Commanders vs. Bills Preview: Best NFL Week 3 Betting Site Odds

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Written By Josh Lander | Last Updated

The Washington Commanders (2-0) host the Buffalo Bills (1-1) at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 24. Commanders odds show Washington is a spread underdog at home and on the moneyline, with Bills at as the best price for Buffalo to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Commanders vs. Bills odds.

Commanders vs. Bills Betting Odds

NFL Week 3 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.

Commanders vs. Bills Props

Bills Total Touchdowns

Player props are still rolling in for this matchup, so let’s target a team prop. Buffalo’s total touchdowns prop opened at 2.5 and I am confidently betting the over, which is juiced down pretty far. We’re still getting some value on this one due to the Bills’ Week 1 offensive fiasco against the Jets, which included four Josh Allen turnovers.

Buffalo has a top-five offense as long as players are securing the ball and limiting turnovers. See Week 2 when the team scored 38 points and didn’t turn the ball over once. The Jets’ defense took full advantage of an emotional situation after losing their quarterback after just a few plays and put the Bills in clamps. That shouldn’t be the case this Sunday.

Commanders vs. Bills Player Props

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Commanders vs. Bills Weather

Autumn is a tricky month to predict weather in the DMV area. Forecasts are calling for light showers and winds with a sticky 85% humidity. Even if rain falls, both the Commanders and Bills have shown an ability to run and pass effectively through two games this season. Wet conditions wouldn’t necessarily provide either team an advantage in this one.

Commanders vs. Bills Injury Report

NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful, or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Bills injury report and Commanders injury report for Commanders vs. Bills this week.

Starters On The Injury Report

WAS: Logan Thomas (Concussion): The Commanders’ tight end left Week 2 with a concussion and is questionable for Week 3. Broncos cornerback Kareem Jackson injured Thomas with an illegal hit that forced refs to eject him.

WAS: Jartavius Martin (Concussion): Martin missed Week 2 with the same concussion injury and remains questionable for Week 3 vs. Buffalo.

BUF: Micah Hyde (Hamstring): Hyde left the Bills’ 38-10 victory over the Raiders and is listed as day-to-day.

BUF: Leonard Floyd (Ankle): Floyd exited Week 2 with an ankle injury and remains questionable to take on the Commanders.

Commanders Offense vs. Bills Defense

Sam Howell put up decent stats for a young QB in his second and third starts in the league. He actually performed much better against a Broncos defense that’s far superior to the flimsy Cardinals defense he faced in Week 1. Still, neither compare to what most think Buffalo’s defense will amount to this year.

Howell has been sacked 10 times already, second-most through two games. Buffalo’s defensive front has been awful at generating sacks in 2023 with just three to its name. This matchup should reveal whether or not Washington’s passing attack is legit. 

Bills Offense vs. Commanders Defense

The 2-0 Commanders have the fourth-best starting field position in the league through two weeks. They can attribute that success to their defense’s ability to turn the ball over. Washington has 10 sacks (tops in the league) and has forced four turnovers (3 INT and one fumble) so far this season. Bills’ QB Josh Allen has 3 INT and two fumbles (one lost, one recovered).

Washington’s defensive front is easily its most formidable unit. Buffalo’s offensive line, meanwhile, is the weakest link on an otherwise intimidating roster. If DE Chase Young and co. can consistently reach QB Josh Allen, this game will be closer than originally predicted.

Reasons To Bet The Over/Under

Buffalo’s defense has only allowed 25 points not including the Jets’ punt return TD in Week 1. It’s also been relatively lucky. Jets QB Aaron Rodgers went down for the season after just a few plays against the Bills. The Raiders started the game without their WR2, Jakobi Meyers and star WR Davante Adams left early after scoring a TD.

The Commanders offense provides a more competent adversary, but Howell and the O-line still have questions to answer. While I trust Buffalo’s offense to get more than 20 points, the same can’t be said for Washington. I don’t see much value in betting the total on either side.  

Final Thoughts

Buffalo has key advantages all over the field, especially at the skill positions. If Allen is able to find wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis as consistently as he did against Las Vegas, Washington’s defense is in for a long afternoon. On the other side of the ball, the Commanders need to do a better job of giving Howell time to find Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson. The Bills’ defense has yet to record impressive sack numbers, but this will be a great opportunity to turn things around.

Lastly, Buffalo has been one of the most disciplined teams, recording the fewest defensive penalties and the sixth-fewest on offense. Washington has been one of the most penalized teams in the league, including eight flags that cost the team 71 yards against Denver. The Broncos bailed the Commanders out with nine penalties of their own, don’t expect Buffalo to do the same.

I’ll be adding Buffalo to a few different teasers this week to get them at right around a pick ‘em. Best of luck betting on Commanders vs. Bills odds this weekend! 

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