Expert NBA Picks and Player Props: Best NBA Bets Today Dec. 10

The Western Conference side of the NBA Cup Quarter Finals take center stage on Wednesday, Dec. 10, with only two games on the NBA schedule but massive stakes. Suns vs Thunder and Spurs vs Lakers will decide which two West teams move on in the tournament, which means stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luka Dončić will be playing full playoff-style minutes.

It’s a short slate, but there’s still plenty of value for the best NBA bets today across sports betting apps, from game lines to NBA player props and a three-leg same game parlay that brings even more value with the latest sportsbook promotions.

Game Lines

Phoenix Suns (+14.5) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (-110)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

This is a big number to hang against a Phoenix team that can score in bunches when Collin Gillespie, Dillon Brooks and the shooters get rolling. Oklahoma City is the more complete team, but the Suns have enough shot-making to hang inside this double-digit line, especially if they can win a few non-starter minutes. In a high-intensity Cup setting with extra urgency from both sides, grabbing the points with Phoenix makes sense.

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Over 226.5 (-110)

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Both offenses are built around efficient guard play and five-out spacing, which usually leads to clean looks early in the clock. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander relentlessly attacks the rim, Holmgren stretches the floor and Jalen Williams punishes soft closeouts, while Phoenix counters with shooting all over the perimeter. If this game stays competitive, the stars should push this into the 220s and beyond.

San Antonio Spurs (+5.5) vs Los Angeles Lakers (-110)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

San Antonio’s deep backcourt gives the Spurs multiple ball handlers who can pressure the rim and set up the offense. The Lakers still have the edge with Dončić and Austin Reaves running the show, but their defense can be inconsistent when they downshift into smaller lineups. With the Spurs’ length and improved spacing, taking the points in a game that could tighten up late is appealing.

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers Over 237.5 (-110)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

This matchup features two teams that are happy to run and hunt early offense. San Antonio plays fast with Castle’s pace, while the Lakers push off misses with Dončić hit-ahead passes and Reaves sprinting into ball screens. If the game stays close and both sides lean on their offensive stars instead of grinding out half-court sets, this total has real upside.

Player Props

Collin Gillespie Over 13.5 Points (-110)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Gillespie has become a reliable scoring guard for Phoenix, spacing the floor and punishing defenders who go under ball screens. Oklahoma City will be locked in the bigs, which should leave Gillespie with plenty of catch-and-shoot chances plus a few drives against tilted defenses. With his minutes trending up, 14 or more points is well within range.

Osasere Ighodaro Over 3.5 Rebounds (-125)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Ighodaro’s role is simple. He's asked to defend, run the floor and clean the glass. Even in a modest minutes load, he is active around the rim on both ends, and the Thunder’s tendency to spread the floor leads to long rebound opportunities. Four boards is a modest ask if he stays out of foul trouble.

Jalen Williams Over 5.5 Assists (-130)

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Williams has quietly become one of the best secondary playmakers in the league, often serving as the Thunder’s de facto point guard when Gilgeous-Alexander plays off the ball. Phoenix will send extra bodies at Gilgeous-Alexander, which should open driving lanes and kick out opportunities for Williams to rack up dimes to OKC’s shooters and rolling bigs. In an NBA Cup environment where he should log heavy minutes, six or more assists fit his recent usage.

Ajay Mitchell Over 0.5 Threes (-185)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Mitchell gives Oklahoma City another confident ball handler who can step into open threes when defenses collapse on Gilgeous-Alexander drives. The Suns’ game plan will be to protect the paint first, which often leads to help being pulled off secondary guards. Mitchell needs only one make from deep to cash this, and his willingness to shoot when left open makes this a solid supporting piece.

Dylan Harper Over 12.5 Points (-110)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Harper’s combination of strength and craft makes him tough to keep out of the lane, and San Antonio leans on him as a primary creator when the team's other scorers draw extra attention. The Lakers will have their hands full dealing with all of the rim pressure and perimeter shooting of San Antonio, which should give Harper space to attack mismatches and get to his midrange pull-up or the free throw line. If his jumper is even average, 13 or more points is very attainable.

Luka Dončić Over 8.5 Rebounds (-118)

🏀 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook 📈

Dončić remains one of the best rebounding guards in basketball, and the Lakers regularly rely on him to finish possessions and start the break. San Antonio takes a lot of threes, which creates long rebounds that play right into the Laker star's instincts. With playoff-style minutes on tap in this NBA Cup setting, nine or more boards is a realistic projection.

Austin Reaves Over 4.5 Assists (-115)

🏀 Odds via BetMGM 📈

Reaves has settled into a playmaking role alongside Dončić, often initiating sets and running secondary pick and roll. The Spurs will throw different looks at Dončić, from traps to switches, which should put the ball in Reaves’ hands as a release valve. With shooters spotting up and bigs rolling hard, five or more assists is well within his typical game script.

Stephon Castle Over 0.5 Threes (-250)

🏀 Odds via bet365 📈

Castle’s calling card is defense and downhill pressure, but San Antonio has encouraged him to take open threes to keep defenses honest. The Lakers are likely to duck under some screens early, daring him to shoot. If he stays aggressive and takes those rhythm looks, one make from beyond the arc is a fair expectation.

Today’s Best Parlay

🏀 Combined Parlay Odds: +597 (via BetMGM) 📈

• Chet Holmgren Over 17.5 Points

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points

• Jalen Williams Over 18.5 Points

Holmgren’s versatility gives Phoenix nightmares, given he can pop to the 3-point line, attack closeouts or finish lobs when the Suns send help toward Gilgeous-Alexander. Speaking of the reigning MVP, he thrives in big stages, leaning on his craft to live at the free throw line and get to his midrange spots whenever defenses overcommit. Williams rounds out the ticket as the connector who benefits from all that attention, scoring off drives, cuts and spot ups when Phoenix tilts its defense toward OKC’s other stars. If this NBA Cup showdown stays competitive into the fourth quarter, all three Thunder scorers have a clear path to their overs, making this one of the best parlay bets NBA fans can build around.

With only two games on the board but a trip to the NBA Cup final on the line, every possession should feel like playoff basketball. Shop around sports betting apps for the best numbers, look for last-minute injury updates and use these NBA picks today as a guide while you lock in your NBA player props tonight and NBA parlay picks.

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All Odds as of 6:23 a.m. ET on Dec. 10