Duke College Basketball Odds Vs. Pitt: Will Blue Devils Cover At Panthers?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Duke basketball odds

Ahead of this ACC tilt, No. 11 Duke is positioned as a favorite at Pitt. Conversely, the Panthers are to deliver the outright upset. The total is . Tipoff is 9 p.m. ET on ESPN. Will the Blue Devils cover the point spread? Let’s examine Duke basketball odds at Pitt, including key metrics and matchups to hone in on.

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Duke basketball odds AT Pitt

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How Did We Get Here?

Despite the Blue Devils’ six-game winning streak, they’re stationed as high as to win the national title. For reference, those odds are identical to their price before knocking off No. 14 Baylor in mid-December. Led by sophomore big Kyle Filowpowski, who is well behind Purdue’s Zach Edey in the Wooden Award race at , Duke boasts the 11th-rated adjusted offensive efficiency over the last month.

Much of that refinement is because of the emergence of five-star freshman Jared McCain. With lead guard Tyrese Proctor sidelined for a few nights, McCain saw an expanded role and has averaged 18.0 points per game in the last six contests. Moreover, he’s produced a stellar 1.35 points per shot on catch-and-shoot looks. His efficiency has freed more space for the All-American candidate in Filipowski.

However, Jon Scheyer’s team hasn’t been as proficient at the other end. In particular, its isolation coverage ranks in the 13th percentile (per Synergy). Carlton Carrington, Pitt’s five-star combo guard, is adept at exploiting that very weakness.

The Panthers snapped their two-game skid in Saturday’s 13-point win at lowly Louisville. Yet, Carrington’s scoring prowess must repeatedly expose Jeremy Roach & Co. for Jeff Capel’s bunch to have a chance to cover this two-possession spread.

Utilizing Power Ratings

Per my college basketball power rankings, Duke and Pitt are separated by a hair over double digits. Even after factoring in home-court advantage for the Panthers, my raw numbers give an edge to the Blue Devils. Unless they’re victimized by a letdown spot, which isn’t out of the realm of possibilities, McCain and the rest of Duke’s marksmen should present a rude awakening to Pitt’s fortunate perimeter defense (26.9%).

On the other hand, Haslametrics forecasts a final score of 71.90-71.54, everso slightly favoring Duke. Erik Haslam, who owns and operates this college hoops analytics site, will join me on the Outside Shots podcast throughout the season. Listen to the latest episode below.

Duke basketball odds: Player Props Vs. Pitt

This table will populate when sportsbooks open player props for Duke vs. Pitt, typically on the day of the game.

duke basketball Futures

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