Marlins Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – August 6, 2022

The Miami Marlins (48-58) and the Chicago Cubs (42-63) square off on Saturday at 2:20 PM ET. Pablo Lopez gets the starting nod for Miami (-113 to win), and Drew Smyly is Chicago’s (-105) choice to start.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of August 6, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET.

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Marlins vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Marlins Probable Starter Pablo López

• Lopez (7-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his 22nd of the season.
• The righty last appeared on Sunday against the New York Mets, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up 12 hits.
• In 21 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.41, with 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .223 against him.
• Lopez is looking to pick up his ninth quality start of the season.
• He meets a Cubs offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 435 runs while batting .242 as a squad. It has a collective .390 slugging percentage (15th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 103 home runs (18th in MLB).
• The 26-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.41), 24th in WHIP (1.121), and 15th in K/9 (9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 6, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs López

Cubs Probable Starter Drew Smyly

• The Cubs will send Smyly (3-6) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.42 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .271 in 13 games this season.
• In 13 starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• The Marlins rank 22nd in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 27th in the league (.371) and 98 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of August 6, 2022 at 1:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Smyly

Marlins Betting Trends

• The Marlins have won 29 of the 49 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (59.2%).
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -113 or shorter, Miami has gone 26-18 (59.1%).
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Marlins a 53.1% chance to win.
• Miami has played in 106 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-53-3).
• The Marlins have put together a 47-59-0 record against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Trends

• This season, the Cubs have been the underdog 75 times and won 29, or 38.7%, of those games.
• This season, Chicago has won 27 of its 71 games, or 38%, when they’re the underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have a 51.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 105 games with a total this season.
• The Cubs are 53-52-0 against the spread in their 105 chances this season.

Marlins Players to Watch

• Miguel Rojas is batting .235 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Among the qualified hitters in MLB play, Rojas ranks 119th in batting average, 141st in on-base percentage, and 139th in slugging.
• Jesus Aguilar’s .389 slugging percentage leads his team, and he has 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks while batting .238.
• Among qualified batters, Aguilar ranks 116th in batting average, 139th in on-base percentage, and 105th in slugging.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .275 with 22 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 28 walks. He has racked up an on-base percentage of .344 and has 84 hits, both team-high numbers for the Marlins.
• Joey Wendle is batting .267 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Cubs Players to Watch

• Willson Contreras leads Chicago with 84 hits and an OBP of .367 this season.
• Contreras is 80th in batting average, 19th in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
• Ian Happ has hit nine homers this season while driving in 46 runs. He’s batting .274 this season.
• Among all qualifying hitters, Happ is 43rd in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .292 with a .412 slugging percentage and 33 RBI this year.
• Patrick Wisdom is batting .222 with a .318 OBP and 52 RBI for Chicago this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Marlins vs Cubs Player Props

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