Golf Major DFS Picks: 4 Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleepers For 2024 PGA Championship

The PGA Championship content keeps on flowing in with 2024 PGA Championship sleepers! Of the four Majors, its this event, for whatever reason, that has produced the most surprises. Whether it be Michael Block’s sudden emergence at Oak Hill last year, or Phil Mickelson’s unfathomable conquest of Kiawah Island in 2021, you never quite know what you’re going to get out of the PGA Championship. As such, that opens the door for longshot golf DFS picks.

While Valhalla has been slain by prohibitive favorites Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy in their primes in its last two iterations as host of the PGA Championship, this course is still ripe for the taking for several longshot contenders who possess the key pre-requisite profile of driving distance and well-rounded scoring in difficult conditions.

So, with some help from Underdog Fantasy, let’s get to our 2024 PGA Championship longshots and sleepers for your Fantasy lineups and betting cards. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. 

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP Golf DFS Picks, Drafts On Underdog

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Valhalla Golf Club: COURSE INTRODUCTION

Valhalla delivers what you might expect from a modern-day Major venue. Extreme length (7,609 yards), grown out rough, and ample hazards surrounding the fairway landing areas and greens to penalize imperfect ball-striking.

Although many measures have been taken since 2014 to make the course play firmer, and ultimately bring those lateral hazards even more into play, Mother Nature has unfortunately not been very cooperative. A heavy week of rain in Louisville is likely to produce very soft conditions come tournament week, which will heighten the advantage for the longest hitters, and ultimately produce more scorable conditions relative to other recent PGA Championships played in firmer conditions.

For a deeper dive into the course, read my PGA Championship preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our PGA Championship picks, with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your Fantasy lineups.

FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: pga CHAMPIONSHIP

To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the PGA Championship, Recent Form, performance in recent Majors, and Driving Distance are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.

From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance primarily on the importance of Comp Course History to differentiate my player pool, and find value for this week’s tournament. While we haven’t seen Valhalla since 2014, there are several examples of comp courses that require similar skillsets in similar conditions that may be more indicative of success this week that standard recent form may reflect.

Below, find my favorite value PGA golf DFS picks and longshots for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

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Byeong Hun An ()

From a betting perspective, sportsbooks seem to be baiting bettors to take their pick after Scheffler, McIlroy, and Koepka, as you’ll find household names like Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Dustin Johnson all around 80-1 odds. Call me crazy, but I’m comfortable looking past all of those names in favor of…Byeong Hun An.

Quail Hollow is an ideal litmus test for the challenge to come at Valhalla, with its similar scorecard yardage and emphasis on driving distance and scrambling from moderate rough into fast greens. An showed no signs of stopping his great 2024 form at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, finishing in solo third behind a surging Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele. That marked An’s fifth top-10 finish of 2024, and his third top-10 in a Signature Event this year, proving he’s capable of hanging around with the best players in the world.

I’m also looking very closely at past performance at Muirfield Village as another comparable Jack Nicklaus-designed course, so An’s resume of four top-25 finishes at the Memorial since 2017 is an encouraging sign leading into this week.

Akshay Bhatia ()

The 22-year-old phenom continues to turn heads on TOUR, most recently blitzing the field at in his Valero Texas Open win, shooting 20-under-par in what proved to be very difficult scoring conditions for the other mere mortals in the field that week. Bhatia has all the raw skills to be a transcendent ball-striker for decades to come, and continues to polish the rest of his game as each week goes on.

Once a liability on the greens, Akshay has gotten into a nice groove with his new belly putter, gaining strokes putting in each of his last six starts. That newfound skillset on the greens has quickly transformed Bhatia into one of the most well-rounded players in this field, as he is one of only seven players to rank above average in SG: OTT, SG: APP, SG: ARG, and SG: P over the last 36 rounds. His game is still a little too raw for me to pull the trigger on an outright bet, but Bhatia remains one of my favorite boom-potential value plays in Fantasy this week.

Taylor Moore ()

Quietly becoming one of the most underratedly consistent players on the PGA TOUR, Taylor Moore has just one missed cut over 13 starts this season, with the one exception coming in the Zurich Classic team event. With above-average driving distance and positive average metrics across all four strokes gained categories for the season, it’s clear to see how he’s been able to sustain such a consistent level of play for so long.

That strong all-around profile finally manifested in his first top-20 finish at a Major at The Masters this season, where he once again gained strokes across all four strokes gained categories. The 2023 Valspar Champion has put himself in contention often with 11 top-15 finishes since last January. While his ceiling is more tempered than his top-60 OGWR status might suggest, he’s a great high-floor option in Underdog Fantasy drafts, and is a name I’m circling in the top-40 prop market this week.

Rickie Fowler ()

Not to say I’m chasing course history from a decade ago, but, Fowler is in select company as far as players in this field who have positive memories at Valhalla to draw from, as he finished T3 in the PGA Championship’s last trip to this venue in 2014. To put it kindly, Fowler has been mediocre on the PGA TOUR since conceding the Ryder Cup to Tommy Fleetwood in Rome last September. With that said, he showed an encouraging April, and a T30 at The Masters and T18 at the RBC Heritage are enough to draw me back in at his outright price this week.

From a comp course standpoint, Fowler’s resume at Quail Hollow and Muirfield Village is second to none in this field, as he has a total of 13 top-15 finishes between these two courses over the course of his career, two of which coming last season. With so many poetic underdog stories manifesting at the PGA Championship in recent years, Valhalla seems like an appropriate stage for Fowler to realize his career long quest for his first Major.

Patrick Reed ()

I shamelessly touted Patrick Reed as a great value play at The Masters, particularly from a leverage perspective in Fantasy formats. Despite what the numbers and course history said, the masses simply do not want to have to root for Patrick Reed, but he once again paid off his price with another T12 showing.

If savvy Fantasy players were reluctant to play Reed at Augusta, you can slash his ownership in half at any other Major championship the rest of the season. But is that justified? Despite a lack of driving distance, Reed’s resume shows a continued pattern of elevated play on long and difficult courses that emphasize reliable short game. That resume includes wins at comp courses like Bethpage Black and Torrey Pines, and six additional top-10s between Quail Hollow and Muirfield Village.

Reed has made the cut in 17 of his last 18 Major starts, with 10 top-20s over that span. Although he won’t fit the “bomber” narrative on a long and soft layout at Valhalla, that’s never stopped him before from contending in these conditions. He even made it through the cut in his 2014 PGA Championship debut at this very site!

Best of luck if you choose to roster these PGA Championship Fantasy picks!

2024 PGA Championship ODDS

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