Cubs Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 25, 2022

Written By Staff on July 24, 2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (39-56) visit the Chicago Cubs (38-57) in NL Central play on Monday at 8:05 PM ET. Chicago’s (-141 to win) Adrian Sampson and Pittsburgh’s (+121) JT Brubaker will start this matchup.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 25, 2022 at 7:26 PM ET.

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Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Sampson (CHC) Pitcher Brubaker (PIT)
0 – 1 W/L 2 – 8
32.1 IP 94.0
3.34 ERA 4.02
1.206 WHIP 1.415
6.4 K/9 9.3
2.2 BB/9 3.8

Cubs Probable Starter Adrian Sampson

  • Sampson (0-1 with a 3.34 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his sixth of the season.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday, July 17 against the New York Mets, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.34, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opponents have a .244 batting average against him.
  • Sampson has not recorded a quality start yet this season.
  • He will face a Pirates squad that is hitting .220 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .365 (28th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (15th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 7:26 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Sampson

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jake Marisnick 6 .500 3 0 0 .500 1.333
Michael Chavis 2 .500 1 1 1 .500 2.500
Ben Gamel 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kevin Newman 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Pirates Probable Starter JT Brubaker

  • The Pirates will send Brubaker (2-8) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, July 13, when he allowed three hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.02 and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .247 in 18 games this season.
  • In 18 starts this season, he’s earned five quality starts.
  • The Cubs have scored 411 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They are batting .245 for the campaign with 96 home runs, 18th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 25, 2022 at 7:26 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Brubaker

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 18 .333 6 0 0 .400 .900
Willson Contreras 15 .200 3 0 0 .368 .568
Rafael Ortega 10 .500 5 0 0 .500 1.200
Frank Schwindel 7 .571 4 0 2 .571 1.285
Patrick Wisdom 7 .000 0 0 0 .222 .222
Seiya Suzuki 5 .200 1 0 2 .200 .600
David Bote 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Christopher Morel 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Alfonso Rivas 3 .000 0 0 0 .400 .400
Nico Hoerner 2 .500 1 0 0 .750 1.250

Cubs Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have won 10 of the 26 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (38.5%).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -141 or shorter, Chicago has a 3-7 record (winning only 30% of its games).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Cubs have an implied win probability of 58.5%.
  • Chicago has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times this season for a 42-45-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Cubs have covered 51.6% of their games this season, going 49-46-0 against the spread.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 80 times and won 31, or 38.8%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 23-41 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +121 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 45.2%.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 96 opportunities.
  • In 96 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 50-46-0 ATS.

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ has put up a team-high .441 slugging percentage, while hitting .279 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Happ ranks 40th in batting average, 23rd in on-base percentage, and 62nd in slugging.
  • Happ enters this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three RBI.
  • Willson Contreras has 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .258, and paces his team with 76 hits and a .372 on-base percentage.
  • Contreras currently ranks 71st in batting average, 18th in on base percentage, and 37th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
  • Contreras has hit safely in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner has 12 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 12 walks while hitting .300.
  • Patrick Wisdom is hitting .219 with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 41 walks.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 333 .279 42 9 44 .366 .807
Patrick Wisdom 324 .219 48 17 47 .315 .753
Willson Contreras 295 .258 50 14 37 .372 .843
Nico Hoerner 287 .300 32 6 30 .338 .763
Frank Schwindel 251 .231 23 8 35 .275 .646
Christopher Morel 226 .283 40 9 29 .354 .850
Rafael Ortega 224 .232 24 4 23 .327 .675
Seiya Suzuki 198 .273 25 7 28 .354 .809
Yan Gomes 168 .220 13 5 14 .237 .588
Alfonso Rivas 166 .229 19 3 23 .312 .625

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has an OPS of .671, fueled by an OBP of .322 and a team-best slugging percentage of .349 this season.
  • Among all qualifying batters in the majors, Hayes’ batting average ranks 90th, his on-base percentage ranks 89th, and he is 139th in slugging.
  • Michael Chavis has collected 60 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .276.
  • Ben Gamel has collected 47 base hits, an OBP of .335 and a slugging percentage of .373 this season.
  • Diego Castillo has been key for Pittsburgh with 48 hits, an OBP of .243 plus a slugging percentage of .374.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 335 .248 40 4 28 .322 .671
Michael Chavis 254 .236 24 10 32 .276 .685
Diego Castillo 235 .204 24 10 25 .243 .617
Ben Gamel 193 .244 26 4 23 .335 .708
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 158 .177 11 2 18 .260 .501
Josh VanMeter 138 .188 13 3 11 .260 .564
Oneil Cruz 106 .208 15 5 18 .241 .656
Cal Mitchell 100 .210 7 2 8 .245 .565
Kevin Newman 99 .253 9 0 12 .308 .662
Tyler Heineman 93 .204 10 0 4 .253 .500

Cubs vs Pirates Player Props

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