After facing Green Bay, Kliff Kingsbury’s team is set to play San Francisco, Carolina and Seattle before its Week 12 bye.
Arizona Cardinals First Loss Odds
While the Rams (+1200) or Cowboys (+2500) may seem intriguing, those games don’t occur until Weeks 14 and 17, respectively. The likelihood of the Cardinals retaining an undefeated mark until either matchup is indicated by the price — with an exact probability of 7.7% (Los Angeles) and 3.8% (Dallas) to pull off the upset.
Arizona boasts the league’s second-highest expected points added (EPA) per dropback, as Kyler Murray remains the favorite to win NFL MVP at most sportsbooks. EPA is calculated by expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position at the start of a play — juxtaposed with the end result.
Murray’s prowess at escaping pressure factors into the Cardinals’ sixth-rated EPA per carry, but their offensive line deserves credit too, slotting in as the ninth-rated pass blocking group (via Pro Football Focus). They’re currently missing center Rodney Hudson, who’s on injured reserve with a rib injury.
Kingsbury’s defense also places No. 2 in EPA per play, ranking behind the Bills in that department. Chandler Jones, Markus Golden, J.J. Watt and Jordan Hicks are propelling one of the NFL’s premier pass rushing units, which will be tested against Aaron Rodgers (No. 5 EPA/dropback among quarterbacks) on Thursday night.
Overall, Arizona averages out to a 4.6 in TheLines Power Rankings, as Tampa Bay, Buffalo, LA Rams and Dallas are the lone teams ahead. The betting market is buying into the Cardinals as well, sitting as low as +850 to win the Super Bowl.