Golf DFS Picks: 4 Potential Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleepers For 2024 Farmers Insurance Open
The West Coast swing continues on, with more PGA TOUR golf sleepers to uncover in San Diego for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. The most competitive field yet in 2024, the Farmers Insurance Open brings appealing longshot golf odds, and the latest PrizePicks bonus and Underdog promo codes are a $100 deposit match for those interested in playing these golf DFS picks!
While there have certainly been more favorites than longshots who’ve gone on to win this event in recent years, a simple formula of driving distance, short game, and proven results at Torrey Pines or other comparable difficult setups have proven predictive, even for longshots buried at the bottom of the odds board or DFS pricing.
Let’s get to our 2024 Farmers Insurance Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
Ahead, we’ll dive into the most viable longshot options to consider for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open.
Torrey pINES INTRODUCTION
The Farmers Insurance Open will continue its usual place on the PGA TOUR schedule this week, rotating between the Torrey Pines North & South courses for the first two days before concluding with the final two rounds on the South Course. The South Course is the longest non-Major venue each year, standing over 7,700 yards as a par-72. Its narrow fairways, thick rough, and tricky Poa greens have combined to make a stern test for the field, rarely producing a winner beyond -15.
Torrey Pines accentuates the importance of Driving Distance and short game. The contenders over the years have shared strength in both areas in common; however, elite short-game specialists have also proven capable of overcoming their lack of distance against this 7,765-yard behemoth. With the San Diego region receiving persistent rainfall leading into this week, it appears bombers with the longest carry distance off the tee will possess an even greater advantage than in years past.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my Farmers Insurance Open preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our 2024 Farmers Insurance Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.
FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: The fARMERS iNSURANCE oPEN
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile, then take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At The Farmers Insurance Open, Course History, Recent Form, Driving Distance, and Scrambling in difficult scoring conditions are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance on the importance of Long-iron proximity, Poa putting, and performance on long & difficult comp courses to Torrey Pines as key areas to differentiate my player pool and find value for this week’s tournament.
Below, find my favorite golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open. Stats were pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted. Each player is listed with the best price in Farmers Insurance Open odds.
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Taylor Pendrith (, $7,400)
Underdog Average Draft Position: 35.4 (R1 South Course)
Merely having the ability to hit the ball far off the tee has proven to be enough for longshots with less polished all-around games than Pendrith to hang around at the Farmers Insurance Open. Look no further than players like Luke List, Joseph Bramlett, and Jhonattan Vegas as evidence of pure bombers consistently finding repeatable results at Torrey Pines.
While still chasing his first career PGA TOUR win, the 2022 Presidents Cup team member has demonstrated plenty of upside beyond just his driver, which ranks in the top 10 in this field in Driving Distance. Pendrith opened 2024 strongly with a T10 finish at the Sony Open, continuing a trend of hot form that includes six top-15s over his last 11 starts. Pendrith has paid off the course fit at The Farmers, finishing T16 in his 2022 debut.
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Michael Kim (, $7,300)
Underdog Average Draft Position: 25.0 (R1 North Course)
The graduate from Torrey Pines High School should feel at home in San Diego this week, and is plenty familiar with the nuances of California Poa greens. That makes for an interesting contrarian play for fantasy purposes, as Kim does not exactly fit this week’s consensus “bomber” trend.
Kim can overcome his average play off-the-tee with his standout recent form and track record on Poa greens, which have proven to play to the advantage of California natives. Fresh off a T6 showing at The American Express, Kim continues to extend a hot streak, which includes six consecutive top-40 finishes dating back to the Wyndham Championship. An improved putter has been the story for Kim’s recent hot streak, and there’s reason to believe that should continue into Torrey Pines, as Kim ranks top-15 in SG: Putting on Poa greens.
Sam Stevens (, $7,000)
Underdog Average Draft Position: 33.7 (R1 North Course)
A staple in my longshots articles in 2023, Stevens continues to reside towards the bottom of the odds board regardless of his recent form or course fit. This week, Stevens is available beyond 200-1 odds despite being in contention to win the Sony Open two starts ago.
At his best, Stevens is a standout ball striker with elite distance (top 30 in Driving Distance) and great touch around the greens (No. 3 SG: ARG). After impressing in his rookie season with two top-3 finishes, Stevens is in even better form now than he was leading into his T13 finish in his 2023 Farmers Insurance Open debut.
Charley Hoffman (, $6,500)
Underdog Average Draft Position: 35.9 (R1 South Course)
At this point in a 2024 PGA TOUR season that has produced winners of Chris Kirk, Grayson Murray, and Nick Dunlap, it would be irresponsible of me to write a Longshots article and not feature a player beyond 300-1 odds who has some potential win equity. Enter San Diego native and lifelong lover of Torrey Pines, Charley Hoffman.
A very hit-or-miss type of player, Hoffman carries a ceiling few others priced around him can compare to from both a course history and recent form standpoint. At Torrey Pines, he’s made it through the cut in seven of his last 10 appearances, with a pair of top-10s over that span, most recently in 2020. His form in 2024 is better now than it has been in each of the last five years in the weeks leading up to The Farmers, with two top-15 finishes over his last 10 starts. Still a long hitter with heaps of long-term success putting on Poa greens, Hoffman stands as an excellent placement value in the top-20 or top-40 markets.
Best of luck if you bet or play this golf DFS picks for the Farmers Insurance Open!
2024 Farmers Insurance Open ODDS
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