Expert NBA Picks and Player Props: Best NBA Bets Today Jan. 14
Wednesday brings another solid NBA slate with plenty to like from a betting perspective. With a mix of playoff hopefuls and teams trying to find their footing, there are sportsbook promotions to take advantage of and angles to attack across sides, player props and a plus-money parlay for those hunting the best NBA bets today on sports betting apps.
Game Lines
Toronto Raptors -2.5 (-110) at Indiana Pacers
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 💰
Toronto continues to lean on a rugged defense and size on the wings, which matches up well with an Indiana team that can get stagnant in the halfcourt when shots aren’t falling. The Raptors can throw length at the Pacers’ primary scorers and have enough creation on the perimeter to exploit Indiana’s shaky point-of-attack defense. With familiarity against Pascal Siakam’s tendencies, Toronto should generate efficient looks and has a good chance to cover this short road number.
Denver Nuggets -2.5 (-116) at Dallas Mavericks
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 💰
Even without Nikola Jokic, Denver has remained competitive with Jamal Murray driving the offense and Peyton Watson supplying efficient spacing and scoring as he breaks out. Dallas still struggles to get consistent stops and can be vulnerable on the glass, especially when opponents force their bigs into space. If the Nuggets maintain their recent defensive intensity and protect the ball, they have enough firepower to justify backing them as small favorites in Dallas.
Sacramento Kings +11.5 (-111) vs New York Knicks
🏀 Odds via bet365 💰
This is a hefty spread to lay against a Kings team that can score in bunches at home and has played well of late. Sacramento now has DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook in addition to its existing core, giving them multiple avenues to manufacture offense in late-clock situations. New York’s physical defense will make the Kings work, but Sacramento’s pace and additional shot creators should keep this within striking distance, making the double-digit cushion appealing.
Player Props
Joel Embiid over 8.5 rebounds (-132)
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 💰
Embiid remains one of the league’s most dominant rebounders, living in double-digit territory on most nights. Cleveland’s frontcourt can bang with him physically, yet the Cavaliers’ shot profile creates a steady diet of defensive rebound chances. As long as Embiid sees his normal workload, nine boards is a very reachable number.
Johnny Furphy over 0.5 made threes (-105)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 💰
Johnny Furphy has carved out a niche as a floor spacer for Indiana and has been given the green light to fire from deep. Toronto’s defense often collapses into the paint to cut off drives, which should open up kick-out opportunities to the corners. Furphy needs just one make to cash this over, a reasonable ask given his growing three-point volume.
Russell Westbrook over 14.5 points (-125)
🏀 Odds via bet365 💰
Westbrook’s role in Sacramento centers on pushing tempo and attacking the rim, especially when he leads the second unit. The Knicks’ defense can be vulnerable when aggressive guards get downhill and force rotations at the rim. With DeRozan drawing attention in the mid-range, Westbrook should see enough driving lanes and transition chances to reach the mid-teens in scoring.
Russell Westbrook over 6.5 assists (-141)
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 💰
Sacramento trusts Westbrook to initiate a lot of pick-and-roll offense, letting him collapse the defense, then spray passes out to shooters. New York is comfortable sending extra help toward primary scorers, which often results in open spot-up looks if the ball moves quickly. In a projected close game, Westbrook’s playmaking usage gives him a strong path to seven or more assists.
Today’s Best Parlay
🏀 Combined Parlay Odds: +600 (via BetMGM) 📈
- Leg 1: Pascal Siakam over 24 points (-115)
- Leg 2: Alexandre Sarr over 16 points (-110)
- Leg 3: DeMar DeRozan over 20.5 points (-104)
Siakam remains a steady high-usage option for Indiana and should be especially aggressive against his former Raptors team, attacking mismatches in the mid-post and in transition. Alex Sarr has quickly become a featured scorer for Washington, with his blend of length, mobility and touch creating problems for traditional bigs who struggle to defend in space. DeRozan continues to thrive in his comfort zone as a mid-range assassin and late-game closer, and New York’s scheme that concedes long twos to protect the rim plays directly into his strengths. Combining these three scoring overs creates a high-upside ticket built around central offensive pieces in strong usage spots.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win As Wednesday’s slate unfolds, there’s still plenty of value to be found even on a somewhat smaller card. Make sure to shop lines across sports betting apps, stay mindful of late injury news and bankroll management, and use these sides, props and parlay as a starting point for your best NBA bets today.
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All Odds as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Jan. 14