2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: The Sentry Final Thoughts, Betting Card

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Written By John Haslbauer | Last Updated
golf bets

PGA TOUR golf is finally back after a month-long break. The Sentry begins Thursday in Maui, Hawaii at The Plantation Course at Kapalua. Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, and Max Homa are the favorites among golf bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite The Sentry picks among all the golf odds offered this week. Below, you’ll find the best odds across sports betting sites on each player.

Aloha to a new year of golf betting and PGA TOUR action! 2024 kicks off with a revamped version of The Sentry, now featuring the largest field in tournament history, 59 players.

The Sentry has been rendered defenseless over the last two years with wet and calm conditions leading to winning scores of -27 and -34. This year, we should see a more imposing forecast, with drier and windier conditions set to challenge the field. I expect to see a winning score around -24, and a greater emphasis on short game. Players who excel in Driving Distance, Par-5 Scoring, short game around Bermuda greens, and have proven past results at Kapalua are best situated to contend at Kapalua.

Ahead, we’ll go through all the bets I’ve placed for the The Sentry in 2024.

Click on any of the The Sentry odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state.

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PGA TOUR GOLF BETS: the sentry OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

For PGA TOUR DFS picks and longshot bet considerations, check out my golf sleepers for The Sentry.

Patrick Cantlay

My Bet: +1700
Best Available Odds:

As we head into the first event of the new year, Patrick Cantlay falls No. 3 on my power rankings at The Sentry behind only Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland. The odds imply a different story, so I’m starting my card with Cantlay as a value bet. Course History is important at Kapalua, and Cantlay has proven he can hang in contention regardless of the playing conditions with a pair of top-4 finishes over his last four appearances.

Despite not winning an event in 2023, Cantlay gave himself plenty of opportunities, finishing top-5 in 38% of his starts last season. A win at the comparable Caves Valley GC and encouraging T2G showing at The Masters last season only further the case for Cantlay to knock down the door in his first start of the new year.

Matt Fitzpatrick

My Bet: +3000
Best Available Odds:

My spotlight featured player this week, there’s a lot working in Fitzpatrick’s favor at odds that remain longer than I would have expected. He paid off the course profile fit in his 2023 debut with an impressive T7 showing, always encouraging on a course that has historically taken a year or two for newcomers to acclimate to.

Fitzpatrick’s strengths are in his Driving Distance, short game, and Bermuda putting, which all bode well for the task at hand in Maui. Three starts removed from a win at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, I have high expectations for Fitzpatrick in 2024.

Cameron Young

My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:

Some players need a clean slate to reset in the new year, and Young is one of them. The Paul Tesori experiment was a failure in 2023, as Cameron Young fell short of a Ryder Cup selection and remains the most talented golfer in the world without a professional win.

Despite the question marks about his game, his odds have simply drifted too far in this limited field, given his ball-striking talent. I expect Young to come out motivated as he continues to chase his elusive first win, and feel encouraged by the improvement we saw with his putter at the close of 2023.

Cam Davis

My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:

Davis is a popular longshot bet this week, and with good reason. He’ll benefit from playing on the widest fairways on the PGA TOUR, being a long yet erratic driver. He showed promise in his 2022 debut at The Sentry, finishing T10 and gaining across all four strokes gained categories. And despite a one month break, Davis still turned a corner with his form to close the year, finishing T12 in seven of his last nine starts.

The Sentry FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)

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Sungjae Im

My Bet: +3000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

I’ll always have interest in Sungjae at The Sentry, considering he has finished T5, T8, and T13 over his first three appearances. Sungjae is always a threat to go low on easy Bermuda venues, and enters the new year in very solid form.

Cam Davis

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

Cam Davis is a bona fide birdie-maker, and continues to stand out with under-valued odds across all betting markets. He’s a volatile player, but that volatility mostly comes from his driver, which will be mitigated by these massive fairways.

Erik van Rooyen

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

A long hitter with trending irons and the ability to get hot with the putter coming off of a victory in his last PGA TOUR start. There’s a lot to like about van Rooyen at these odds in a limited field!

The Sentry PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Sungjae Im > Tyrrell Hatton

My Bet: -110

I avoided the matchups market entirely in 2023, but with a fresh beginning in 2024, I’ve set out to play my one favorite matchup bet at -120 odds or better each week, keeping a rolling tally throughout the year to track my matchup record.

Starting first, we have toss up odds between Sungjae Im and Tyrrell Hatton. If I’m going to take one stance this week, it’s going to be the value of proven course history over recent form. There’s a lot of mystery behind how each TOUR player spends their time in the off-season, but past results at The Sentry are a good indicator of those who come ready to hit the ground running in January, and those who do not.

With that, give me the player who has never finished worse than T13 over the debutant, especially considering both displayed comparable form to close 2023.

Top-10 Finish: Matt Fitzpatrick

My Bet: +220
Best Available Odds:

Fitzpatrick is the type of player who has his sticky courses, and tends not to surprise you on set ups that reward his strengths of driving distance, short game, and Bermuda putting. He accomplished a top-10 in his only prior trip to Kapalua, so I’m comfortable going back to the well beyond 2-1 odds.

Top-10 Finish: Cam Davis

My Bet: +425
Best Available Odds:

Across the board, I am higher on Cam Davis than the market is, so I’ll continue to exploit that value. Seven top-12 finishes over his last nine full-field events is hard to dismiss, and Davis has already proven capable of finishing top-10 at this event before in lesser form.

THE Sentry: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own The Sentry bets, and see you next Sunday for the Sony Open preview. For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.

The Sentry ODDS

Compare odds before making your PGA TOUR golf bets this week by using the table below. Click the odds to bet now.

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