Cubs Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 26, 2022

Written By Staff on July 26, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (39-57) will try to extend their five-game win streak when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-57) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday at 2:20 PM ET. Chicago’s (-186 to win) Keegan Thompson and Pittsburgh’s (+158) Bryse Wilson will take the mound first.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 26, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET.

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Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Thompson (CHC) Pitcher Wilson (PIT)
7 – 4 W/L 1 – 5
81.1 IP 49.2
3.54 ERA 6.52
1.266 WHIP 1.651
8.3 K/9 6.9
3.2 BB/9 2.9

Cubs Probable Starter Keegan Thompson

  • Thompson (7-4) takes the mound for the Cubs in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.54 ERA in 81 1/3 innings pitched, with 75 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Friday, July 15 against the New York Mets, the right-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has a 3.54 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 20 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .244 to opposing hitters.
  • Thompson is trying to record his third quality start of the season.
  • He will match up with a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 701 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .365 (28th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (15th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 26, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Thompson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 8 .625 5 0 0 .625 1.500
Josh VanMeter 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Kevin Newman 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Michael Chavis 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .750
Ben Gamel 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Cal Mitchell 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Oneil Cruz 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Diego Castillo 3 .333 1 1 1 .333 1.666
Yoshi Tsutsugo 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Pirates Probable Starter Bryse Wilson

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Wilson (1-5) for his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 17, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 6.52 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .313.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in 10 starts this season.
  • The Cubs are batting .246 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .398 (13th in the league) with 97 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 26, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Wilson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Willson Contreras 9 .333 3 1 4 .400 1.067
Seiya Suzuki 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .400
Ian Happ 5 .600 3 0 0 .750 1.350
Frank Schwindel 4 .000 0 0 1 .200 .200
Patrick Wisdom 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Rafael Ortega 4 .500 2 0 1 .600 1.100
Yan Gomes 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.250
Nico Hoerner 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
David Bote 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500

Cubs Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have compiled an 11-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 40.7% of those games).
  • Chicago has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -186 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Cubs a 65% chance to win.
  • Chicago has played in 96 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-46-8).
  • The Cubs have covered 51% of their games this season, going 49-47-0 ATS.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 81 times and won 31, or 38.3%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 11-17, a 39.3% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +158 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 38.8% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 97 opportunities.
  • In 97 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 51-46-0 ATS.

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ has accumulated a slugging percentage of .445, a team-best for the Cubs, while hitting .282 with 24 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Happ ranks 38th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 58th in slugging.
  • Happ has safely hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .391 with a double and three RBI.
  • Willson Contreras has collected 77 hits with a .374 on-base percentage to lead his team in both. He has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .258.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Contreras ranks 69th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 35th in slugging.
  • Contreras has safely hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner has 13 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 13 walks while batting .303.
  • Patrick Wisdom is batting .220 with 21 doubles, 17 home runs and 42 walks.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 337 .282 43 9 44 .367 .812
Patrick Wisdom 327 .220 48 17 47 .317 .757
Willson Contreras 298 .258 50 14 37 .374 .847
Nico Hoerner 290 .303 32 6 32 .343 .774
Frank Schwindel 253 .233 23 8 35 .279 .651
Rafael Ortega 228 .237 25 5 24 .330 .694
Christopher Morel 228 .281 40 9 29 .354 .845
Seiya Suzuki 202 .267 26 7 28 .348 .794
Alfonso Rivas 169 .225 19 3 23 .307 .615
Yan Gomes 168 .220 13 5 14 .237 .588

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh with 79 hits and an OBP of .339 this season.
  • Of all the qualified hitters in the majors, Reynolds ranks 72nd in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 47th in slugging percentage.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads Pittsburgh in slugging percentage (.351) thanks to 23 extra-base hits.
  • Hayes’ batting average ranks 84th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage places him 86th, and he is 137th in slugging.
  • Michael Chavis is batting .236 with a .407 slugging percentage and 32 RBI this year.
  • Ben Gamel has four home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .245 this season.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 339 .251 40 4 28 .324 .675
Bryan Reynolds 307 .257 40 15 32 .339 .798
Michael Chavis 258 .236 24 10 32 .275 .682
Diego Castillo 235 .204 24 10 25 .243 .617
Ben Gamel 196 .245 27 4 23 .338 .716
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 162 .173 11 2 18 .254 .489
Josh VanMeter 142 .190 13 3 12 .259 .569
Oneil Cruz 110 .218 15 5 19 .250 .668
Cal Mitchell 103 .204 7 2 8 .245 .556
Kevin Newman 99 .253 9 0 12 .308 .662

Cubs vs Pirates Player Props

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