NFL First Touchdown Scorer Odds: Jaxon Smith-Njigba & Monday Night Football Picks

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
First Touchdown Odds

To wrap up the odds for NFL Week 4, the winless Titans face the 1-2 Dolphins before a marquee NFC showdown between the Lions and Seahawks. Miami is lined near a pick’em at while Detroit is . Below are the odds for first touchdown scorers and my thoughts on potential bets for both games.

New sportsbook customers can register for the best NFL promo codes! The odds below are the best available in your state.

Monday night football Doubleheader: First Touchdown Scorer Odds

Titans at Dolphins

Seahawks at Lions

Monday Night Football Doubleheader Picks For First Touchdown Odds:

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba:

If you’re using pizza money on your anytime touchdown bets, I wouldn’t fire more than couch change on this market. Lions running back David Montgomery, who sits atop the odds board, has a 15.4% implied probability of scoring first. That should tell you all you need to know.

If you are interested in a fun sweat, Smith-Njigba’s first-touchdown odds are intriguing in a plus matchup. I’m surprised that fellow Seahawks wideout Tyler Lockett is priced at a shorter number despite Smith-Njigba nabbing more targets. His 20.8% target share also speaks volumes.

The Lions’ secondary was expected to improve, yet they’ve let up an above-average EPA per dropback and passing success rate. The Seahawks are knotted with the Bengals for the league’s highest PROE. I do not foresee them reversing course, and Smith-Njigba should remain heavily involved.

Dolphins TE Jonnu Smith:

Although Tennessee is tied for the second-fewest targets allowed to opposing tight ends, they haven’t seen many offenses that feature them. That isn’t necessarily the case for the Dolphins, but Smith’s snap rate has risen since Week 1. He is worth the smallest sprinkles within Miami’s limited passing attack, no matter who starts under center.

