Commanders vs. Eagles Preview: Best NFL Week 4 Betting Site Odds

Written By Josh Lander on September 29, 2023

The Washington Commanders (2-1) travel north to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct. 1. Commanders odds show Washington is a road underdog and on the moneyline, with Eagles at as the best price for Philadelphia to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Commanders vs. Eagles odds.

Commanders vs. Eagles Betting Odds

NFL Week 4 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.

Commanders vs. Eagles Props

Washington Commanders Team Total

Washington’s team total sits at 17.5, juiced to the under. Sam Howell’s four interceptions against Buffalo in Week 3 are clearly fresh on people’s minds. Next up will be an Eagles defense that has the second-most takeaways behind the Bills.

Simply put, Sam Howell has been incredibly inaccurate through three games. That won’t bode well for a Commanders team throwing the ball 65% of the time. His completion percentage from a clean pocket is 64.9%, 22nd in the league. Even more crushing, he’s only completed 42.9% of his passes in the red zone with four INTs inside the offensive 20-yard line.

Philly’s defense picked up its stride in primetime against the Bucs. Baker Mayfield and Tampa Bay’s offense only put up one TD, a garbage time score on their final drive. If the Eagles force Washington and its pitiful offensive line into a negative game script early, the Eagles pass rush will be licking its chops to rack up the sacks.

Lean: Washington Under 17.5 Team Total

Commanders vs. Eagles Weather

Weather shouldn’t be a factor for Sunday’s divisional matchup. Skies should be mostly clear over Lincoln Financial Field for the entire afternoon with a calm breeze. Check back in closer to game time for the official weather report.

Commanders vs. Eagles Injury Report

NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Eagles injury report and Commanders injury report for Commanders vs. Eagles this week.

Starters On The Injury Report

WAS: Logan Thomas (Concussion): Thomas missed the Bills game and remains in concussion protocol to start practice ahead of Week 4.

PHI: Quez Watkins (Hamstring): The Eagles’ third wide receiver missed Monday night’s victory over the Bucs. His status for this Sunday’s game remains up in the air.

PHI: Boston Scott (Concussion): Scott is in danger of missing his second straight game with a concussion. Considering three other Philly RBs are available, it’s likely Eagles’ staff won’t rush Scott back onto the field.

PHI: Justin Evans (Neck): Evans left Philadelphia’s Week 3 victory early with a neck injury and didn’t return. He’s questionable to play the Commanders.

Commanders Offense vs. Eagles Defense

Howell must take care of the ball if Washington has any chance of keeping this one close. Buffalo started three separate drives in Commanders’ territory thanks to two picks and (another) Antonio Gibson’s fumble.

Philly’s secondary has yet to pull its weight compared to the defense’s ferocious front line. The Eagles have allowed the seventh-most passing yards and eight TDs through the air. Granted, Mac Jones and Kirk Cousins put up big numbers while trying to overcome big deficits. However, cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry still seem uncomfortable in new defensive coordinator, Sean Desai’s system.

Eagles Offense vs. Commanders Defense

The Eagles enter this matchup boasting the second-most rushing yards on the season. That’s largely due to their rush-heavy offense. Philadelphia runs it 53% of the time, slightly behind Baltimore for the highest run-to-pass ratio. Philly, however, is tops in the league in expected outcome per rush.

Washington’s run defense has been porous, to say the least. It allows the sixth-most yards per rush attempt and the ninth-worst expected outcome. Newly-established Eagles RB1, D’Andre Swift is averaging 6.8 yards per carry, most of any player with at least 20 totes. He’s also eating up the most yards per carry before anyone even touches him at 5.6.

QB Jalen Hurts has also enjoyed a ton of running room. He ranks 15th in total rush yards before contact.

Reasons To Bet The Over/Under

The projected total of is competitive and doesn’t provide a ton of value. Philadelphia can likely be trusted to go over 25 points, but Washington is a different story. Howell’s propensity for turnovers combined with the Eagles’ vicious passing attack could equal disaster for the Commanders.

Buffalo dropped 37 points on the road against Washington thanks to stellar field position. The Commanders are now allowing teams to score on 46.2% of their drives, right around Philly’s average on offense. Third-down conversions will play a huge role in deciding the final total. The Eagles are sustaining drives with an impressive 46.5% success rate. The Bills just posted a 60% conversion rate against Washington.

Philly should be able to keep its offense on the field for long periods of time, forcing the Commanders into a tough spot on offense. If Ron Rivera’s offense is anything less than efficient with its possessions, it might be another sub-10-point week for Washington.

Considering I like Washington to go under its team total, I lean slightly towards the under, but not enough to place a bet.

Final Thoughts

Washington shocked Philadelphia with an impressive win on the road last season in November. I wouldn’t bet on them catching the defending NFC champs sleeping twice in a row. Philly is going to run the ball early and often, most likely with great success.

On paper, this looks like a lop-sided affair. However, the Eagles only covered two spreads greater than 8 points last season, going 2-4 ATS in those scenarios. A massive line like this doesn’t show us much value in a division rivalry game where anything can happen.

I’ll stay away from betting a side or total in this game. Instead, I plan to focus my funds on a valuable Eagles player rushing prop.