2025 Super Bowl Odds: 49ers Clear Favorites, Chiefs, Bills, Ravens In Second Tier

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
2025 Super Bowl odds

While football fans and bettors understandably focus on the thrilling upcoming conference championship games, DraftKings Sportsbook quietly opened 2025 Super Bowl odds. Though these rough early Super Bowl odds typically have quite a bit of vig built in, they still make for an interesting discussion point and a lens through which we can look toward next season.

Unsurprisingly, the loaded 49ers, which looked like the best team for most of this past season, sit atop the odds board. A trio of AFC teams boasting top QBs follow. Then, the more speculative teams begin to appear. Way down at the bottom, no surprise to anyone, sit the Carolina Panthers after a 2-15 season in which their QB looked overmatched playing with a roster made threadbare thanks to trading its top playmaker.

Opening Super Bowl odds For 2024-2025

TeamOpening Odds2023-24 Record/Result
San Francisco 49ers+550TBD
Kansas City Chiefs+850TBD
Buffalo Bills+90011-6, Lost in divisional playoff
Baltimore Ravens+95013-4, Lost in conference championship
Detroit Lions+120012-5, Lost in conference championship
Cincinnati Bengals+12009-8, Missed playoffs
Miami Dolphins+150011-6, Lost in wild card playoff
Houston Texans+200010-7, Lost in divisional playoff
Dallas Cowboys+200012-5, Lost in wild card playoff
Philadelphia Eagles+220011-6, Lost in wild card playoff
New York Jets+22007-10, Missed playoffs
Green Bay Packers+22009-8, Lost in divisional playoff
Atlanta Falcons+25007-10, Missed playoffs
L.A. Chargers+30005-12, Missed playoffs
Jacksonville Jaguars+30009-8, Missed playoffs
Chicago Bears+30007-10, Missed playoffs
L.A. Rams+350010-7, Lost in wild card playoff
Cleveland Browns+350011-6, Lost in wild card playoff
Indianapolis Colts+40009-8, Missed playoffs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+50009-8, Lost in divisional playoff
Minnesota Vikings+50007-10, Missed playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers+750010-7, Lost in wild card playoff
Seattle Seahawks+80009-8, Missed playoffs
Arizona Cardinals+80004-13, Missed playoffs
Washington Commanders+100004-13, Missed playoffs
New York Giants+100006-11, Missed playoffs
New Orleans Saints+100009-8, Missed playoffs
New England Patriots+100004-13, Missed playoffs
Las Vegas Raiders+100008-9, Missed playoffs
Denver Broncos+100008-9, Missed playoffs
Tennessee Titans+150006-11, Missed playoffs
Carolina Panthers+200002-15, Missed playoffs

Teams Of Note In Early Super Bowl odds

San Francisco 49ers

It’s always instructive to look at the favorite, and the 49ers should basically bring the band back from arguably the strongest roster in the NFL. Chase Young is the only major contributor hitting free agency.

With Brock Purdy still on his ultra-cheap rookie deal (a $1 million cap hit!), the good times should keep rolling here. All of their key weapons, aside from Brandon Aiyuk, have dealt with injuries, which probably qualifies as the main concern on this roster. However, there’s so much depth in terms of impact playmaking that the team can likely work around any one injury.

The defense backslid a bit this year, and key performers in the back seven will continue to age out of their primes. But even a middling defense here would keep the 49ers in the top echelon of teams as long as Kyle Shanahan continues to power the offense.

As long as Purdy continues to provide above-average play for pennies, the 49ers remain the team to beat in the NFC.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills have been a hot market choice as a top contender each of the past two seasons, including consensus favorite status prior to 2022. That has netted them exactly zero conference championship appearances in that time.

Unfortunately for the Bills, the “hard mode” switch is about to get flipped on. Josh Allen becomes expensive for the first time, and a ton of meaningful contributors have their contracts end. The defense in particular loses a ton of pieces.

The offense could look quite different as well. Buffalo will have to hope that Stefon Diggs was playing through an injury because he looked like he hit a cliff in the second half of the season. Joe Brady transformed the unit into a run-heavy operation, and that might continue if he sticks around and this is just what Diggs is now. How that would work and whether it could be sustained over a full season is an open question.

With one of the worst cap situations in the league for 2024, the Bills have some tough decisions ahead.

Cincinnati Bengals And New York Jets

The “QB injuries” duo includes the top two non-playoff teams in the market.

Cincinnati obviously gets Joe Burrow back, and one wouldn’t think a hand injury will have any lingering effects going forward. Burrow’s cap number remains very team-friendly, but there are questions elsewhere.

On offense, the receiving corps could get a makeover. A major decision on Tee Higgins looms, and Tyler Boyd will be gone as the team transitions the WR3 job to one of its younger prospects. Right tackle Jonah Williams is expected to walk as well.

Bigger issues exist on defense. The secondary got shredded for much of the season, as Lou Anarumo’s magic seemed to head out the door with his starting safeties. Chidobe Awuzie, their best corner, will seek a big payday as his contract ends.

Meanwhile, the Jets saw Aaron Rodgers play a token few snaps before popping his Achilles.

It’s anyone’s guess what Rodgers has left, but the only certainty is that he’ll need more help than the Jets provided their rotation of replacement-level QBs this year. A porous offensive line that couldn’t run block or protect the passer will need more pieces. The playmaking corps is also too thin despite the presence of Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall.

An elite defense should remain among the league’s best despite some important contributors (Bryce Huff, Jordan Whitehead) becoming free agents.

Both of these teams have the disadvantage of playing in very difficult divisions. While the Jets aren’t projected to have the cap space to make any major moves, the Bengals rank sixth in total cap space per PFF.

Indianapolis Colts

In TheLines’ chat with PFF cap guru Brad Spielberger, he mentioned the Colts as a team to watch for next year. They do have a few things that make them interesting.

For one, they possess a raft of cap space, the fifth-most per PFF’s projections. They must replace important pieces from the defense if Grover Stewart and Kenny Moore walk, but they have the ammo to do so.

Shane Steichen proved an adept head coach in his rookie year. He took a team few expected to contend to the brink of a division title, albeit in a weak division. The fact he did so while almost entirely playing a backup QB makes that all the more impressive.

Of course, therein lies the rub. Anthony Richardson provided tantalizing glimpses. But he somehow managed to sustain ankle, head and shoulder (season-ending) injuries despite appearing in just four games. That obviously can’t continue if this team hopes to make any noise.

As a potentially intriguing longshot, keep an eye on the Colts. If they make sharp additions and you’re bullish on Richardson’s play and health,


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