PGA TOUR Betting Cards: 2024 Genesis Scottish Open, ISCO Championship Bets & OAD
The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues with two tournaments this week. The Renaissance Club hosts the Genesis Scottish Open in North Berwick, Scotland, beginning Thursday. Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Collin Morikawa headline Genesis Scottish Open bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. He also shares his bets for the ISCO Championship in Lexington, KY. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.
It’s the kickoff to the UK Swing in the United Kingdom and near … the University of Kentucky. The PGA TOUR crosses the pond to take us to Scotland for the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club, with the secondary ISCO Championship back stateside in Lexington. As a bonus, I’ll also run through my golf betting strategy for the ISCO and Scottish Open.
If you’d like a full breakdown of the tournament and course before placing Scottish Open bets, visit my golf preview.
Best ISCO Championship Golf Odds
Click here for Scottish Open odds to jump to the bottom of this post and compare prices across sportsbooks.
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HOW I BUILT MY ISCO ChampionshiP & Genesis Scottish Open Bets
The field includes 75 of the top players from the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour. Although it lacks the depth of an average PGA TOUR event, it compensates for it with plenty of star power.
European links golf is the most difficult type of golf to confidently handicap with data. Whether it be the absence of ShotLink data, unpredictable weather splits, new faces from the DP World Tour, or completely different style of play required compared to traditional United States golf, anything can happen in Scotland.
That said, there is a significant disparity in talent between the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour players in this field. So, I’ve opted to concentrate my betting exposure on the best PGA TOUR players with proven results in links conditions.
In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly PGA TOUR exposure, with a bonus outright card for the opposite field event at the ISCO Championship:
- Outrights (ISCO) – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- Outrights (Scottish) – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
- FRL (Scottish) – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
- Full Tournament Matchups (Scottish) – 1U in to pay out 2U
- Props (Scottish) – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each
isco championship BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)
The ISCO Championship, held at Keene Trace Golf Club in Kentucky, is statistically the easiest golf course on the PGA TOUR. Formerly known as the Barbasol Championship, it offers little to no resistance from tee to green. It is your quintessential putting contest, requiring a score well beyond 20-under par to win. Bombers like Vincent Norrman, Trey Mullinax, Seamus Power, and Greyson Murray capitalized on a driver-heavy approach here in their recent victories, with little penalty for drives that miss the fairway.
Two recent college students with a total of four good starts on the PGA TOUR between them headline this event at sub-20-1 odds. That should tell you all you need to know about the fortitude of this field running opposite the Genesis Scottish Open, so I did not want to dignify this event with any excessive time spent on a preview. I did, however, run a simplistic model of Birdies or Better Gained, Recent Form (L16), Driving Distance, SG: APP, and SG: Putting (Bermuda) to inform my outright bets.
The same simplistic approach led to an outright winner in Vincent Norrman this time last year, so we’ll look to chase a repeat in 2024 with one of these seven outright plays below, each fully capable of going low in easy scoring conditions.
JJ Spaun
My Bet: +3300
Best Available Odds:
Most players displaying any semblance of form at the moment are overseas in the field of 156 out in North Berwick. Spaun is a rare exception in the ISCO Championship field, as the 2022 Valero Texas Open champ has put on his best Davis Thompson impression, trending with a T10 and T23 over his last two starts in similar birdie fest conditions. It’s not saying much, but I trust a veteran like Spaun more than I trust Clanton and Thorbjornsen to win at half this number.
Golf Profit Boosts: All users get a 30% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. BetMGM is also offering a 25% odds boost for PGA TOUR betting.
Hayden Springer
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:
Another player who’s proven to be at his best in easy, birdie-fest conditions, Springer has emerged as one of the best drivers in his rookie class. He ranks top-20 in driving distance and has thrived on comparable courses that allow players to attack aggressively off-the-tee. He fits the mold of in-form bombers perfectly and is well-equipped to channel that same game plan that rewarded past winners like Vincent Norrman, Trey Mullinax, and Grayson Murray before him.
Dylan Wu
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:
Bombers have dominated this event historically, but each year seems to bring its fair share of accurate approach marksmen in contention too. Wu ranks top-10 in the field in terms of SG: Approach leading into this week, and has a good track record on easier set ups.
Rico Hoey
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:
Yet another in-form bomber, this is actually a good price on Hoey, who not only fits the archetype for Keene Trace but has also displayed encouraging form in recent weeks. Hoey is top-5 in Driving Distance, and has finished T26 and T6 over his last two starts in comparable easy scoring conditions.
Joseph Bramlett
My Bet: +6500
Best Available Odds:
It’s been a quiet 2024 season for Bramlett, but while still searching for his first career win, this set up should cater well to his skillsets of driving distance and consistent ball striking. He’s already proven to fit the course well, finishing T11 in his only prior appearance at this event.
Alejandro Tosti
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:
Dare I bring up the Presidents Cup narrative? Just kidding. Tosti is about as likely to make the Presidents Cup team after a win this week as Norrman would have been to make the Ryder Cup team after his win in this event last year. Even still, Tosti is a boom-or-bust bomber with great upside, flashing his potential with a T2 finish at the Texas Children’s Houston Open earlier this season.
Greyson Sigg
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:
In addition to the trend of in-form bombers dominating at this event, there’s also something to be said about natives to this part of the country feeling comfortable playing on familiar Bermuda greens. Trey Mullinax and Grayson Murray credited their local ties to the Kentucky area after their wins, and Sigg would make sense to follow suit. The Augusta native has played his best golf in this part of the country, with season-best T8 finishes at the RSM Classic and Zurich Classic.
Genesis Scottish open BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)
Xander Schauffele
My Bet: +900
Best Available Odds:
With Scottie Scheffler out of the picture and Rory McIlroy carrying an extraordinary burden of media obligations in his title defense after a sustained hiatus post-Pinehurst collapse, Xander is the man to beat in my eyes.
