Dolphins vs. Broncos: NFL Betting Preview – November 22, 2020

Posted By Staff on November 17, 2020 - Last Updated on November 23, 2020

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) are  against the Denver Broncos (3-6) on Sunday, November 22, at Empower Field at Mile High. The contest’s over/under is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of November 17, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • The points total average for Dolphins games this season is 48.1, 3.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The average total for Broncos games is 48.9 points, 3.9 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Dolphins games have gone over 45 points on six occasions this season (66.7% of matchups).
  • In six (66.7%) games this season, the Broncos have combined with their opponents to go over 45 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 45 points, 3.6 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.
  • The Dolphins score the ninth-most points in the league this season, while the Broncos’ offense racks up the 28th-most.
  • These two teams allow a combined 48.4 points per game, 3.4 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • This matchup features the league’s 27th-ranked (Denver) and fifth-ranked (Miami) scoring defenses.

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Miami is 7-2 against the spread.
  • The Dolphins have an ATS record of 1-0 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Miami’s games have gone under the point total in five out of nine outings this season (55.6%).

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver has put together a 5-4 record against the spread this season.
  • Denver’s games have hit the over in five out of nine outings this season (55.6%).

When the Dolphins Have the Ball

  • The Dolphins average points scored this season (27.9) and the Broncos points allowed (28.2) are within 0.3 points of each other.
  • When they meet or exceed their scoring average this season, Miami is 5-1 and 6-0 against the spread.
  • When the Denver defense allows 28.2 points or fewer this year, the Broncos have put together a 2-3 overall record and a 4-1 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins offense has averaged 318.1 total yards per game this season, 41.9 yards fewer than the 360 allowed by the Broncos defense.
  • The Dolphins average 5.4 yards per play while the Broncos allow 5.3 per play.
  • In contests where the Miami offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall.
  • When Denver allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 2-3 against the spread and 2-3 overall this season.
  • The Broncos have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 128.8 yards per game, compared to the 98.7 yards the Dolphins offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Miami rushers gain at least a combined 98.7 yards this season, they are 3-2 overall and 4-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Denver defense allows opponents to pick up less than 128.8 yards on the ground, they are 2-3 against the spread and 1-4 overall.
  • The Dolphins have turned the ball over 1.1 times per game this season, while the Broncos have averaged one takeaway per contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, Miami is 4-1 overall and 5-0 against the spread.
  • Denver’s record this season when they force more than one turnover: 3-2 ATS, 2-3 overall

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos score just 0.5 more points per game (20.7) than the Dolphins allow (20.2).
  • Denver is 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 20.7 points.
  • This season, Miami has a 6-0 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 27.9 or fewer points.
  • The Broncos average 38 fewer yards per game (334), than the Dolphins allow per contest (372). The Broncos average 5.1 yards per play, while the Dolphins allow 5.6 per play.
  • In games Miami keeps its opponents to 372 or fewer yards, it has a 4-1 record ATS and a 4-1 record overall.
  • This season, the Broncos rack up 106.6 yards per game on the ground, 21.4 fewer per game than the Dolphins allow per contest (128).
  • When Denver rushes for at least 106.6 yards, it recorded a 4-1 ATS record and a 3-2 overall record.
  • This season, Miami is 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 overall when holding opponents to no more than 128 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Broncos turn the ball over 2.3 times per game, 0.6 more turnovers per game than the 1.7 the Dolphins force on average.
  • Denver is 4-2 against the spread and 2-4 overall when it turns the ball over 2.3 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.7 or more turnovers, Miami has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 3-0 record overall.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Salvon Ahmed has 123 yards on 28 carries (61.5 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of two games.
  • This season, Davante Parker has 38 catches (56 targets) to lead the team with 462 yards (51.3 per game) with three touchdowns.
  • Mike Gesicki’s statline this year shows 24 catches for 371 yards and two touchdowns. He puts up 41.2 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 41 times.
  • This year, Jakeem Grant has caught 22 passes on 29 targets for 229 yards and one touchdown, averaging 25.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Emmanuel Ogbah has eight sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up four TFL and 26 tackles.
  • So far this year, DeAndre Baker has racked up 69 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.
  • Xavien Howard has a team-high five interceptions and has tacked on 25 tackles and 10 passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • This year, Drew Lock has collected 1,497 passing yards (213.9 yards per game) while going 131-for-238 (55% completion percentage) and throwing seven touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
  • Melvin Gordon has taken 107 attempts for a team-leading 439 rushing yards (54.9 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns.
  • Philip Lindsay has 312 yards on 57 carries (52 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of six games.
  • Jerry Jeudy has been targeted 69 times and has 34 catches for 552 yards (61.3 ypg) and two touchdowns in his rookie year.
  • Tim Patrick’s statline this year shows 31 catches for 444 yards and three touchdowns. He averages 55.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 48 times.
  • Noah Fant has caught 35 passes on 53 targets for 367 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 45.9 yards per game.
  • Bradley Chubb has registered a team-leading 5.5 sacks, while adding six TFL and 25 tackles.
  • This season, A.J. Johnson has racked up 77 tackles, three TFL, and one sack.
  • Justin Simmons has a team-high three interceptions and has tacked on 58 tackles, one TFL, and five passes defended.

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