Election Odds: Donald Trump Inching Closer To Joe Biden In Presidential Race

Posted By Matt Burke on August 25, 2020

Most experts believe the 2020 US Presidential race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden is going to go down to the wire. That is reflected in the election odds at European sportsbooks, as Biden is not as much of a favorite as he was a month ago – or even a week ago. Right now, Bet365 (UK) has Biden as a -135 favorite, with Trump at +115. Over at Betway, Biden is currently -137 with Trump sitting at +115.

In early July, Biden was -170 to win the race at Bet365 and Trump was +150.

Last week, while the Democrats were holding their virtual convention, Biden was -145 at Bet365 with Trump going off at +125.

CandidateBet365PredictIt Market
Kamala Harris+350Harris files for President before 2023?
Joe Biden+400Will Biden resign during first term?
Donald Trump +650Trump files for President before 2023?
Ron DeSantis+1100GOP 2024 Presidential nominee?
Nikki Haley+1200Woman President in 2024?
AOC+1600AOC files for President before 2024?
Mike Pence+1600Pence files for President before 2023?
Dwayne Johnson+2000N/A
Jeff Bezos+2000N/A
Ivanka Trump+2500Ivanka Trump in 2022 FL GOP Sen primary?
Elise Stefanik+2500N/A
Tucker Carlson+2500N/A
Michael Flynn+2800N/A
Cory Booker+3300Booker as Democratic nominee?
Michelle Obama+3300N/A
Ted Cruz+3300Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Mike Pompeo+4000N/A
Elizabeth Warren+4000Warren as Democratic nominee?
Pete Buttigieg+4000N/A
Marco Rubio+5000Which party will win the FL Senate race?
Kristi Noem+5000N/A

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Convention season impacting election odds?

Despite speeches that were widely praised by the left during the Democratic National Convention from former First Lady Michelle Obama, 2020 Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Kamala Harris, former President Barack Obama and Biden himself – the Dems did not make much headway at least with the sportsbooks.

The Republicans are up this week with their own convention, and it’s too early to tell if their presentations will sway the odds one way or another. The RNC runs through Thursday, Aug. 27.

Presidential debates coming up soon

One thing that could alter election odds in a certain direction is the fallout from the US Presidential Debates, which are still slated to go off this fall despite the ongoing pandemic. Here are the tentative dates and locations for all three Presidential Debates, as well as the lone Vice Presidential Debate.

  • Presidential Debate 1: Tuesday, Sept. 29 at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, Ohio
  • Vice Presidential Debate 1: Wednesday, Oct. 7 at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Presidential Debate 2: Thursday, Oct. 15 at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts in Miami, Florida
  • Presidential Debate 3: Thursday, Oct. 22 at Belmont University in Nashville Tennessee

Polls by CBS News and CNN in the fall of 2016 showed voters overwhelmingly touting then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton as the “winner” of the debates over Trump. Just after the final Presidential debate of that election cycle, RealClearPolitics showed Clinton’s head-to-head poll lead over Trump had increased from a 2.3% advantage after the first debate to a 6.5% lead after the final debate.

Twenty-five days after that last 2016 debate, however, Trump pulled off one of the all-time election upsets to become the 45th President of the United States.

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Matt Burke

Matt Burke is the Sports Editor and Head of Evergreen/SEO Content at TheLines.com. He is the Founder and former Editor-in-Chief of MetroBet, a digital and print sports betting platform, and was the Executive Sports Editor at Metro US Newspapers (New York, Philadelphia, Boston) from 2014-2020. Matt has covered Super Bowls and Final Fours, and his work has appeared for Sports Illustrated, CBS Sports, the Eagle Tribune, Gloucester Daily Times and Newburyport Daily News. Matt is a graduate of the University of Connecticut.

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