Charles Schwab Challenge Golf DFS Picks: Underdog Cheat Sheet, 4 Potential Sleepers
The PGA TOUR makes its last stand in Texas for the 2024 season, heading back to Fort Worth for the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club. Last week’s PGA TOUR golf DFS picks article identified a pair of top-30 finishers from the value range in Taylor Moore and Dean Burmester. We’ll look to keep that momentum going into this week.
This event has been kind to longshots. Four of the last five winners opened beyond 60-1 in PGA TOUR odds. A simple formula of hot irons and putting has proven repeatable at this venue. That opens the door for a wider list of competitors to contend. We’ll look to dig for some diamonds in the rough in this article ahead of the 2024 Charles Schwab.
Underdog Golf Fantasy Draft Cheat Sheet
TheLines is partnering with Underdog Fantasy this season. Create a new account on the Underdog Fantasy app and sign up with promo code THELINES to get up to a $100 deposit match on your first deposit.
Charles Schwab Challenge Underdog Fantasy Draft Tiers
Underdog snake drafts include Charles Schwab Challenge contests that strip away the complexity of traditional DFS lineup-making. John’s golf picks may provide valuable sleepers for your Underdog golf drafts.
Tier 1
Scottie Scheffler
Collin Morikawa
Jordan Spieth
Max Homa
Tier 2
Si Woo Kim
Tony Finau
Tom Kim
Chris Kirk
Harris English
Tier 3
Maverick McNealy
Tom Hoge
Sepp Straka
Akshay Bhatia
Keegan Bradley
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Tier 4
Andrew Putnam
Taylor Moore
Lee Hodges
Doug Ghim
Daniel Berger
Austin Eckroat
Andrew Novak
Tier 5
Chan Kim
Charley Hoffman
Ben Martin
FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: Charles Schwab Challenge
To identify “value” any given week on the PGA TOUR, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the Charles Schwab Challenge, Recent Form, Course History, and Driving Accuracy are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.
From a golf DFS picks perspective, I will take a stance primarily on the importance of Comp Course History to differentiate my player pool, and find value for this week’s tournament. While Course History is factored into odds this week, a drastic course renovation by Gil Hanse should create a brand new look and feel for Colonial CC, which opens up the playing field for players who suit the course but haven’t quite delivered yet historically.
Below, find my favorite value PGA golf Fantasy picks and longshots for the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.
- Join TheLines free golf betting Discord channel with more than 4,300 community members discussing sports betting 24-7-365.
Colonial Country Club Course Specs
For a deeper dive into the course, read my Charles Schwab Challenge preview.
Keegan Bradley
| Underdog Round 1 Higher or Lower |
| 70.5 Strokes |
| 3.0 Birdies or Better |
| 3.5 Bogeys or Worse |
| 20.25 Fantasy Points |
| 9.5 Cumulative Par-5 Strokes |
A proven long-term ball-striker who gains in both distance and accuracy off-the-tee and enters in above-average form with promising improvements on the greens…it’s easy to see the parallels between Keegan Bradley and 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge winner Emiliano Grillo. While Keegan hasn’t necessarily gotten into contention as often as we’d expect him to in 2024, he’s still quietly pieced together a very good start to his season with five top-25s over his first 12 starts.
Keegan has only played the Charles Schwab Challenge twice before, and he’s been selective about his schedule thus far in 2024, so it’s fair to assume he’s intrigued by Gil Hanse’s handiwork. The 2011 PGA Champion has a much more decorated resume on challenging scoring venues than those priced around him, and a T7 at Brookline in 2022 is proof that he can navigate a Hanse restoration project. Fresh off a T18 at Valhalla last week, I like the fit for Keegan at Colonial at this price.
Taylor Moore
My favorite value play in Fantasy and Pool formats last week, I see no reason to hop off of Taylor Moore following his T12 finish at the PGA Championship, as the new and improved conditions at Colonial should continue to suit his fit for difficult scoring conditions. Moore is one of just 15 players in the field this week to rank above average across the four main strokes gained categories over the last 36 rounds, a profile which tends to lend itself best for difficult scoring venues like Colonial where bogey avoidance is rewarded.
Moore continues to show a heightened baseline in his game, as he’s finished top-40 in six of his last seven starts excluding the Zurich Classic team event. A winner at the 2023 Valspar Championship, he’ll look to join in Sam Burns’ footsteps as players to win at both comp courses.
Join TheLines free golf betting Discord channel with more than 4,300 community members discussing sports betting 24-7-365.
Lee Hodges
Another under-the-radar trendy pick I love this week for late Underdog Fantasy draft rounds is Lee Hodges, who has looked fantastic in difficult scoring conditions to start this season. Hodges has impressively delivered top-25 finishes at the Genesis Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational, Wells Fargo Championship, and PGA Championship this season. He comes in hot in his return from Louisville where he finished T12 and ranked No. 2 for the week in SG: Approach.
Through his first two years on TOUR, Hodges has shown to be a consistent ball striker with plus-distance, streaky irons, and an incredibly volatile putter. Not to say he’s completely resolved the putting issues at this stage of the season, but Hodges has looked considerably better of late on the greens, gaining strokes putting in six of his last eight starts. Making his third career Charles Schwab Challenge start this week, he’s shown an early liking for the course with back-to-back top-35 finishes.
Chan Kim
After a long and fruitful career on the Japan Tour, Chan Kim has acclimated quickly to golf in the U.S. An 8-time winner in Japan from 2017-2022, Kim put that win equity on full display in his Korn Ferry Tour rookie season, winning twice to earn a call up to the big leagues in 2024. Though still chasing his first PGA TOUR win, Kim has proven he belongs on this stage, with four top-15 finishes already this season.
While he’s left more to be desired on the greens, it’s encouraging to see how consistently he’s played from tee to green, as he ranks top-30 in SG: APP and Bogey Avoidance leading into this week. He’s proven to acclimate well to golf in Texas, with a T14 finish at the Valero Texas Open in April. Spiking for over 2 strokes gained from tee-to-green in each of his last five starts, Kim has a legitimate top-20 upside on a course that suits his skillsets well.
Shop the best odds at sports betting sites for PGA TOUR sleepers and more highly-touted players before betting, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Best of luck if you choose to bet on these golf DFS picks!
Golf DFS PLAYER POOL
With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.
RELATED ARTICLES
