Dolphins vs. Bengals: Week 12 NFL Betting Preview – December 6, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 1, 2020

The 2-8-1 Cincinnati Bengals take a three-game losing streak into a matchup with the 7-4 Miami Dolphins on Sunday, December 6, at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami is a  favorite in the contest and the game has an over/under of .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 1, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Dolphins games have gone over 41.5 points on seven occasions this season (63.6% of matchups).
  • In seven (63.6%) games this season, the Bengals have combined with their opponents to go over 41.5 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 41.5 points, 5.2 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.
  • These two teams yield a combined 44.9 points per game, 3.4 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Dolphins games average 44.5 total points per game this season, equal to the over/under for this matchup.
  • This season, Bengals games have resulted in an average scoring total of 47.2, which is 5.7 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Dolphins are the 15th-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Bengals have scored the 26th-most points.
  • Cincinnati has surrendered the 22nd-fewest points in the league this season, while Miami has given up the second-fewest.
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Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Four of Miami’s 11 games this year have gone over the point total (36.4% of its opportunities).
  • Miami has put together an 8-3 record against the spread this season.

Bengals Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati’s games have hit the over in six out of 11 outings this season (54.5%).
  • Cincinnati has compiled a 7-4 record against the spread this season.

Dolphins vs Bengals: Head to Head

Dolphins vs Bengals: Last Meeting
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/22/2019 Bengals Dolphins -1.5 45.5 -130 +115 502-430 MIA 38-35 MIA

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Dolphins Have the Ball

  • The Dolphins average points scored this season (25.8) and the Bengals points allowed (26.3) are within 0.5 points of each other.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Miami is 5-1 and 6-0 against the spread.
  • When the Cincinnati defense allows 26.3 points or fewer this year, the Bengals have pieced together a 2-3-1 overall record and a 4-2 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins offense has averaged 311.9 total yards per game this season, 78.6 yards fewer than the 390.5 allowed by the Bengals defense.
  • The Dolphins average 5.2 yards per play while the Bengals allow 6 per play.
  • In contests where the Miami offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 4-1 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • When the Cincinnati defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 2-4 against the spread and 0-5-1 overall.
  • The Bengals have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 136.7 yards per game, compared to the 95.3 yards the Dolphins offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Miami rushers gain at least a combined 95.3 yards this season, they are 4-2 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When Cincinnati limits opposing teams to 136.7 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 3-1 against the spread and 1-3 overall.
  • This season, the Bengals have forced an average of one turnover per game, compared to the 1.2 times Dolphins have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Miami turns the football over 1.2 times or fewer this season, they are 4-2 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • Cincinnati’s record this season when they force more than one turnover: 7-2 ATS, 2-6-1 overall

When the Bengals Have the Ball

  • The Bengals rack up 20.9 points per game, comparable to the 18.6 per contest the Dolphins give up.
  • When Cincinnati scores at least 20.9 points, it is 6-0 against the spread and 2-3-1 overall.
  • Miami has a 6-0 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall in games when it allows opponents to score 25.8 points or less.
  • The Bengals rack up 38.2 fewer yards per game (331.5), than the Dolphins give up per matchup (369.7). The Bengals average 4.8 yards per play, while the Dolphins allow 5.7 per play.
  • Miami has a 5-1 record ATS and a 5-1 record overall when holding its opponents to 369.7 yards or less.
  • This season, the Bengals pile up 96.3 yards per game on the ground, 33.5 fewer per game than the Dolphins allow per outing (129.8).
  • When Cincinnati runs for at least 96.3 yards, it had a 3-2 ATS record and a 2-3 overall record.
  • Miami is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall when holding opponents to 129.8 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Bengals turn the ball over 1.5 times per game, 0.2 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.7 the Dolphins force on average.
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 against the spread and 2-2-1 overall when it turns the ball over 1.5 or fewer times.
  • This season, Miami has a 4-1 record against the spread and a 4-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.7 turnovers.

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Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for 1,909 yards while completing 68.5% of his passes (174-of-254), with 12 touchdowns and eight interceptions in eight games this year (238.6 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 30 times for 151 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 18.9 yards per game.
  • Matt Breida has taken 47 attempts for a team-leading 168 rushing yards (18.7 yards per game) while scoring zero touchdowns in nine games.
  • This season, DeVante Parker has 52 catches (on 79 targets) to lead the team with 642 yards (58.4 per game) while scoring four touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Mike Gesicki’s statline this year shows 30 grabs for 449 yards and three touchdowns over the course of 11 games. He puts up 40.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 51 times.
  • This season, Jakeem Grant has caught 26 passes on 37 targets for 256 yards and one touchdown, averaging 23.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Emmanuel Ogbah has eight sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 5.0 TFL and 34 tackles.
  • Jerome Baker has totaled 76 tackles, three TFL, and 2.5 sacks to lead the team in tackles so far.
  • Xavien Howard has picked off seven passes to lead the team while adding 35 tackles, one TFL, and 15 passes defended.

Bengals Players to Watch

  • Brandon Allen has thrown for 136 yards while completing 58.6% of his passes (17-of-29), with one touchdown and one interception in one game this year.
  • Giovani Bernard has taken 65 attempts for 223 rushing yards (20.3 yards per game) and two touchdowns. He’s also caught 34 passes for 261 yards (23.7 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air.
  • Samaje Perine has added 102 rushing yards on 24 carries (9.3 yards per game), with one touchdown this season.
  • This season, Tyler Boyd has 72 catches (on 93 targets) to lead the team with 725 yards (65.9 per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
  • Rookie Tee Higgins has tacked on 48 catches for 673 yards and five touchdowns. He has been targeted 76 times and averages 61.2 receiving yards per game.
  • A.J. Green has totaled 357 yards on 35 passes with one touchdown in 2020, averaging 32.5 yards per game on 80 targets.
  • Carl Lawson has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added three TFL and 29 tackles.
  • This season, Vonn Bell has totaled 83 tackles and two TFL.
  • Jessie Bates III has a team-high three interceptions and has tacked on 76 tackles, three TFL, and 12 passes defended.

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