NFL Playoff Odds: Eagles TE Dallas Goedert Props For NFC Championship vs. 49ers

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on January 28, 2023
Dallas Goedert props

While he may not be the headliner in the Philadelphia passing offense, Dallas Goedert has been a solid contributor from the tight end position. As part of TheLines’ NFC Championship preview in the NFL playoffs, we’ll take a look at Dallas Goedert props.

The Philadelphia Eagles are favorites against the San Francisco 49ers and the game has a -point over/under. Place a bet on Goedert’s props by clicking any odds in the post.

Dallas Goedert Player Props

For more analysis this weekend, visit our NFL Player Props page.

Dallas Goedert Receiving Props: Yardage

Among high-volume TEs, only Travis Kelce exceeded the 58.5 YPG posted by Dallas Goedert this season. Goedert has averaged north of 55 YPG in each of his two seasons as the full-time starter.

And yet, we’re looking at a market number of 45.5-56.5. That’s primarily because of one name: Fred Warner. Perhaps the pre-eminent coverage man in modern NFL linebacking, Warner has become renowned for his ability to take opposing TEs away. He looked spectacular at times in helping hold Dalton Schultz to a piddling 27 yards on 10 targets last week, even locking down star WR CeeDee Lamb on a few snaps.

And while Warner gets most of the accolades, Dre Greenlaw is no coverage slouch either. He has more than held his own as well, giving the 49ers as fearsome a pair of coverage ‘backers as any team.

It’s fair to say Goedert is up against it here. Especially so when WRs AJ Brown and Devonta Smith will likely have beatable matchups all day. The weak point on this 49ers offense is their corner play, so we should probably expect a somewhat muted Goedert performance. That’s reflected in the market.

Receptions, Longest Reception

On average, San Francisco allowed a middling 6.6 catches per game to the TE position. With Goedert averaging 4.6 catches per game, this receptions number of may be a hair low.

Again, it depends partially on how often Greenlaw and Warner wind up shadowing him. But, keep in mind Goedert had a heavier target share with Jalen Hurts at QB (5.9 per game) than when Gardner Minshew took over, so that dragged down his numbers a tad near the end of the season.

As for longest reception props, that number sits at . A good case can be made for the under here, as Goedert had an average depth of target of just 6.1. That’s his lowest number since 2019 and well below the identical 8.5s he had the previous two years. It seems he was used more often as a safety valve this year, meaning he would need to break some tackles to get a play this big, in all likelihood. He failed to excel there with just two credited on the season.

Dallas Goedert Touchdown Props

Goedert did not play a large role in the Eagles red zone offense this year, spiking just three times. Overall in his career, he’s been surprisingly sparsely used there, considering his sure hands and imposing size. He has just 19 career TDs in 69 career games. Especially considering the matchup here, unless you love the over and the Eagles, Goedert to score does not look particularly appealing around +200.

NFC Championship Odds: 49ers At Eagles

Bet on the NFC Championship Game by clicking on odds in the table below. Toggle between point spread, total, and moneyline using the dropdown menu.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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