PGA TOUR Golf Bets: FedEx St. Jude Championship Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

FedEx St. Jude bets are next on tap at the best golf betting sites, as TPC Southwind gets ready to host in Memphis. First-round play begins Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, and Rory McIlroy headline FedEx St Jude Championship bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting apps for each player.

The 2024 season has finally come to a close, with the FedEx Cup Playoffs officially now upon us. TPC Southwind, a familiar venue on the PGA TOUR, will host this field of 70 in the opening round of the playoffs for the second year in a row as we get set for the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship this Thursday.

In sweltering conditions with over-grown rough surrounding these narrow fairways, course history and control off-the-tee have proven to be crucial in handicapping before placing your FedEx St. Jude bets. Below, we’ll go through my FedEx St Jude Championship bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place FedEx St Jude Championship wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my FedEx St Jude Championship preview. 

Best fedex st. jude Championship Odds

Here are the best available odds this week. TheLines.com is also now partnering with Fanatics, and a new Fanatics Sportsbook promo code is offering up to $1,000 in bonus bets. Click on any of the odds below to bet now.

HOW I BUILT MY fedex st jude Championship BETTING CARD

Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele have dominated the best fields in golf this year, but I’m naive enough to take them both head-on at the FedEx St Championship, given their lackluster course history. While they are both very real threats this week, there is something to be said about the extremely hot conditions in store each August in Memphis, which could be a contributing factor to why Scheffler and Schauffele have not gotten the most out of their games here. Instead, I’m looking for accurate ball-strikers who thrive on Bermuda greens and who have a particular connection to this southeastern corner of the U.S.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Open.

• Outright FedEx St. Jude Championship bets – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
• FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
• Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each

FedEx st. Jude BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)

Ludvig Aberg
My Bet: +2200
Best Available Odds:

After the big three of Scheffler, Schauffele, and McIlroy, I see Aberg as the next best all-around player on TOUR at the moment. It’s hard to believe he’s still chasing his first win since the RSM Classic last fall, but that may simply be because he hasn’t had as much opportunity to thrive on these types of short, positional Bermuda layouts which emphasize the importance of total driving.

This is a steep discount on Aberg in a limited field of just 70 players, considering how often he has played himself into contention against the game’s best. He has eight top-12 finishes this year, seven of which have come in Signature Events or Majors. He’ll enter in great form yet again, most recently ranking top-4 in SG: Approach at the Men’s Olympics Golf competition.

Golf Profit Boosts: All users get a 50% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. Caesars is also offering a 50% odds boost for PGA TOUR betting.

Russell Henley
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:

We were all wondering what happened to Russell Henley when the Wyndham Championship field was announced, as we’ve simply become accustomed to seeing Henley’s name towards the top of the leaderboard every Sunday at Sedgefield CC. The reality is, Henley’s place in the FedEx Cup Standings (No. 13) has afforded him the luxury of not needing to jockey for position towards the end of the season.

2024 has been Henley’s best career season from a SG: Total standpoint, and even despite not having a win under his belt this season, he’s effectively already locked up a spot at East Lake and all the 2025 exemptions that come with it. TPC Southwind is yet another ideal course fit for Henley, as it is not prohibitively long, but will reward his strengths of driving accuracy, mid-iron approach play, and Bermuda putting.

Sungjae Im
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

We are looking to go back-to-back on the Spotlight winners this week after Aaron Rai’s theatrics at the Wyndham Championship. Sungjae’s case is less cut and dry coming off of a mediocre T41 finish as the betting favorite at the Wyndham Championship. I’m willing to give a bit of a pass for one modest showing, however, as an odd weather forecast presented a very jumbled weekend of play for everyone. Looking past the Wyndham result, Sungjae has been trending at the right time to close his 2024 season, as he’s strung together eight top-12 finishes over his last 10 starts.

Taking up residence in Atlanta, Sungjae has embraced golf in this part of the country, elevating his putting baseline on Bermuda greens, and picking up his first career PGA TOUR victory at PGA National, a strong comp to TPC Southwind. Sungjae has looked great in the FedEx Cup Playoffs so far in his career as well with two top-12 finishes at this event and a runner up at the TOUR Championship over the last two years.

Billy Horschel
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

As the week has gone on, I continue to find myself holding more and more conviction behind Horschel’s prospects to contend this week. We know Billy has his course fits, and they are predominantly in this region of the country on Bermuda greens for the Florida man. Horschel is top-5 in Course History at TOC Southwind, posting five career top-10 finishes on these grounds.

He’ll now return to this familiar course fit in impeccable form coming off of back-to-back top-10 finishes at The Open and Wyndham Championship. He newfound consistency with the ball-striking to go along with his long-term prowess putting on Bermuda greens make him one of the biggest threats to win this week outside of the first five betting favorites.

