Copa America Golden Boot Odds: New Favorite With Messi Stuck On Zero Goals

Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Golden Boot Odds

With Copa America 2024 odds available at the best sports betting sites, sportsbook users can also bet Golden Boot odds, awarded to the top goalscorer. After opening as the pre-tournament favorite, Argentinian star Lionel Messi has fallen way down the odds board. He has not scored in the tournament. A new favorite has emerged, as the four semifinalists have two games left to win the Golden Boot. Remember, goals in the third-place match still count towards the award.

Click on any odds below to place a wager. These prices are the best available in your state.

Copa America Golden Boot Table Among Teams Still Playing

Here are the players from the four semifinal teams that have at least two goals. Each of these teams will play two more games no matter what, as there is both a Final and Third-Place Match.

Lautaro MartínezArgentina40
Daniel MuñozColombia21
Darwin NunezUruguay20
Luis DíazColombia20
Maximiliano AraújoUruguay21
Jhon CórdobaColombia21

Copa America 2024 Golden Boot Odds Analysis

Attempting to defend his 2021 Golden Boot title, Messi has yet to score in this Copa America tournament. He finished tied for the leading goalscorer but inching past Barcelona’s Luis Diaz because of his five assists.

As of this publishing, Messi’s Golden Boot odds are as high as after showcasing +350 pre-tournament odds.

With 13 career goals at Copa America, Messi is four away from etching himself in as the top goalscorer in the competition’s history, tying his countrymate Norberto Mendez and Brazilian legend Zizinho.

Additionally, Messi’s role as Argentina’s locked-in penalty taker certainly may aid his chances of winning the Golden Boot. Angel Di Maria, Nico Gonzalez, Enzo Fernandez, and the rest of this resourceful lineup will feed him plenty of scoring chances. Their group draw, featuring Peru, Chile, and Canada, all of which have subpar defenses, contribute to this notion.

Therefore, Messi and Argentina might not be tested with a clear-cut quality opponent until the final.

Who’s Challenging Messi?

Darwin Nunez () delivered a subpar season with Liverpool, but it’s worth noting Nunez’s familiarity with Uruguay’s extremely high-intensity manner under Marcelo Bielsa.

In addition to his lone goal in the competition on June 23, he compiled a goal in four straight matches against Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Bolivia, which are also in their Copa America group. His pre-tournament odds were +600.

Nevertheless, Nunez is trailing Messi’s teammate, Lautaro Martínez, on the Golden Boot odds board. His current price tag is notably shorter than his pre-tournament odds of +800. It reflects his standout showing thus far, tallying a pair of goals in Argentina’s two victories.

Their club remains the favorite to win Copa America 2024 at .

House Rules For Golden Boot Odds

Top Goalscorer

If your sportsbook lists Golden Boot like this, and the player you bet on finishes in a tie for the most goals, dead-heat rules are likely to apply. Let’s say you bet on Messi’s pre-tournament odds of +330 in a Top Goalscorer market, and he finishes tied with one other player for most goals. Both players’ odds get paid out at half. Therefore, your Messi +330 wager pays out at +165.

This is the case whether your player wins the tiebreaker for the Golden Boot trophy or not.

Golden Boot Tiebreakers

If your sportsbook lists the most goals in the market as “To Win Golden Boot,” you are betting on which player receives the Golden Boot trophy. Knowing the tiebreakers before betting will be important if more than one player finishes with the most goals in the tournament.

As noted, the Golden Boot tiebreaker goes to the player who has contributed the most assists. If this isn’t enough to break the tie, the least minutes played determines the award.

Strategy for Copa America 2024

You cannot properly bet on this market without understanding the tournament’s format. The 16 teams will be divided into four groups of four teams each. The top two teams from each group will progress to the quarter-finals, followed by the semi-finals to determine the finalists. Additionally, there will be a third-place playoff.

However, where each team is slotted is most important to maximize your Golden Boot bet’s chances of reaching the final and playing the maximum number of games. Our bracket post will help you navigate those scenarios.

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