2023 Fortinet Championship Bets: Final Thoughts, Golf Betting Card

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Written By John Haslbauer on September 13, 2023
fortinet championship bets

The PGA TOUR kicks off its new 2023 FedExCup Fall series this Thursday in Napa Valley, California for the Fortinet Championship. Max Homa, Justin Thomas, and Sahith Theegala are the favorites this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite Fortinet Championship bets among all the golf odds offered this week. Below you’ll find the best sports betting odds available on each player.

The PGA TOUR is back in action after a two-week hiatus, with the new FedExCup Fall series set to kick off in Napa Valley for the 2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort & Spa this Thursday.

This tournament lacks the depth we’re traditionally used to seeing under the new fall format but will continue to reward top-tier ball strikers who excel in par-5 scoring, approach wedges from inside 125 yards, and putting on California Poa greens. Ahead we’ll breeze through all the bets I’ve placed for the 2023 Fortinet Championship.

Click on any of the Fortinet Championship odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state.

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FORTINET CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Stephan Jaeger

My Bet: +3000
Best Available Odds:

There’s a precipitous drop in talent this week after Homa, Thomas, and Theegala. With that being the case, I was worried we may not see bettable odds on Jaeger, who stacks up as the fourth-best contender to challenge those big names. But, at 30-1, this was a no-brainer value bet for me on my featured spotlight player of the week. Jaeger is a perfect profile fit for Silverado’s emphasis on premiere ball striking, and he enters in excellent form with five consecutive top-5 finishes.

JJ Spaun

My Bet: +3800
Best Available Odds:

You know it’s officially the fall swing when JJ Spaun is the second-shortest name on the betting card. Although these odds don’t jump off the page, he’s a perfect fit for what I’m looking for in a player this week. Spaun is a California lifer, born in Los Angeles and attending college at San Diego State. Like Max Homa, that California comfort level has translated to top-10 finishes at the Fortinet Championship and Farmers Insurance Open over recent years. No. 7 in SG: T2G over the last 24 rounds, I expect Spaun to see some positive regression on these familiar California Poa greens this week.

Brendon Todd

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

Course history has proven fairly repeatable at the Fortinet Championship, as evidenced by Max Homa and Brendan Steele’s repeat victories within the past decade. That’s good news for a player like Todd who ranks No. 7 in total strokes gained at the Fortinet Championship with four top-26 finishes over his last five appearances in Napa. Todd has done his best work on sub-7,200 yard courses, and is in better form currently than he was this time last year ahead of his T9 finish.

Akshay Bhatia

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

Another California kid with local ties, Akshay has kept busy in the off-season since picking up his first career PGA TOUR win in Truckee, California last month. Not only was he grinding on the putting green with a new broomstick putter, but he also got engaged! With momentum and good vibes emphatically on Akshay’s side, I’ll gladly ride the hot hand on a course that should reward his top-tier ball striking.

Kevin Streelman

My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:

Like Todd, I’m comfortable chasing the course history for an experienced veteran with proven win equity this far down the odds board. Streelman has four career top-25 finishes at this event, including a T3 in 2020. The form has been sneaky good as well recently, as he ranks No. 6 overall in my model with top-10 ranks in SG: APP, SG: Ball Striking, SG: ARG, and Prox: 75-125.

Nate Lashley

My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:

Without a ton of depth in this week’s field, I didn’t anticipate reaching too far down the odds board, but Lashley’s value at these odds was too good for me to pass up. Positive across all four strokes gained categories over his last five events, Lashley has quietly become a reliably well-rounded player fully capable of exploiting easy scoring conditions. No. 3 overall in my model this week, he ranks above-average in every key stat I’m looking at, and has a pair of top-20s at this event over the last five years.

Jimmy Walker

My Bet: +25000
Best Available Odds:

It doesn’t take much convincing for me to take a chance on a 250-1 flyer. In Walker’s case, he’s a past champion of this event, finished T25 here last year, and gained an impressive 5.2 strokes on approach in his previous start. His form, fit, and pre-tournament odds all look eerily similar to 2020 champion Stewart Cink’s.

FORTINET CHAMPIONSHIP FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)

Justin Suh

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

Suh has been a bona fide birdie-maker early into his PGA TOUR career. He may be the best, and most consistent putter in the field this week, and a return to his home state of California should lead to a comfortable first round to kick off the new season.

Dylan Wu

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

Sometimes you only need a hot putter to post the low round of the day, and Wu has left no doubt of that upside having gained over 17 strokes on the green over his last two starts. He’s one of just five players this week to rank above-average in Driving Distance, Birdies or Better Gained, Par-5 Scoring, and SG: P (Poa), the ideal makeup of a first-round leader candidate at this event.

Kevin Yu

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

On the other end of the first-round leader candidate spectrum, we have Kevin Yu who leads the field in SG: Ball Striking, but near the bottom in SG: Putting. That putting deficiency gives me pause to back Yu across the full tournament, but he’ll generate ample birdie opportunities with his class ball striking.

Andrew Novak

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

Novak flew under the radar to close the 2023 season but has always been a player who performs best against lesser competition in easier scoring conditions. He has two top-10 finishes over his last ten starts, both coming on comp courses to Silverado between the RBC Canadian Open and Valero Texas Open.

Justin Lower

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:

Last year’s solo first-round leader at the Fortinet Championship, Lower has proven capable of posting a low score one round at a time. This looks to be a course he’s comfortable with following his T4 finish here in 2022. He’s also flashed spike-scoring potential recently with a T8 finish four starts ago at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

FORTINET CHAMPIONSHIP PROPS (1.5 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Kevin Streelman

My Bet: +250
Best Available Odds:

I tend to chase a high floor of proven course history and recent form when narrowing down my prop bets, and Streelman was the one player who jumped out to me as a top betting value with that being considered. He is one of just five players to rank top-10 in SG: TOT (last 36 rounds) and top 25 in Course History. Two starts removed from a runner-up finish at the 3M Open, I would not be surprised to see Streelman back in contention in Napa.

Top-20 Finish: Nate Lashley

My Bet: +333
Best Available Odds:

The No. 3 player in my model this week, Lashley checks all the boxes I’m looking for. He ranks top-30 in SG: APP, Comp Course History, Birdies or Better Gained, SG: Ball Striking, and SG: Putting (Poa). With two top-20 finishes over his last five appearances at the Fortinet Championship, there’s a clear path for Lashley to add another top-20 finish to his resume against lesser competition than in years past.

FORTINET CHAMPIONSHIP: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s Fortinet Championship bets. Best of luck this week with your own Fortinet Championship bets, and stay tuned for more Ryder Cup content in the coming weeks here on TheLines.com! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.

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