Those media obligations may have deterred him last year when returning for his 2022 title defense, but seemingly any other course in the world, The Renaissance Club, suits Xander’s game well. If not for Scottie’s historical 2024 season, we would be marveling at the consistency Xander has brought week-to-week, with 12 consecutive top-25 finishes dating back to January.
Links golf is not for everyone, so I’m comfortable siding with a player who has proven he can get it done at this course before, with elite strokes gained metrics across all key categories.
Golf Profit Boosts: All users get a 50% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. Caesars is also offering a 50% odds boost for PGA TOUR betting.
Wyndham Clark
My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:
I’ve gone back to Wyndham Clark more than I probably should in the outright market this season, but the World No. 4 continues to tease his elite ceiling every so often. After looking lost for the last two months, a T7 in his latest start at The Travelers is an encouraging sign that Clark’s form is not far from him. The Renaissance Club has proven to reward bombers with reliable short games, and he should be able to channel a similar driver-heavy approach that rewarded him at Los Angeles Country Club.
Thomas Detry
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
My featured spotlight player this week, Thomas Detry’s game, represents everything I’m looking for in a value contender this week. He’s proven to suit this course well already, with a pair of top-15 finishes at this event. He fits the profile I’m looking for as an in-form bomber with a reliable short game, and he’s stepped up in big moments recently, with top-20 finishes in each of his first two starts in Majors this season.
Matt Wallace
My Bet: +12500
Best Available Odds:
Matt Wallace was a very late addition to my outright card. After diving into my longshots research, Wallace continued to check every box I was searching for in value contenders this week, to the point where I couldn’t talk myself out of it anymore. It doesn’t take much to add a 125-1 outright wager to the card, but Wallace suits exactly what I’m looking for between his fit for long courses with generous landing areas, proven performance in coastal, windy setups, and encouraging recent form with three top-20s over his last six starts.
Genesis Scottish open BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)
Wyndham Clark
My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:
Clark’s boom-or-bust nature makes him a perfect candidate in the FRL market any given week. It’s that birdie-making ceiling that ultimately earned him his AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am victory earlier this season, suddenly surging for a -10 round on moving day. It would not surprise me to see Clark flirt with the course record on a course that suits him so well.
Aaron Rai
My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:
The former Scottish Open champ is trending at the right time leading up to this event, and with a loaded field in store this week, we still get to take advantage of a pretty value here. Rai will live out of the fairways at The Renaissance Club, and his trending irons and putting are an ideal formula to go low here.
Thomas Detry
My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:
The case is clear for Detry’s fit at The Renaissance Club, so if he doesn’t pay off in the outright market, it may simply be due to nerves over the weekend. I’ll take some FRL insurance here on the Belgian Bomber who continues to show great form and a solid fit for what this course demands.
Erik van Rooyen
My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:
I couldn’t quite fit van Rooyen on my outright card because I’m not convinced he can go toe-to-toe against an elite field and win. But, he’s proven to be at his best on slow greens in coastal set ups, picking up his most recent win at the World Wide Technology Championship.
Ewen Ferguson
My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:
It wouldn’t be a Scottish Open card without a local Scot on it. The 28-year-old is riding a high entering this homecoming, fresh off a win on the DP World Tour last week. He finished T12 here last year and has the spike approach upside necessary to go low at The Renaissance Club.
Genesis Scottish open BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)
Full Tournament Matchup: Sahith Theegala > Ryan Fox
My Bet: -120
There hasn’t been a ton of steam behind Theegala this week, and I’m not entirely sure why. While it’s been an up-and-down season for the Pepperdine standout, it’s clear to look at his game and see a picture-perfect fit for Links golf. Theegala has all the shots in his bag to combat unpredictable weather conditions and is in fine form with a pair of T12 finishes over his last five starts. While he didn’t quite make it onto my outright card this week, I’ll be closely monitoring his performance this week, ready to place a future bet with Royal Troon up next.
On the other hand, Ryan Fox continues to be a volatile player I am comfortable betting against in the matchup market. Any sensible golf fan would agree that Sahith Theegala is a better and more complete golfer than Ryan Fox, so I’ll take on a little extra juice for this head-to-head matchup.
Top-20 Finish: Thomas Detry
My Bet: +250
Best Available Odds:
It’s a clean sweep for Detry on my betting card this week. I can’t overlook how much he’s elevated his game against the world’s best in Majors this year, and he’s on a short list of players who have already posted multiple top-20 finishes at the Scottish Open in this field.
Top-20 Finish: Matt Wallace
My Bet: +360
Best Available Odds:
Wallace carries a bit more boom-or-bust risk to the placement market, but the odds reflect that discount. The Englishman is plenty familiar with playing in less-than-ideal links conditions and is well suited to score on a course with slow greens and generous fairway landing areas. He’s finished top-20 in three of his last six starts.
GOLF DAILY FANTASY Rankings
Check out my golf DFS picks post for the Genesis Scottish Open for Underdog drafts strategy, along with traditional DFS contests.
ONE AND DONE
My Pick: Min Woo Lee
Min Woo Lee has suddenly shown some great form in recent birdie-fest contests. He now has six consecutive top-25 finishes, including a T2 in his latest start at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Granted, he’s relied on some fortunate breaks with his short game to sustain that level of play, but you can’t put into question his fit for this course after his 2021 win. It’s now or never to play Min Woo, as I don’t expect we’ll see his outright odds dip below 30-1 again for the rest of the season.
If not Min Woo, I would also consider playing Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood, or Aaron Rai in OAD.
That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own Genesis Scottish Open bets, and see you on Sunday for The Open preview.
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