Dodgers Vs Braves: NLCS Game 1 Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – October 16, 2021

Written By Staff on October 16, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56) meet the Atlanta Braves (88-73) to open the NLCS on Saturday at 8:08 PM ET at Truist Park. Los Angeles’ (-110 to win) Max Fried and Atlanta’s (-110) Corey Knebel will take the mound first.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 16, 2021, 7:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Dodgers vs Braves Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Fried (LAD) Pitcher Knebel (ATL)
14 – 7 W/L 4 – 0
165.2 IP 25.2
3.04 ERA 2.45
1.090 WHIP 0.940
8.6 K/9 10.5
2.2 BB/9 2.8

Dodgers Probable Starter Max Fried

  • Fried (14-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 158 strikeouts in 165 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his 29th of the season.
  • His most recent time out was for the Braves on Saturday, Oct. 9 when the left-hander threw six scoreless innings against the Brewers while allowing three hits.
  • The opposing Braves offense has a collective .244 batting average, and is 14th in the league with 1306 total hits and eighth in MLB action with 790 runs scored. They have the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.435) and rank third in home runs (239) in all of MLB.
  • The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite for two Fried starts this season — they split the games.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 16, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Braves Probable Starter Corey Knebel

  • Knebel (4-0) will take the mound for the Braves, his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came with the Dodgers on Friday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the Giants while allowing one hit.
  • The Dodgers rank 11th in MLB with a .244 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.429) and 237 home runs.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of October 16, 2021 at 7:38 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Dodgers Stats vs Knebel

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Trea Turner 23 .348 8 1 2 .423 .945
Justin Turner 19 .421 8 3 3 .476 1.423
Cody Bellinger 16 .312 5 1 5 .421 .921
Corey Seager 16 .188 3 2 2 .188 .750
Mookie Betts 15 .200 3 0 0 .294 .494
AJ Pollock 15 .200 3 0 0 .250 .450
Will Smith 14 .214 3 0 0 .214 .428
Austin Barnes 9 .556 5 1 1 .600 1.489
Chris Taylor 9 .111 1 0 0 .273 .384
Albert Pujols 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 .666

Dodgers Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers score an average of five runs per game at home and 5.1 per contest away from Truist Park.
  • The Dodgers score the fourth-most runs in baseball (830 total, 5.1 per game).
  • The Dodgers have won 106 of the 159 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -110 or shorter, Los Angeles has gone 106-53 (66.7%).
  • In the 162 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Los Angeles, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-82-11).
  • Los Angeles played as the moneyline favorite in each of its last 10 games, and finished 9-1 in those matchups.
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Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have scored the eighth-most runs in the league this season with 790.
  • They’ve scored 4.7 runs per game this season on the road while averaging five at home.
  • The Braves have been underdogs in 49 games this season and won 23 (46.9%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 24-26, a 48% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of -110 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 74 of 161 chances this season.
  • Over the past 10 games, Atlanta has been the underdog twice and split those games 1-1.

Dodgers Players to Watch

  • Trea Turner has put up a team-high batting average of .328, and paces the Dodgers in home runs (28).
  • Turner ranks first in hits (195), first in AVG (.328), eighth in OBP (.375), and 18th in SLG (.536) among the qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Justin Turner has shown off his power as he leads his team with 27 home runs and 87 runs batted in.
  • Among the qualified hitters in MLB, Justin Turner’s hitting stats are not among league batting leaders in MLB.

Dodgers Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Trea Turner 595 .328 107 28 77 .375 .911
Justin Turner 533 .278 87 27 87 .361 .832
Chris Taylor 507 .254 92 20 73 .344 .782
Mookie Betts 466 .262 93 23 58 .365 .850
Will Smith 414 .258 71 25 76 .365 .860
A.J. Pollock 384 .297 53 21 69 .355 .891
Corey Seager 353 .306 54 16 57 .394 .915
Gavin Lux 335 .242 49 7 46 .328 .692
Cody Bellinger 315 .165 39 10 36 .240 .542
Matt Beaty 204 .270 35 7 40 .363 .765

Braves Players to Watch

  • Austin Riley leads Atlanta in home runs with 33, runs batted in with 107 and his batting average of .303 is also best on his team.
  • Riley ranks sixth in hits (179), eighth in AVG (.303), 19th in OBP (.367), 21st in HR (33), and seventh in RBI (107) among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Riley enters this game on a five-game hitting streak, during which he’s hitting .368 with one homer.
  • Freddie Freeman has collected 180 hits this season and has an OBP of .393. He’s slugging .503 on the year.
  • Among qualified hitters, Freeman ranks 10th in AVG (.300), fourth in OBP (.393), and fifth in hits (180) in the league.

Braves Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ozzie Albies 629 .259 103 30 106 .310 .798
Freddie Freeman 600 .300 120 31 83 .393 .896
Austin Riley 590 .303 91 33 107 .367 .898
Dansby Swanson 588 .248 78 27 88 .311 .760
Adam Duvall 314 .229 41 22 68 .277 .755
Guillermo Heredia 305 .220 46 5 26 .311 .665
Eddie Rosario 283 .254 29 7 46 .296 .685
Joc Pederson 256 .230 35 11 39 .300 .718
Travis d’Arnaud 209 .220 21 7 26 .284 .672
Adam Duvall 199 .226 26 16 45 .287 .800

Dodgers vs Braves Player Props

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