Sam Burns
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

You never really know what you’re going to get with Sam Burns, so while a ceiling outcome of winning the FedEx St Jude is well within the range of outcomes this week, so is a T56 finish. That’s what I love about the outright market for Burns, as I’m drawn to the win equity of this five-time PGA TOUR winner more so than any other player priced around him. It’s no secret Burns is at his best on Bermuda greens, with four of those career victories coming on the same type of layout we’ll see at TPC Southwind.

In addition to the putting prowess, Burns has made a more concerted effort to keep the ball in play off the tee more, adding a mini driver to his bag to limit his misses. That tradeoff of distance for accuracy will pay dividends at TPC Southwind, as he looks to add to his total of nine top-15 finishes already this season.

Davis Thompson
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

The last man on my card this week, I couldn’t resist riding the hot hand with Davis Thompson at odds this long. Thompson is a Georgia native with deep ties to golf on Bermuda greens, which should give him a leg up in his FedEx St Jude Championship debut. Like many of the other recent winners of this event like Glover and Ancer, Davis Thompson is playing his best golf of the season right now. Since his win at the John Deere Classic, Thompson has not looked back, with four top-12 finishes over his last six starts.

In addition to his success on Bermuda, I’m really drawn to Thompson’s consistency with accuracy off-the-tee, as he has gained on the field in terms of Driving Accuracy in all but one start since April.

FedEx St. jude BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Russell Henley
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds:

Always a threat to jump out to a hot start on Bermuda greens, this is one of the best course set ups you could as for with Russell Henley. As always, I’m nervous about how his composure will hold up on Sunday of a playoff event, but there should be no nerves to worry about in the first round.

Aaron Rai
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

Lucas Glover paved the way for the heat check narrative in 2023 when going back-to-back at the Wyndham Championship and FedEx St Jude Championship. I couldn’t quite bring myself to run back another Aaron Rai outright bet this week, but I would expect the same formula of pounding fairways and flushing mid-irons to translate well from Sedgefield CC to TPC Southwind.

Sam Burns
My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

Going back to my volatility concerns with Burns, I do expect him to post one of the lowest rounds of the day over his week at the FedEx St Jude Championship. His birdie-making ability speaks for itself on Bermuda courses, so this will simply come down to whether he can avoid bogeys on Thursday with TPC Southwind’s many water hazards in play.

Taylor Pendrith
My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:

The Taylor Pendrith disrespect is real this week, as he is available at a steep discount in all betting markets. I share some of the same apprehension in terms of his ability to close out a golf tournament on Sunday, considering he needed a Ben Kohles collapse to back into his first career PGA TOUR win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. But, whenever I like the value on a player who fits the bill as a strong course fit despite being a questionable closer, I look to hedge my exposure in the FRL market.

fedex st jude championship BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Ludvig Aberg > Tommy Fleetwood
My Bet: -105

I think we’ve gone a little too far here over-reacting to Tommy Fleetwood’s Silver medal performance at Le Golf National. Yes, both players are in good form at the moment, but I have Ludvig Aberg marked in a clear tier ahead of Tommy Fleetwood from a raw talent perspective. Prior to the Silver medal showing in a field of 30, Fleetwood had not posted a top-10 finish since The Masters. Over that stretch, Aberg has managed to post to post five top-10 finishes of his own, so I’m drawn to the higher ceiling Aberg brings in this head-to-head.

Top-20 Finish: Taylor Pendrith
My Bet: +300
Best Available Odds:

Many people may not view a positional layout like TPC Southwind as a great fit for a bomber like Taylor Pendrith, but he’s proven time and time again that he’s capable of clubbing down for a more strategic approach to these shorter venues. Pendrith is in tremendous form at the moment, with nine top-25 finishes over his last 12 starts, including top-5 finishes in each of his last two events.

Top-10 Finish: Billy Horschel
My Bet: +330
Best Available Odds:

The more I look through the numbers, the more I keep coming back to the idea of Billy Horschel being a factor in this tournament come Sunday. I typically avoid the top-10 placement market, however in a field of just 70 players, I still think there’s some value to be had here. Horschel has five career top-10 finishes at this event and is coming in hot off of back to back top-10 finishes in his last two starts as well.

Par-3 Podcast: More FedEx St. Jude bets

GOLF DAILY FANTASY CONTESTS

Check out my golf DFS picks post for the FedEx St Jude Championship for Underdog drafts strategy, along with traditional DFS contests.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Sungjae Im

As we come to the closing stretch of the OAD season, it’s usually best to deploy your best man available. In my case, that happens to be my featured spotlight player, Sungjae Im, which works out quite nicely! There are many opportunities to lpay Sungjae earlier in the season, including last week when he was the most popular OAD selection, so I expect him to present a great contrarian option in a field as loaded as this one.

If not Im, I would also consider playing Billy Horschel, Russell Henley, or Sam Burns in OAD.

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own FedEx St. Jude bets, and see you on Sunday for the BMW Championship preview.

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FedEx St. Jude championship BETS: THE CARD

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