for those interested in playing these golf DFS picks!
It’s been a steady mix of both favorites and longshots to prevail at this event, and while the atmosphere of closing out a tournament at Pebble Beach has weighed heavy on longshots here in the past, it only takes a combination of hot irons and streaky Poa putting to prevail in this event, which is a skill set that many value golfers in this week’s field possess.
Let’s get to our 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
Ahead, we’ll dive into the most viable longshot options to consider for the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
PEBBLE BEACH INTRODUCTION
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am will thankfully be the last time this PGA TOUR season we’ll need to worry about handicapping across a multi-course rotation. Pebble Beach is the main attraction here, hosting three of the four rounds in this celebrity Pro-Am format, with Spyglass Hill also in rotation on Thursday or Friday.
Both courses will play under 7,200 yards but with a little more bite expected than the recent three-course Pro-Am at The American Express. A second shot pair of courses with generous fairways, there is a premium on approach play from under 150 yards, Par-4 scoring from 350-450 yards, and short game to scramble on some of the smallest Poa greens on the PGA TOUR.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.
FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: The fARMERS iNSURANCE oPEN
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile, then take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Course History, Recent Form, Driving Accuracy, and elite approach play into these small greens are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance on the importance of Proximity from inside 125 yards, Good Drives Gained, Poa Putting, and performance on comp short, second-shot courses as key areas to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament.
Below, find my favorite golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Stats were pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted. Each player is listed with the best price in AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds.
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Sahith Theegala (, $7,900)
Underdog Round 1 Options: Higher/Lower Than 70.5 Strokes
Through his first two years on the PGA TOUR, Theegala established a reputation as an erratic driver best suited for second-shot courses that accentuate his skills from fairway to green. However, he has managed to flip his weakness with the driver into a strength, as he’s gained strokes off-the-tee in each of his last eight starts. 2024 could prove to be a transcendent year for Theegala if that trend holds up, as he’s demonstrated spike upside throughout the rest of his bag.
The pride of Pepperdine University, Theegala has always been at his best in the state of California, recently picking up his first career victory at the Fortinet Championship last Fall. His prowess on Poa (No. 5 SG: P in this field) is a key factor for that repeated success on the west coast, as he averages nearly a half stroke gained per round putting on Poa greens. Expected inclement weather should further play into his strengths around the green, making Theegala one of my favorite buy-low targets on the board at Pebble Beach.
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Adam Scott (, $7,600)
Adam Scott is set to make his first return to Monterey since Big Little Lies Season 2 (ZING!). His limited resume at Pebble Beach and hiatus from the PGA TOUR in recent months have led to a price discount here, but a closer look would suggest that dip may not be justified. Though making his first PGA TOUR start since the Bermuda Championship in November 2023, Scott has kept busy on DP World Tour and carries a streak of four consecutive top-10 finishes leading in.
While still one of the longest hitters in this field, Scott has shown a knack for course management on shorter positional layouts, with top-10 finishes at the Bermuda Championship and Wyndham Championship over his last seven starts. While not known for his long-term putting, Scott has excelled on California Poa, consistently gaining at Torrey Pines and Riviera throughout his career. Top-10 overall in my model, Scott positions well as a contrarian pivot in fantasy.
Eric Cole (, $7,300)
Underdog Round 1 Options: Higher/Lower Than 70.0 Strokes
Cole is more “longshot” than “sleeper” this week, as the $7,300 price tag appears to be a glaring miss-price on DraftKings. For reference, his consensus outright odds fall around 55-1, while Sahith Theegala’s can be found around 70-1 for a $600 price premium on DraftKings. From an outright perspective, I prefer the value on Theegala’s win equity, but I’m still drawn to buying low on Cole’s price in an ideal bounce-back spot.
Torrey Pines, which demands elite driving distance and/or driving accuracy, may have been the worst possible fit for Cole’s game. So, buying low off a missed cut as we enter a second-shot wedge fest is a pretty easy sell. Cole ranks No. 6 in my model, top-10 in SG: TOT, SG: APP, and Prox <125 yards over the last 36 rounds. After a solid T15 debut at Pebble Beach in 2023, this steep price discount seems to be a major overreaction.
Cam Davis (, $6,700)
The player with the longest odds to find his way onto my outright card this week, I will continue to play Cam Davis on courses under 7,200 yards until he gives me a reason not to. Over the last 10 months, Davis has piled up an impressive six top-10 finishes on short, positional layouts. Ranking top-15 in both Prox: 100-125 and Par-4: 400-450, Davis profiles well to attack the heavy concentration of moderate scoring holes at Pebble Beach.
From a course history standpoint, Davis has steadily improved year-over-year at Pebble Beach, highlighted by a T14 finish in his latest in appearance in 2021. With a spike approach and putting upside, Davis is my favorite player to continue the trend of triple-digit odds winners in 2024.
Best of luck if you bet or play this golf DFS picks for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am!
2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-am ODDS
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