Demarcus Robinson: Super Bowl Player Props for Chiefs vs Buccaneers – February 7, 2021

Posted By Staff on February 4, 2021

Demarcus Robinson’s Kansas City Chiefs meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s some insights and tips around Robinson’s receiving yards prop bet.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Demarcus Robinson Super Bowl Player Props

Demarcus Robinson Props: What You Need To Know

It was reported Monday that Demarcus Robinson was placed on the COVID-reserve list along with center Daniel Kilgore after a team barber tested positive for the virus. His status remains uncertain for Super Bowl LV.

The Kansas City Chiefs run “11” personnel the third-most in the NFL (behind Cincinnati, Pittsburgh). As a quick refresher, 11 personnel means there’s one running back, one tight end, and three receivers on the field. With Travis Kelce being one of their best weapons, it’s rare to see KC run four wide (just three snaps all season), already limiting Robinson’s time on the football field.

Robinson sees the most action as a rotational WR3 and when other players are injured (recently Sammy Watkins). However, he does find himself on the field roughly 65% of the time (sometimes as high as 80%) and, more recently, around 70-80% of offensive snaps. This has translated into some games with a sizable target share; six times this season Robinson has been targeted five or more times.

Robinson’s average depth of target (aDOT), 8.7 yards, is second-most on the team to Tyreek Hill and his air yards percentage, 14.1%, is fourth on the team. He is utilized in two ways: over the top and in the screen game. Robinson’s yardage and touchdown props are gambles. Like many players on the Kansas City offense, he’s a home run hitter that’s boom or bust. His last time out against the Bucs, Robinson was targeted six times and hauled in five catches for just 36 yards.

Demarcus Robinson: Super Bowl Prop Checklist

Best Super Bowl Prop Bets

Robinson’s Game-by-Game Stats

Week Opponent Off. Snaps Targets Receptions Yards TDs
Week 1 Texans 33 6 3 20 0
Week 2 @Chargers 48 4 3 28 0
Week 3 @Ravens 41 1 0 0 0
Week 4 Patriots 23 0 0 0 0
Week 5 Raiders 49 4 2 2 0
Week 6 @Bills 69 6 5 69 0
Week 7 @Broncos 34 1 1 4 0
Week 8 Jets 36 5 4 63 1
Week 9 Panthers 50 3 3 34 1
Week 11 @Raiders 63 8 6 44 0
Week 12 @Buccaneers 57 6 5 36 0
Week 13 Broncos 37 2 2 39 0
Week 14 @Dolphins 33 1 1 13 0
Week 15 @Saints 50 3 2 27 0
Week 16 Falcons 41 2 2 29 1
Week 17 Chargers 47 7 6 58 0
AFC Divisional Round Browns 48 3 1 14 0
AFC Championship Game Bills 42 0 0 0 0

Receiving Yards Betting Tips

  • Robinson is averaging 26.7 receiving yards per game, 4.8 fewer than the over/under of 31.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.
  • In 38.9% of his games this season (seven of 18), Robinson has put up more than 31.5 receiving yards.
  • The Buccaneers defense has allowed opposing receivers to rack up the 10th-most yards in the NFL this season (269.4 per game).
  • Robinson’s season average of 26.7 receiving yards per game is 3.9 less than the average over/under of his prop bets, 30.6.
  • In only seven of his 18 games (38.9%), Robinson has surpassed his average receiving yards prop bet of 30.6 yards.
  • Robinson has hit the over on receiving yards prop bets in nine of his 15 games (60%).

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of January 28, 2021. CLICK HERE to place your bet on Demarcus Robinson or the Kansas City Chiefs at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Betting Odds

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff