Euro 2024 Betting Odds: Will Mbappé Or Harry Kane Win Golden Boot?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Golden Boot odds

Euro 2024 odds are now available, and there’s no better time to examine who will take home the Golden Boot, awarded to the tournament’s top goalscorer. The best sports betting sites project Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane to have the best crack at winning, but others are worth monitoring. Let’s break down the Golden Boot odds board, beginning with the betting favorites.

Click on any odds below to place a wager. These prices are the best available in your state.

Euro 2024 odds: betting on Golden Boot

Sometimes, betting markets are difficult to understand, especially when an elite team or player isn’t getting enough “respect” per the odds and implied probability. However, the Golden Boot doesn’t fall under that umbrella.

Given that France and England have the best chance to win the tournament, Mbappé and Kane have the shortest Golden Boot odds.

Kylian Mbappé:

  • Age: 25
  • Country: France
  • Club Team: Paris Saint-Germain (Real Madrid next season)
  • Position: Forward

Mbappé has taken a slight pay cut to sign with Real Madrid this summer. At 25 years old, Mbappé is already Paris Saint-Germain’s (PSG) all-time leading scorer. He became the record holder at only 24.

Additionally, Mbappé strung together 191 goals in 246 matches in Ligue 1, scoring over three-quarters of the time. He even tallied nine goals in eight matches at the 2023-24 Euro Qualifiers. Considering Mbappé won the Golden Boot at the 2022 World Cup, betting against him is difficult. But do his +400 Golden Boot odds provide enough betting value with a 16.7% implied probability? It’s unlikely.

Harry Kane:

  • Age: 30
  • Country: England
  • Club Team: Bayern Munich
  • Position: Forward

Will Harry Kane and England finally celebrate a major international championship? Bookmakers give The Three Lions the best chance to win with odds.

Like Mbappé, Kane is an elite goalscorer. In the 2023-24 Bundesliga season, England’s captain cashed in on 36 goals in 32 matches. He also found the net in eight of his 12 outings on the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League slate. Hence, his price point is a bit more appealing than Mbappé’s. For those who buy into the notion that England advances farther than France, Kane’s Golden Boot odds are also a better path than wagering on the team itself.

Cristiano Ronaldo:

  • Age: 39
  • Country: Portugal
  • Club Team: Al-Nassr FC
  • Position: Forward

The world’s highest-paid athlete, with $260 million in total earnings, has succeeded in the Saudi Pro League — even at 39 years old. He fired off 33 goals in 30 matches in Saudi Arabia amid the 2023-24 campaign. With Portugal, Ronaldo hasn’t faded from the headlines. In 2023-24, he compiled 10 goals and tacked on two assists in nine matches during the Euro Qualifiers.

While the market has Mbappé and Kane ahead of the aging Ronaldo, his Golden Boot odds aren’t necessarily justified. Portugal presents its fair share of scoring threats up front, including Rafael Leao and Jaoa Felix. If you’re interested in a longshot, both are .

House Rules For Golden Boot Odds

Top Goalscorer

If your sportsbook is listing Golden Boot like this, and the player you bet on finishes in a tie for the most goals, dead-heat rules are likely to apply. For example, if you bet Mbappé +500 in a Top Goalscorer market and he finishes tied with one other player for most goals, both players’ odds get paid out at half. Therefore, your Mbappé +500 bet pays out at +250.

This is the case whether your player wins the tiebreaker for the Golden Boot trophy or not.

Golden Boot Tiebreakers

If your sportsbook is listing the most goals market as ‘To Win Golden Boot’, then you are literally betting on which player receives the Golden Boot trophy. In this case, it will be important to know the tiebreakers before betting just in case more than one player finishes with the most goals in the tournament.

The Golden Boot tiebreaker goes to the player who has contributed the most assists. If this isn’t enough to break the tie, the least minutes played determines the award.

Strategy for Golden Boot Odds

You cannot properly bet on this market without first understanding the tournament’s format. After the Group Stage, 16 teams will enter the Euro 2024 Knockout Stage bracket. But where each team is slotted is what is most important to maximize your Golden Boot bet’s chances of reaching the final and playing the maximum number of games. Our bracket post will help you navigate those scenarios.

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