Euro 2024 Betting Odds: England vs. Slovenia, Denmark vs. Serbia Group C Tuesday

As we continue handicapping Euro 2024 odds, let’s break down two potential England bets vs. Slovenia and Denmark vs. Serbia. Outside of England, which is favored to win Euro 2024, the others are bunched together in the Group C standings. England is on the three-way moneyline to win. Denmark is also favored in their match at . Let’s dissect Euro 2024 picks for Tuesday’s Group C matches.

James Tippett, author of The xG Philosophy, has shared his best bets below. Click any odds to bet now at online sportsbooks, and sign up for the best Euro 2024 sportsbook promos.

England vs. Slovenia Odds

Predictions & Best England Bets vs. Slovenia

Under Goals (+100)

I’ve tipped under 2.5 Goals in both England Group Stage games so far, and these bets have paid off with relative ease.

At the time of publishing, England have accumulated the lowest xG per 90 of any side at Euro 2024 apart from Scotland. They’ve amassed just 0.72(xG) per game. For context, Luton Town averaged 1.23(xG) per game in the Premier League last season.

Meanwhile, their defence have been incredibly solid. They’ve only allowed 0.54(xG) per game against them, which is the best of any team at the time of writing.

Slovenia should be their easiest test so far, but with England likely to keep a clean sheet, we just need them to avoid scoring more than two goals for this bet to land for the third time in a row.

James Tippett, author of The xG Philosophy

Lineup News

After Thursday’s 1-1 draw against Denmark, The Athletic reported that Southgate would remove Trent Alexander-Arnold from the starting lineup for their final group-stage match with Slovenia. Alexander-Arnold was initially used in place of Kalvin Phillips, who isn’t participating following his Euro 2020 run.

Conor Gallagher, who has subbed in for the Liverpool star in England’s Euro 2024 action, is expected to fill the void.

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how to bet on Denmark vs. Serbia odds

Denmark vs. Serbia Predictions & Best Bets

Denmark To Win:

Denmark are unbeaten so far at Euro 2024, but are also searching for their first win as they take on Serbia in the finale of Group C.

The Danes have actually been the best team in the group according to xG difference, sitting on +0.96(xG) across their two games. For context, England are +0.37(xG). They come up against Serbia, struggling at both ends of the pitch throughout the tournament.

With everything to play for in the final game of the group, I expect the Danes’ quality to shine through. Their odds against price in this match are enough for me to tip them as winners.

James Tippett, author of The xG Philosophy

If this match ends in a draw, your wager will be graded as a loss, as it’s part of a three-way moneyline market for Euro 2024 picks.

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Scenarios To Advance To Knockout Stage

There were initially two scenarios for England to move on: defeat against Slovenia in their last group match, or if Denmark couldn’t beat Serbia, England would qualify for the knockout stage, regardless of their outcome. England’s odds of winning Group C are .

Instead, England received a ticket into the knockout rounds after Albania were beaten 1-0 by Spain on Monday. The outcome in Düsseldorf locked in England as one of the third-place teams to qualify, at worst.

Meanwhile, Denmark and Slovenia are primed to advance automatically with wins. Denmark will also advance with a draw after Croatia’s blown lead in stoppage time. In this scenario, a third-place Denmark with three points avoids being one of the worst two third-place teams, as at least Croatia (two points) and Hungary (three points but worse goal differential) stay below Denmark.

Entering Euro 2024, England was unsurprisingly favored among Group C odds. However, if England doesn’t win the title, Gareth Southgate will reportedly hang up his name tag. He’s been England’s head coach since 2016. Under Southgate’s guidance, the Brits have made multiple semi-final and final appearances.

Still, they’ve yet to claim the elusive championship that Southgate is searching for.

Group C Table

Team	Points	Record	Goal Differential
England	4	1-1-0	+1
Denmark	2	0-2-0	0
Slovenia	2	0-2-0	0
Serbia	1	0-1-1	-1

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Euro 2024 Team Profiles

Group A	Group B	Group C	Group D	Group E	Group F
Germany	Spain	England	France	Belgium	Portugal
Switzerland	Italy	Denmark	Netherlands	Ukraine	Turkey
Hungary	Croatia	Serbia	Austria	Romania	Czech Republic
Scotland	Albania	Slovenia	Poland	Slovakia	Georgia

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