Duke College Basketball Odds Vs. MSU: Will Blue Devils Cover In Champions Classic?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Duke Basketball Odds

Within the highly anticipated Champions Classic on Tuesday, No. 9 Duke is set as a favorite versus No. 19 Michigan State at the United Center in Chicago. Meanwhile, the Spartans are to win straight up, with a total of . Will the Blue Devils cover this big non-conference game? Let’s dissect MSU vs. Duke basketball odds, including key metrics and matchups to hone in on.

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Duke basketball odds vs. Michigan State

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Which Offense Bounces Back?

Both teams suffered losses in the first week of the college basketball season. Michigan State’s defeat at the hands of James Madison, which closed as a 16.5-point road underdog, was a tad more surprising. We’ll address that showing later, yet the Blue Devils notched just 0.96 PPP versus much-improved Arizona at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Duke’s offensive sets were a mess in the first 10 minutes before settling in. But Arizona’s length still managed to force its opponent into difficult spot-up shots in half-court action, particularly with Tyrese Proctor and Mark Mitchell, who combined 1-of-10 shooting from behind the arc. Tommy Lloyd’s crew even finished plus-15 on the glass, predicating to its preferred uptempo style. This category was a significant key to the handicap.

However, the Spartans aren’t nearly as lethal defensively or in the rebounding department. Look for the Blue Devils’ pick-and-roll offense to deliver higher efficiency. Tom Izzo aims to utilize his fast-paced offense at the other end of the court, like the Wildcats. Duke’s transition defense is more of a liability, as Arizona illustrated. But unless MSU outperforms expectations defensively, Jon Scheyer’s bunch will likely dictate the pace.

Additionally, Michigan State’s half-court offense has been one-dimensional, shooting just 6.5% from 3-point territory. This percentage will eventually rise, considering it’s only a two-game sample size. Nevertheless, the Spartans’ perimeter shooting should have been more of a concern. Not only did they lose four-man Joey Hauser, but they also generated the 12th-worst shot selection across D-I last season (per ShotQuality). Their 39.3% efficiency from deep was due to dip.

Finding some semblance of success with the physical A.J. Hoggard in ball-screen action is critical. Then again, the 6-foot-4 combo guard must rediscover consistency with his jumper.

Final Thoughts

I have Duke power rated more than a possession higher than Sparty. You can see my top-25 college basketball power rankings for more insight. Good luck with your bets on Duke basketball odds.

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