The 2022 French Open draw places Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, and Carlos Alcaraz all in the same half of the tournament bracket. Three of the betting favorites on one side, where only one can reach the final, may create opportunity and value in French Open betting.
Is this the worst-case scenario for world No. 1 Djokovic? He is currently the favorite to win the tournament and secure his 21st Grand Slam title in the latest French Open odds, but his journey to the final won’t be an easy one.
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Who Does The Draw Benefit Most?
Handicapping men’s singles French Open betting this season comes down to deciding who benefits most from this unbalanced draw. Djokovic and Nadal got the short end of the stick, while Alcaraz could benefit greatly.
In an ideal scenario, Djokovic and Nadal would tire each other out in a long quarterfinal match before meeting Alcaraz in the semis. Davis Cup captain Patrick McEnroe commented on the situation, saying, “It’s great news for Alcaraz. He only has to beat one of them (after they’ve gone through the other) and not in a final.”
Alcaraz recently became the first man to ever beat Nadal and Djokovic in the same clay tournament when he won the Madrid Open in early May.
On the flip side, the draw is not the best news for Djokovic on his quest for a 21st Grand Slam. To get to the final, he will have to battle through two of the hottest clay players in the world right now.
However, there’s some uncertainty around Alcaraz and Nadal. Alcaraz has skyrocketed to the No. 6 player in the world but has never made it past the quarterfinals of a major tournament. Nadal is sort of a mystery at the moment. He was unbeatable early on in the year but has been dealing with debilitating injuries as of late, leaving him barely able to finish a match.
Nadal has learned to live with a chronically-injured left foot, that for the time being, seems to be okay. He breezed through his opening round at the French Open, defeating Thompson 6-2, 6-2, 6-2.
What About Tsitsipas?
You may have noticed that one of the other favorites in the tournament has been missing from the conversation. Stefanos Tsitsipas is on the opposite side of the draw from Djokovic, Nadal, and Alcaraz.
His path to the final will no doubt be challenging, but it seems easier than what awaits players on the other side. The draw could be the biggest opportunity for Tsitsipas to reach the final.
He will need to get through a tough first-round opponent in Lorenzo Musetti, but after that, things get easier. Potentially facing Denis Shapovalov in the fourth round and Casper Ruud in the quarterfinals isn’t a walk in the park, but most would say Tsitsipas got an early Christmas present with this draw.
He won’t have to face his three biggest rivals on the way to the final. If he makes it that far, the opponent he does play could be an extremely tired one.
Good luck with your French Open betting!
2022 FRENCH OPEN SCHEDULE
- May 22-24: First Round
- May 25-26: Second Round
- May 27-28: Third Round
- May 29-30: Fourth Round
- May 31-June 1: Quarterfinals
- June 3: Men’s Semifinals
- June 5: Men’s Final
TV Network: NBC, Peacock, Tennis Channel