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Monday Night Football Doubleheader Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Detroit Lions
Antoine Green WR Concussion Out 22 Green is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Brian Branch DB Illness Questionable 67.7 Week 6
Brodric Martin DL Knee Out 30.7 Martin is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Christian Mahogany G Illness Out 0 Mahogany is dealing with an undisclosed illness and has been placed on the non-football illness list. He will miss at least four games.
Connor Galvin OT Knee Out 52 Galvin is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Derrick Barnes LB Knee Out 49 Barnes is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Emmanuel Moseley CB Pectoral Out 0 Moseley is dealing with a torn pectoral and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Frank Ragnow C Pectoral Questionable 71.3 Week 6
Ifeatu Melifonwu S Ankle Out 0 Melifonwu has been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss at least four games.
John Cominsky DL Knee Out 0 Cominsky is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Marcus Davenport DL Elbow Out 49.5 Davenport suffered an elbow injury has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Michael Badgley K Hamstring Out 0 Badgley suffered a torn hamstring and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Nate Lynn DL Shoulder Out 23 Lynn is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Netane Muti G Shoulder Out 0 Muti is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Tre’Quan Smith WR Undisclosed Out 11.5 Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Miami Dolphins
Anthony Schwartz WR Knee Out 9 Schwartz is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Bradley Chubb LB Knee Out 0 Chubb is recovering from a torn ACL and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Braxton Berrios WR Ankle Questionable 32.8 Berrios was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Cam Brown ILB Knee Out 43 Brown suffered a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Cam Smith CB Hamstring Questionable 39 The Dolphins have opened the 21-day practice window for Smith as they await his return from the injured reserve list.
Cameron Goode LB Undisclosed Out 0 Goode is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
David Long Jr. LB Hamstring Questionable 51.7 Long Jr. was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Duke Riley LB Hamstring Questionable 25.8 Riley was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Grant DuBose WR Shoulder Out 19.5 DuBose is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Grayson Murphy LB Knee Out 33 Murphy has suffered a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Isaiah Wynn OL Undisclosed Out 0 Wynn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Jaelan Phillips LB Knee Out 33.5 Phillips has been placed on the injured reserve list and is expected to miss the rest of the 2024-2025 regular season.
Jeff Wilson Jr. RB Knee Probable 16 Wilson Jr. was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Jordan Poyer S Shin Questionable 48.8 Poyer did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Kendall Fuller CB Concussion Probable 40.7 Fuller was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Kion Smith OT Knee Out 8 Smith suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Malik Washington WR Quad Questionable 14 Washington was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Odell Beckham Jr. WR Knee Questionable 0 The Dolphins have opened the 21-day practice window for Beckham Jr. as they await his return from the physically unable to perform list.
Patrick McMorris S Foot Out 40.5 Mcmorris is dealing with a foot injury and has been placed on the injured reserves list. He will miss at least four games.
Raheem Mostert RB Chest Questionable 31 Mostert was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
River Cracraft WR Upper Body Out 19.5 Cracraft is dealing an upper body injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Skylar Thompson QB Ribs Questionable 28 Thompson was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Tahj Washington WR Undisclosed Out 0 Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Terron Armstead OT Concussion Probable 45.7 Armstead was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Patriots.
Tua Tagovailoa QB Concussion Out 63 Tagovailoa is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Seattle Seahawks
Abraham Lucas OT Knee Out 0 Lucas is recovering from knee surgery and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Boye Mafe LB Knee Questionable 50.3 Mafe was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Brady Russell TE Shoulder Probable 26.3 Russell was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Byron Murphy II DT Hamstring Questionable 33 Murphy II did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Cameron Young NT Undisclosed Questionable 0 The Seahawks have opened the 21-day practice window for Young as they await his return from the physically unable to perform list.
DK Metcalf WR Hand Questionable 61.5 Metcalf was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
George Fant OT Knee Out 13 Fant is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
George Holani RB Ankle Out 6 Holani, a practice squad player, is dealing with an ankle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list.
Jerome Baker LB Hamstring Questionable 47.5 Baker was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Jerrick Reed II S Undisclosed Out 0 Reed II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Johnathan Hankins DT Personal Questionable 32.3 Hankins did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Joshua Onujiogu LB Undisclosed Out 0 Onujiogu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Julian Love FS Thigh Probable 58.5 Love was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Kenneth Walker III RB Oblique Questionable 48.5 Walker III was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Leonard Williams DE Ribs Questionable 37 Williams was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Marcus Simms WR Undisclosed Out 0 Simms is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Noah Fant TE Toe Questionable 46.5 Fant was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Pharaoh Brown TE Foot/Knee Questionable 36 Brown was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyler Lockett WR Thigh Questionable 48.3 Lockett was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyrel Dodson LB Ankle/Shoulder Questionable 65.5 Dodson was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyrice Knight LB Knee Questionable 35.3 Knight did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Uchenna Nwosu LB Knee Questionable 0 Nwosu was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tennessee Titans
Cedric Gray LB Shoulder Out 0 Gray is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Chance Campbell LB Knee Out 42.3 Campbell suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Chidobe Awuzie CB Groin Out 36 Awuzie suffered a groin injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Colton Dowell WR Knee Out 0 Dowell is recovering from a torn ACL and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Garret Wallow LB Pectoral Out 0 Wallow is dealing with a torn pec and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jeffery Simmons DT Elbow Questionable 52 Week 6
Keondre Coburn DL Knee Doubtful 11.5 Week 6
Marlon Davidson DT Bicep Out 43 Davidson suffered a bicep tear and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
TK McLendon Jr. DE Toe Out 22 McLendon Jr. is dealing with a toe injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Will Levis QB Shoulder Questionable 48.8 Week 6

What Are first touchdown scorer Odds?

Like anytime touchdown odds, the first touchdown betting option has developed into one of the most popular player props across the sports betting industry.

Players are always stationed at plus-money odds. Given the exciting result for novice and hardcore pro football bettors, the hype with first TD odds isn’t surprising. Your wager will win if you bet on the first player to reach the end zone from a rushing, receiving, defensive, or special teams score. Passing touchdowns do not apply to first TD odds at NFL betting sites.

If the player you bet on gets hurt during the game, don’t anticipate a refund on first touchdown odds. Just like any other bet, risk comes into play.

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Photo by Associated Press/Paul Sancya

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