Expert NBA Picks and Player Props: Best NBA Bets Today Dec. 12
With a smaller Friday NBA slate, there’s still plenty to like on the board for bettors scrolling through sports betting apps. We’ve got three game lines, plus a long list of player props built around star scorers and emerging playmakers, then we’ll wrap it up with a three-leg parlay, each of which always becomes more valuable when leveraging the latest sportsbook promos. As always, the focus is on finding the best NBA bets today, dialing in on matchups, roles and recent usage to uncover value for both game lines and NBA player prop bets.
Game Lines
Atlanta Hawks (+7.5) vs Detroit Pistons (-115)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈
Atlanta’s offense has stabilized around Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu, who have grown into more versatile scoring threats and even stretched their range to the perimeter this season. Getting more than two possessions against a Detroit team that still leans heavily on Cade Cunningham to create in the half court feels generous, especially when the Hawks can throw multiple defenders at him.
Brooklyn Nets (+7.5) vs Dallas Mavericks (-110)
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈
Michael Porter Jr. has turned into a high-volume scorer for Brooklyn, averaging north of 25 points per game on strong efficiency while carrying a big chunk of the Nets’ offense. Dallas leans heavily on Cooper Flagg to create offense, which can lead to stretches where the Mavs struggle to generate points, given he's an 18-year-old rookie. Brooklyn’s shooting around Porter gives them enough firepower to stay within striking distance even if Dallas gets rolling, so grabbing the points with the Nets makes sense.
Minnesota Timberwolves ML (+135) vs Golden State Warriors
🏀 Odds via bet365 📈
Despite having a solid roster all around, injuries have forced the Warriors to juggle different lineups all season. Minnesota’s athletic wings and size inside give the Timberwolves multiple ways to attack a Warriors defense that can occasionally struggle on the glass. With Anthony Edwards and a deep frontcourt, the Wolves have enough scoring punch to steal one on the road, making the plus-money moneyline a worthy swing.
Player Props
Jared McCain over 1.5 assists (-140)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈
Jared McCain has started to into a steady guard role for the Sixers now that he's back from injury, sharing ball-handling duties while spacing the floor. His minutes are solid, and Indiana’s defense often collapses on drives, opening kick-out passing lanes that can turn into easy assist opportunities. Two dimes is a low bar if McCain plays his usual rotation.
Josh Giddey over 8.5 rebounds (-115)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈
Josh Giddey has embraced a big, physical role in Chicago’s backcourt and is one of the best rebounding guards in the league, routinely flirting with double-digit boards. Charlotte’s tendency to play smaller lineups and shoot a lot of jumpers should create plenty of long rebounds for Giddey to track down.
Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 threes made (-154)
🏀 Odds via bet365 📈
Okongwu’s added 3-point range has been a real development for Atlanta, with the big man now taking and making multiple attempts per game as part of the team's spacing-heavy offense. Detroit often packs the paint to protect against drives, so Okongwu should see clean pick-and-pop looks from beyond the arc.
Jaylon Tyson over 1.5 threes made (-182)
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈
Jaylon Tyson has become an important wing scorer for Cleveland, thriving as a 3-and-D option and knocking down outside shots at a solid clip. Washington’s perimeter defense has been exploitable all season, and Tyson’s minutes and confidence from deep make two triples a reasonable target.
Lauri Markkanen over 6.5 rebounds (-143)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈
Lauri Markkanen is doing everything for Utah’s frontcourt, including cleaning the glass, while posting big scoring nights and carrying the offense. Memphis likes to attack the rim, which should lead to plenty of rebounding chances on both ends for Markkanen as he battles inside and finishes possessions against a Grizzlies team that will be missing Zach Edey.
Ace Bailey over 1.5 assists (-165)
🏀 Odds via bet365 📈
Rookie Ace Bailey has shown real playmaking flashes on the wing for the Jazz, using his size and handle to create looks for teammates. With defenses tilted toward stopping Markkanen, Bailey often attacks closeouts and makes the simple extra pass, so two assists is very attainable in his current role.
Michael Porter Jr. over 24.5 points (-115)
🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈
Porter has been on a tear for Brooklyn, averaging close to 26 points per game and notching three 30+ scoring games in a row as the unquestioned first option. Dallas has struggled at times to contain scoring forwards, and Porter’s combination of size and movement shooting makes him a difficult cover in any matchup.
Jimmy Butler over 18.5 points (-122)
🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈
Jimmy Butler has brought his usual steady bucket-getting to Golden State, hovering around 20 points per game while picking his spots alongside Curry. Minnesota’s defense is elite at the rim but can concede mid-range looks, which is exactly where Butler is most comfortable operating, making this a solid prop target.
Today’s Best Parlay
🏀 Combined Parlay Odds: +543 (via BetMGM) 📈
Leg 1: Cooper Flagg over 17.5 points
Leg 2: Ja Morant over 19.5 points
Leg 3: Pascal Siakam over 23.5 points
For our NBA parlay pick today, we’re tying together three primary scorers who are all in strong usage spots. Flagg is emerging as one of Dallas’ primary scorers alongside Anthony Davis, Morant is the clear engine of Memphis’ offense in his return, and Siakam is Indiana’s go-to option every night. If each game stays competitive, all three should see heavy minutes and plenty of touches, giving this parlay real upside among the.
Even with a lighter schedule, there’s still a deep board of NBA picks today, from sides to props to one carefully built parlay. As always, shop numbers across sportsbooks to find the best prices, and stay on top of injury news before tip-off.
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All Odds as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Dec. 12