Although 76ers center Joel Embiid was initially ruled out for the Game 3 of the Heat-76ers’ series, there’s optimism that he could suit up after clearing concussion protocols. How are the Embiid odds triggering a shift in the market for Friday’s matchup?
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Embiid Odds: Heat vs. 76ers’ Game 3 Line Movement
As of Thursday evening, the Heat were as high as four-point favorites at PointsBet Sportsbook with Embiid’s status in doubt. But the 2022 MVP candidate reportedly could still play despite an orbital fracture and a torn ligament in his right thumb. The spread dipped to Miami -1.5 on Friday afternoon as a result.
Per veteran NBA reporter Shams Charania, the 7-foot, 280-pound Embiid has already been fitted for a mask. The last remaining variable boils down to his pain tolerance with it on. Keep in mind, he wore a mask in the 2018 first-round series against the Heat after suffering a broken left eye socket in a collision with then-teammate Markelle Fultz.
Betting Market Intuition for Embiid Odds?
While seeing the Sixers favored to win the first half of Game 3 may seem a bit odd, the sharp action in the market typically sides with a desperate team over the first 24 minutes — especially following a pair of double-digit losses. Couple that with Philadelphia returning to its home court with Embiid potentially back in the lineup, and everything adds up.
On the flip side, Miami’s Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, PJ Tucker, Gabe Vincent and Max Strus are all listed as questionable. Beyond Lowry (hamstring), the expectation is that all of them will see the floor on Friday night.
The Heat hold a 2-0 series lead and are priced at -1100 to advance to the Eastern Conference finals. The 76ers a +700 underdog to accomplish the same feat. You can find the latest NBA finals odds here as well.
Stay up-to-date on the conference semifinals’ betting market with TheLines’ odds comparison tool. There, you’ll find the most valuable price for every matchup.