Patriots vs. Dolphins SNF Preview: Best NFL Week 2 Betting Site Odds, Promos
The Miami Dolphins (1-0) visit the New England Patriots (0-1) at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 17. Dolphins odds show Miami is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Patriots odds at as the best price for New England to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Patriots vs. Dolphins odds.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Betting Odds
NFL Week 2 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Props
How will the Patriots defend this passing offense, one that absolutely embarrassed the Chargers to the tune of 466 yards and 10.4 YPA? That’s the central question not only to betting on this game as a whole but also to the prop markets.
Along those lines, one prop that interests me is Tyreek Hill’s receiving yardage.
Tyreek Hill Under 83.5 Receiving Yards
One of the most impressive performances of Week 1 came from the Patriots defense. Not only did they hold the Eagles under 20 points in terms of offensive output, but they did an excellent job limiting the high-octane pair of Philly wideouts. Devonta Smith and AJ Brown combined for 126 yards on 20 targets, a more than acceptable result.
So while the market is rightfully excited about the amazing performance of Hill and Tua Tagovailoa after their Week 1 deluge, I think we may have a sell opportunity. Hill now faces off with a secondary that looked solid and a coach notorious for forcing opposing offenses to their second and third options.
Keep in mind Hill can still have a pretty decent game and fail to clear 83.5 yards. If he had seven catches for 75 yards and a touchdown, would anyone walk away thinking Hill no-showed?
I expect a strong game from the Patriots defense, a sound approach from Bill Belichick and a far less impressive show from Hill. Hopefully, it includes 82 or fewer receiving yards.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Player Props
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Patriots vs. Dolphins weather
Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., is forecast to see 58-degree weather on Sunday evening. Winds should be “light and variable” with a 19% chance of precipitation.
Weather looks unlikely to play much of a role in this game.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Injury Report
NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Dolphins injury report and Patriots injury report for this week.
Starters On The Injury Report
For the Dolphins, the main risk looks to be attached to RB Raheem Mostert. The oft-injured player sustained a knee ailment and missed Wednesday’s practice. Should he end up unable to go, expect Salvon Ahmed to play as the starter, while rookie De’Von Achane may play some kind of role.
On the Patriots’ side, starting LT Trent Brown missed Wednesday’s practice while in concussion protocol. The Patriots don’t have an experienced backup, with Vederian Lowe (33 snaps played) listed there. Missing Brown could be devastating to the Patriots, especially since they likely need to run the ball here against a Dolphins defense that got trucked up front by the Chargers.
Dolphins Offense vs. Patriots Defense
This is the matchup everyone will be watching for in Sunday Night Football odds. Can the Dolphins repeat their incredible offensive performance? It would be wrong to say they took the league by storm, exactly, considering they did more of the same last year. But, certainly, few saw that coming since the total sat at a reasonably low 50s number with the Dolphins as underdogs.
The Patriots did impress, as noted, in defending a similarly dangerous pair of WRs in Week 1. They also put a fair amount of pressure on Jalen Hurts. While he managed to escape for (short) runs a few times, Tagovailoa does not present a similar threat. Especially so, one would think, with the team working diligently to keep him out of concussion protocol.
Keep in mind the Dolphins don’t have a very strong offensive line on paper. Also, the Patriots will have little to respect in the running game, especially if Raheem Mostert sits out. They’ll completely focus their defensive attention around slowing this passing attack.
We’ll see if hot rookie CB Christian Gonzalez and his compatriots can repeat their Week 1 trick.
Patriots Offense vs. Dolphins Defense
Not much was expected out of this Patriots offense, but they had a fairly impressive Week 1 showing against the highly regarded Eagles. Certainly, falling into an immediate 16-0 hole likely influenced how Bill O’Brien ultimately called his coaching return to New England. But, Mac Jones looked considerably more comfortable than in 2022 aside from an errant throw that bounced off a receiver for a pick-six.
Miami did decent work putting pressure on Justin Herbert and limiting a potentially great Chargers passing game. However, they did horrid work on the ground, allowing 5.8 YPA and 233 yards total.
The trick for O’Brien will be balancing attacking what looks like a weak rushing defense with not shifting too much of the offense to Rhamondre Stevenson and Ezekiel Elliott. The latter endured a very poor Pats debut, losing a really soft fumble that contributed to the early deficit.
Keep an eye on the Patriots offensive line in the injury report as well. If Trent Brown can’t go, then the Pats will roll out a pair of backup tackles against sharp veteran defensive mind Vic Fangio. At that point, running the ball effectively would become of utmost importance.
Reasons To Bet The Over/Under
Colleague Eli Hershkovich expressed support for the under in this one on Beat The Closing Number, hoping to find Under 47 at some point.
I have to say that with the way I expect the Patriots to play offense here — attack on the ground, keep the clock churning — I agree that’s the way I’d lean. Particularly so with the cautious optimism I have regarding New England’s potential for slowing this high-flying offense down.
Even if the Dolphins have success on offense, obviously a distinct possibility, if the Patriots can limit the big plays, we could still see this go under.
An early Dolphins lead would make me lean to a live over, however. Bill O’Brien showed he’s ready to air it out if need be, with Mac Jones throwing in excess of 50 passes. And Miami has not shown a proclivity to slow down even with a lead, running up numerous big margins in 2022.
Final Thoughts
I’m interested in the Patriots at +3 because I think they have the potential to make this Dolphins offense look a lot more human than the Chargers did. Bill Belichick has seen it all and doesn’t seem likely to get caught off guard by the sorts of motion that caught the Chargers flat-footed.
This is also a stronger run-blocking line than the Chargers have. If LA could steamroll Miami up front, why not New England?
Generally, just given how solid the Pats looked in outplaying Philly, I can’t say I agree with the move from Miami -1 (the preseason line) to Miami -3. As long I can get the full +3, and I don’t see anything too troubling on the Patriots injury report, I’m going to have a small play on them.
Best of luck betting on Patriots vs. Dolphins odds.
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