FedEx St. Jude Championship Odds: Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets
The FedEx St. Jude Championship is the opening event of the PGA TOUR’s FedExCup Playoffs. The Playoff system has undergone a number of changes over the years, and 2023 is no different. Most years have seen 125 players advance to the Playoffs with up to four events, but the FedEx St. Jude Championship brought in just the top 70 players this year. The remaining players on TOUR will battle it out in the fall for PGA TOUR status in 2024, while the 50 players who advance past the FedEx St. Jude this week will get full eligibility in the TOUR’s lucrative elevated events next year. The FedEx St. Jude odds board shows an intriguing picture heading into the final round.
With the limited field of just 70 players this week, the race is for which 20 will be heading home before next week’s BMW Championship at Olympia Fields. TPC Southwind has been host to some form of the St. Jude for many years on TOUR, although the event has gone from a rather small event to a WGC to the Playoffs in quite the rise in FedEx’s home city.
Tournament Recap Through First Three Rounds
It’s been scorching hot in Memphis this week. The combination of moist conditions in the middle of the summer in Tennessee has had the humidity and heat playing its part of the FedEx St. Jude Championship. We’ve seen caddies switched out mid-round and players using towels for their bodies more than for their clubs. That has started to become a bit of a theme of the FedExCup Playoffs with multiple events played in the south during August. Whether there would be better choices to play at during this time of the year is a different story, but it’s been clear that some players have struggled with the weather at TPC Southwind.
Jordan Spieth managed those conditions well on Thursday, although he did have to admit that even the Dallas heat from the last couple of weeks couldn’t compare to the humidity in Memphis this week. His opening-round 63 gave him the lead early and positioned him well to make a move deep into the top 30 and a spot in the TOUR Championship. Spieth has had a strange year. The inconsistencies have been frustrating, but it’s still been clear that his best stuff is plenty to contend on any given week. An injury to his wrist earlier this year has been sure to make things tougher, but he can still salvage a nice season by getting in the mix in Atlanta.
Glover has it going again
Lucas Glover, the winner of the Wyndham Championship last week, has been the story in Memphis since Spieth’s opening round. His 64 on Friday was enough to take the solo lead into the weekend, and he managed another low round on Saturday with a 66. His 14 under mark is enough to hold the solo 54-hole-lead by one shot over Taylor Moore, the Valspar Championship winner earlier this year. Glover is in absolute peak form right now. He’s always been capable with his ball striking, but the switch to the long putter has proven to be all he needed for an overall confidence boost and much better results on the greens.
Tommy Fleetwood sits in solo third two shots back, while Max Homa joins Spieth at 11 under and three shots back. There is a large group of strong players at T6, including Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland, but they are five shots back and need a magical round on Sunday.
Final Round PGA TOUR Golf Bets To Consider
Winner: Lucas Glover
Preferred Odds: +250
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There’s a familiar name at the top of the FedEx St. Jude odds board. I’m going to come straight out and say that this obviously isn’t great value. While Glover is arguably in the form of his life right now — and this is someone who has won a major championship — this is still a big ask of him to go back-to-back in a field like this. With that being said, if I were just looking at the numbers and how Glover has been playing, I don’t see why he can’t get this done tomorrow. Moore isn’t a world beater one shot back, and we’ve seen how tough it’s been for Fleetwood to close out tournaments himself.
That means you’re going three shots back to Homa and Spieth before you have some win equity that could challenge Glover on Sunday. A victory would suddenly put him third in the FedExCup, which is wild considering he barely got into the Playoffs with a win last week. Glover is currently second in approach and third in around the green this week. While the scrambling could regress a bit, he could also drive the ball much straighter than he has so far. The iron play is legitimate, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t keep it up.
With a number like this, I’d suggest making this bet as a mini-hedge for the next outright, as that will give you a safety barrier for rooting on the bigger value to make a charge. I do believe Lucas Glover will win the tournament on Sunday, but it’s tough to really hammer a +200 for a guy who was recently a fringe player.
Winner: Jordan Spieth
Preferred Odds: +900
Spieth will be the main play for tomorrow, as his number provides a nice amount of value for one of the most talented players in the world. With Glover’s bet there for safety, I do like the position Spieth is in. Moore and Fleetwood are both heavily riding the putter currently, and Spieth has a couple of shots on the big names behind him. Homa may be the guy to keep an eye on as Spieth may be battling with him to post a low number for Glover to worry about.
The Texan has the short game going very nicely this week, which is very encouraging. The putter has been a real issue for Spieth for a while now, and it feels like he’s right in the picture to win any time it shows up. He’s 11th in putting and 6th around the greens currently. Even more interesting is Spieth is just 43rd in approach and losing strokes to the field. While you may consider that alarming, I find it to be upside. Spieth is generally one of the best iron players in the world when he’s feeling good. For him to be in such good position without his best stuff ball striking is encouraging. We know he can turn it on quickly, and he could easily post a low number on Sunday if he can manage to gain a few strokes to the field with his irons.
Top-10 Finish: Russell Henley
Best Odds Still Available:
We’ll go back to Russell Henley again after his heartbreaking loss last week when he was on the card. Henley is clearly playing some lovely golf right now and seems comfortable with his game on a variety of courses this year. Southwind is a nice fit overall, and he’s played consistently this week with 67, 68, 67 to sit in T12 entering the final round. He’s just one shot back of T6 and still gives us some nice odds to log another top 10 this season.
But much like Spieth, Henley is a guy who almost always seems to contend if he finds anything with the putter. That putter was scorching hot last week and nearly led to a win, and it’s rolling nicely again in Memphis as he’s 8th in the field with the flat stick. Shockingly enough, one of the best iron players in the world is just 47th in the field this week and has lost nearly a full stroke to the field in approach. I’m comfortable betting on him to figure that out quicky and post a positive round ball striking to tally another top 10 and set himself up nicely for a run at East Lake.
FedEx St. Jude Odds
Click on any of the odds below to bet now and compare across sportsbooks in your state to ensure you are maximizing your potential profits before the final round on Sunday. Best of luck with FedEx St. Jude Championship odds.