With the NFC Championship set to kick off Sunday, Deebo Samuel is one of the most dynamic players left standing. Although at times he seems to disappear, he changes games when he has the ball in the open field. San Francisco has a plethora of talent on the roster with Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk also threats to put up big numbers weekly. In this article though, we’ll review Deebo Samuel props within NFL playoff odds.
The San Francisco 49ers are underdogs on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles with the over/under set at points. Place a bet on Deebo’s props by clicking any odds in this post.
DEEBO SAMUEL PLAYER PROPS
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Deebo Samuel Receiving Props: Yardage
Deebo’s receiving yards prop varies at numerous sportsbooks. Shop your preferred line above.
Although Deebo has had a fantastic postseason thus far, he has a one thing working against him in this matchup.
The Eagles have been one of the best at covering WR2s this season. According to Football Outsiders, they rank No. 4 there, holding the opposition to -20.3% DVOA. Similarly, the Eagles have smothered WR1s as well, holding them to -27.3% DVOA.
Of course, it is possible that Deebo goes over his receiving total if his target share remains high. Any receiver can go over their yardage prop when they are getting eight targets per game during the postseason.
Keep in mind that Deebo’s speed and yards after catch ability in the open field makes him a threat to bust a big gain at any moment. Look no further than the Wild Card game against the Seahawks when Deebo scampered for a 74-yard receiving touchdown early in the fourth quarter.
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Receptions And Longest Reception
With Deebo’s total receptions prop sitting at 4.5, he can certainly hit the over given his increased target share in the first two postseason games.
With Deebo’s depth of target sitting at 4.0 yards this season, there’s not much reason to believe he will go over his longest reception prop of . He may have a large volume of targets, but as previously stated, he tends to get his yardage after the catch. For what it’s worth, Philadelphia’s defense grades out as league average when it comes to tackling (via PFF). If he can get the ball in the open field, he certainly has a chance to get some yardage after the catch.
Given his high target share thus far in the postseason, I’ll be targeting Over 4.5 receptions for Deebo. I’m much more comfortable with his receptions prop than either of his yardage props.
Deebo Samuel Touchdown Prop
With 16 targets in two postseason games thus far, his price of to score an anytime touchdown is quite intriguing. Deebo has gotten four total touches inside the redzone so far in the postseason. Despite the Niners offense featuring weapons like George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey, he still receives a good share of touches near the endzone. In 51 career games, Deebo has found the endzone 26 times.
Additionally, the Eagles have allowed the fifth most receiving touchdowns (16) to wide receivers this season.
NFC Championship Odds: 49ers At Eagles
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