Expert NBA Picks and Player Props: Best NBA Bets Today Dec. 11

With only a few games on the Wednesday NBA schedule, bettors still have plenty of ways to find value using sports betting apps and the sportsbook promotions. Between game lines, player props, and a same-game parlay built around Houston’s new-look core, there are plenty of opportunities to hunt for the best NBA bets today.

Game Lines

Portland Trail Blazers ML (-190) vs New Orleans Pelicans

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Portland leans on Deni Avdija and a deep frontcourt rotation to generate enough offense even when the shooting isn’t perfect, and they’ve already handled New Orleans in this matchup once behind big nights from key pieces. The Pelicans are asking a lot of rookie center Derik Queen and continue to drop tight contests late, so we’ll side with the more stable Blazers group here.

Houston Rockets -8.5 (-118) vs Los Angeles Clippers

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Houston is built around Alperen Sengun’s playmaking from the elbows and the scoring gravity of Kevin Durant, with other quality pieces like Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith giving them a steady halfcourt structure. The Clippers are still driven by James Harden’s on-ball creation, but can struggle defensively against teams that pressure the paint and mix in five-out looks, which is exactly how this Rockets roster is designed to attack.

Denver Nuggets -9.5 (-115) vs Sacramento Kings

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Denver still has the Jokic-Jamal Murray two-man game at the heart of everything, and their size with a solid center rotation in the middle lets them punish a Kings defense that has been leaking points and leaning heavily on Russell Westbrook’s energy to keep them afloat. The Nuggets' continuity and offensive versatility give the Nuggets a clear edge over four quarters.

Player Props

Jordan Walsh over 7.5 points (-115)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Walsh has carved out a real rotation role for Boston and brings energy as a slashing forward, which should translate against a Milwaukee defense that will be focused on slowing Jaylen Brown, leaving Walsh room to attack closeouts and cut for easy buckets.

Kyle Kuzma over 0.5 threes made (-225)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Kuzma’s role with Milwaukee is to stretch the floor and space around primary scorers, and he’s averaging over a made three per game this season, so asking him to knock down at least one from deep is a reasonable way to get exposure to his shooting volume, especially with the depleted roster.

Derik Queen over 4.5 assists (+105)

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Queen has quickly become a hub of the Pelicans' offense, averaging nearly four assists per night and flashing serious playmaking chops during his recent triple-double, so against a Portland defense that loves to help and collapse, he should have chances to spray the ball out to shooters and cutters.

Kris Murray over 0.5 threes made (-110)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Murray’s minutes can fluctuate, but Portland still wants him taking open spot-up threes as a complementary forward, and New Orleans’ defense is more focused on containing Avdija drives and pick-and-roll action than chasing every role player off the line.

Alperen Sengun over 8.5 rebounds (-125)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Sengun has long been a strong positional rebounder, and with Houston playing through him at both ends, he’s consistently around the glass, especially in matchups like this where the Clippers lean on smaller lineups around Harden and wing-heavy groupings.

Jamal Murray over 24.5 points (-114)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Murray remains Denver’s primary perimeter scorer and is more than capable of erupting, as shown by his recent 52-point outburst, and Sacramento’s backcourt defense has struggled to handle dynamic pull-up shooters.

Maxime Raynaud over 6.5 rebounds (-150)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Raynaud has taken on a bigger role in the Kings' frontcourt with Domantas Sabonis banged up, and his size plus improved positioning have led to a steady climb in rebounding numbers, making this a fair target in a game where Denver will be putting plenty of shots up.

Russell Westbrook over 8.5 assists (-140)

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Westbrook is averaging over seven assists per game for Sacramento and still dominates the ball when he’s on the floor, and with shooters like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and a rolling big like Raynaud around him, his potential to rack up dimes remains high even in a tougher matchup.

Today’s Best Parlay

🏀 Combined Parlay Odds: +582 (via BetMGM) 📈

• Leg 1: Alperen Sengun over 21.5 points 
• Leg 2: Amen Thompson over 16.5 points 
• Leg 3: Kevin Durant over 25.5 points 

This same-game parlay banks on Houston’s core carrying the scoring load against the Clippers. Sengun should see plenty of touches on the block and in dribble-handoffs, where his touch and footwork can punish smaller defenders. Thompson’s downhill driving and ability to attack in transition fit well against a Clippers team that can be slow getting back, while Durant remains one of the league’s most reliable isolation scorers and late-clock options after his move to Houston. If this game stays competitive, all three Rockets stars project for heavy minutes and enough usage to give this plus-money parlay real upside.

To wrap things up, even on a lighter schedule, there are still plenty of NBA picks today to build around. Mix and match these NBA player props tonight with the sides you like most, and always check multiple sportsbooks for the best odds.

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All Odds as of 6:00 a.m. ET on Dec. 11