Cubs vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – April 11, 2021

Written By Staff on April 11, 2021 - Last Updated on April 13, 2021

The Chicago Cubs (4-4) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (2-6) play on Sunday at 1:05 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. The Cubs are favored (-152) to take the matchup against the Pirates (+130). Chicago’s Trevor Williams and Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker will take the mound first.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of April 11, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Williams (CHC) Pitcher Brubaker (PIT)
1 – 0 W/L 0 – 0
6.0 IP 4.0
3.00 ERA 2.25
0.670 WHIP 1.750
9 K/9 13.5
3 BB/9 9.0

Cubs Probable Starter Trevor Williams

  • The Cubs will look to Williams (1-0) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Monday against the Brewers, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • The Cubs were named the moneyline favorite for one Williams start this season — they won.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Williams

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Wilmer Difo 5 .400 2 0 0 .571 .971
Phillip Evans 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Pirates Probable Starter JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker heads to the mound for the Pirates to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw four innings, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits against the Reds.
  • His team lost his only start as an underdog this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2021 at 2:09 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Brubaker

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Anthony Rizzo 8 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ian Happ 7 .286 2 0 0 .286 .715
Javier Báez 7 .143 1 0 1 .143 .286
Willson Contreras 5 .200 1 0 0 .333 .533
Kris Bryant 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jason Heyward 4 .250 1 0 0 .500 .750
David Bote 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Eric Sogard 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Betting Trends

  • Last season the Cubs were the 20th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.4 runs per game (265 total).
  • The Cubs went 24-16 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 60% of those games).
  • Chicago went 15-9 last year (winning 62.5% of its games) when it played as a moneyline favorite of -152 or shorter.
  • Chicago combined with opponents to go over the total 28 times last season for a 28-28-2 record against the over/under.
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • Last season, the Pirates were the underdog 58 times and won 19, or 32.8%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh had a record of 17-30 in games where sportsbooks had them as underogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
  • Games involving Pittsburgh went over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 59 chances last season.

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ had 12 home runs and 28 runs batted in last season.
  • Happ was not in the top 10 in hits and RBI among qualifying hitters in MLB action.
  • Willson Contreras hit .249 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks.
  • Contreras was not in the top 10 in hits and RBI among the qualifying hitters in baseball.

Cubs Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Javier Báez 222 .203 27 8 24 .238 .598
Anthony Rizzo 203 .222 26 11 24 .331 .745
Ian Happ 198 .258 27 12 28 .358 .863
Willson Contreras 189 .249 37 7 26 .357 .770
Jason Heyward 147 .265 20 6 22 .389 .845
Kris Bryant 131 .206 20 4 11 .293 .644
David Bote 125 .200 15 7 29 .303 .711
Joc Pederson 121 .190 21 7 16 .285 .682
Eric Sogard 115 .209 10 1 10 .281 .559
Tony Wolters 100 .230 10 0 8 .280 .550

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Colin Moran slugged 10 home runs and collected 23 RBI last season while batting .247.
  • Moran’s SLG and OBP did not rank in the top 20 among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Adam Frazier was a key run producer with a .230 average, seven homers and 23 RBI.
  • Frazier was not in the top 25 in SLG and OBP among qualified hitters in the majors.

Pirates Batting Stats (2020)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Adam Frazier 209 .230 22 7 23 .297 .661
Bryan Reynolds 185 .189 24 7 19 .275 .632
Erik González 181 .227 14 3 20 .255 .614
Colin Moran 178 .247 28 10 23 .325 .797
Grégory Polanco 157 .153 12 7 22 .214 .539
Kevin Newman 156 .224 12 1 10 .281 .557
Jacob Stallings 125 .248 13 3 18 .326 .702
Michael Perez 84 .167 7 1 13 .237 .475
Phillip Evans 39 .359 6 1 9 .444 .931
Anthony Alford 28 .214 5 2 7 .241 .741

Cubs vs Pirates Player Props

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