Cubs vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 4, 2021

Posted By Staff on April 4, 2021

The Chicago Cubs (1-1) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-1) square off on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. The Cubs are favored (-175) to win the contest against the Pirates (+148). Chicago’s Zach Davies and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller will take the mound first.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 4, 2021, 3:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

The probable pitchers for both teams have not made a start this season. Here are their stats from last season:

Davies (CHC) Pitcher Keller (PIT)
7 – 4 W/L 1 – 1
69.1 IP 21.2
2.73 ERA 2.91
1.070 WHIP 1.250
8.2 K/9 6.6
2.5 BB/9 7.5

Cubs Probable Starter Zach Davies

  • Davies makes his first start of the season for the Cubs.
  • The 28-year-old righty started and threw five innings when he last appeared on Thursday, Oct. 8 against the Dodgers.
  • Davies’ team was never a moneyline favorite a season ago in games he pitched.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Davies

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Frazier 22 .364 8 0 1 .364 .909
Kevin Newman 16 .125 2 0 1 .118 .243
Colin Moran 14 .286 4 1 3 .286 .929
Gregory Polanco 13 .308 4 0 1 .471 .856
Bryan Reynolds 11 .364 4 0 0 .364 .819
Jacob Stallings 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Erik González 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller

  • Keller has been named the starter for the Pirates and will make his first start this season.
  • The 24-year-old righty last pitched Friday, Sept. 25 against the Indians, tossing five innings as the starter.
  • Keller and his team won as underdogs in one of his five appearances last season with a moneyline.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 4, 2021 at 6:06 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Keller

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jason Heyward 6 .333 2 1 1 .333 1.333
Ian Happ 5 .600 3 1 1 .600 2.000
Anthony Rizzo 5 .200 1 0 0 .429 .629
Javier Báez 4 .500 2 1 1 .500 2.000
Willson Contreras 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 1.167
Kris Bryant 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 1.000
David Bote 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Betting Trends

  • Last season the Cubs were the 20th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.4 runs per game (265 total).
  • The Cubs finished 24-16 in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 60% of those games).
  • Chicago had a record of 11-6 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -175 or shorter (64.7%).
  • Chicago played in 58 games with an over/under set, and combined with its opponents to go over the total 28 times (28-28-2).

Pirates Betting Trends

  • Last season, the Pirates won 19 out of the 58 games, or 32.8%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Pittsburgh entered 31 games last season as the underdog by +148 or more and was 8-23 in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 26 of their 59 games with a total last season.

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ had 12 home runs and 28 runs batted in last season.
  • Happ fell outside of league leaders in hits and batting average among the qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Willson Contreras hit .249 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks.
  • Contreras was not in the top 10 in hits and RBI among qualifying batters in MLB play.

Cubs Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Javier Báez 222 .203 27 8 24 .238 .598
Anthony Rizzo 203 .222 26 11 24 .331 .745
Ian Happ 198 .258 27 12 28 .358 .863
Willson Contreras 189 .249 37 7 26 .357 .770
Jason Heyward 147 .265 20 6 22 .389 .845
Kris Bryant 131 .206 20 4 11 .293 .644
David Bote 125 .200 15 7 29 .303 .711
Joc Pederson 121 .190 21 7 16 .285 .682
Eric Sogard 115 .209 10 1 10 .281 .559
Tony Wolters 100 .230 10 0 8 .280 .550

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Colin Moran slugged 10 home runs and collected 23 RBI last season while batting .247.
  • Moran did not rank among the top hitters in the majors among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Adam Frazier finished with 23 RBI while batting .230 and hitting seven homers.
  • Among qualified hitters, Frazier fell outside the MLB leaders in hits and batting average in the league.

Pirates Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Frazier 209 .230 22 7 23 .297 .661
Bryan Reynolds 185 .189 24 7 19 .275 .632
Erik González 181 .227 14 3 20 .255 .614
Colin Moran 178 .247 28 10 23 .325 .797
Grégory Polanco 157 .153 12 7 22 .214 .539
Kevin Newman 156 .224 12 1 10 .281 .557
Jacob Stallings 125 .248 13 3 18 .326 .702
Ke’Bryan Hayes 85 .376 17 5 11 .430 1.112
Michael Perez 84 .167 7 1 13 .237 .475
Phillip Evans 39 .359 6 1 9 .444 .931

Cubs vs Pirates Player Props

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