Duke vs. NC State Odds: Elite 8 Betting Tips, Expert Picks, Predictions, Promos

CBB Game Previews, College Basketball, March Madness

Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated March 31, 2024

The Tabacco Road Rivalry has reached a new chapter, with the fourth-seeded Duke Blue Devils and 11th-seeded NC State Wolfpack vying for a spot in the Final Four on Sunday. It’s certainly the most surprising matchup of March Madness odds at this juncture. ~~Tar Heel~~ Blue Devil and Wolfpack State residents can receive the best NC sportsbook promos to wager on Duke odds vs. NC State. Our exclusive offers will net you up to $2,700 in bonus bets!

Click anywhere below to wager on Duke or NC State. We’ve searched for the best available Elite 8 odds in your state.

Duke vs. nc state odds: spread, moneyline, total

Per the table above, the best Duke spread odds available are . Conversely, the Wolfpack are to win outright. The total is lined at . Remember that NC residents can receive exclusive offers on NC sports betting apps.

Will Either Team Undergo Regression?

Although the Blue Devils showcased their physicality in the upset victory over Houston in the Sweet 16, it came with an asterisk. Jamal Shead, the Cougars’ first-team All-American point guard, sustained a badly sprained ankle in the first half, forcing him to miss the rest of the game. Their half-court offense was a disaster, and the 7-foot Kyle Filipowski took full advantage for the Blue Devils, accumulating a game-high 16 points and nine rebounds in the three-point win.

Similarly, the Wolfpack won wire-to-wire as 6.5-point underdogs, with Marquette 4-of-31 (12.9%) behind the arc. For context, the Golden Eagles boast a top-85 perimeter scoring rate. Tyler Kolek, who received the same honors as Shead, hit just one triple.

Neither team has allowed higher than a 23.9% 3-point clip throughout the tournament. To boot, Duke’s opponents have shot just 52.2% from the free-throw line. Therefore, both teams could be in for negative variance, meaning the over is worth monitoring. Nevertheless, the quick turnaround makes this angle less appealing.

Evaluating Biggest Edges

The season series is knotted at one apiece, with NC State upsetting Duke in the ACC tournament quarterfinals as an 11-point underdog.

On both occasions, the winner accumulated a higher second-chance conversion percentage. The Wolfpack were even outrebounded in their most recent meeting, 39-35. However, they converted on almost every offensive rebound. The 6-foot-8 Mohamed Diarra, one of the most unheralded stars of the NCAA tournament, finished with four of them while shooting 4-of-5 (80.0%) at the rim.

On paper, the Blue Devils showcase a fairly significant size advantage. Filipowski’s prowess on the glass and Ryan Young’s presence off the bench are key variables. Jon Scheyer’s team should have no trouble dictating a slower tempo if they continue to assert themselves.

Additionally, the Wolfpack are more prone to surrendering open 3-point attempts. As explosive as NC State guard DJ Horne is offensively, he’s a bit of a liability at the other end of the court. If Tyrese Proctor and Jared McCain are lights out from deep, they could bury their in-state rivals early on — similar to the James Madison result. Remember that Duke boasts a top-15 perimeter efficiency (38.0%) nationally.

Predictions For Duke Odds Vs. NC State

My raw numbers have this spread closer to Blue Devils -5. Meanwhile, our partner Haslametrics forecasts a final score of Duke 76.3-NC State 69.6, slightly favoring Duke spread odds as of this publishing.

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Are There North Carolina sports betting restrictions For March Madness?

Bettors in North Carolina must be 21 or older. Sportsbook customers can bet on in-state college teams without stipulations on individual prop bets, including UNC, Duke, and NC State player props in the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

Overall, North Carolina sports betting is not restrictive. Sportsbook users can wager on professional and collegiate sports at their leisure.

Local college teams, including Duke and NC State in the NCAA tournament, are always offered.