Commanders vs. Bears TNF Preview: Best NFL Week 5 Betting Site Odds, Promos

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Written By Josh Lander on October 4, 2023
Commanders vs. Bears odds

The Washington Commanders (2-2) are back home against the Chicago Bears (0-4) on Thursday Night Football at 8:30 p.m. ET on Oct. 5. Commanders odds show Washington is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Bears at as the best price for Chicago to win across sports betting sites. The point total is set at . This article breaks down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Commanders vs. Bears odds.

Commanders vs. Bears Betting Odds

NFL Week 5 odds are explained below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.

Commanders vs. Bears Props

Total Touchdowns

This bet comes down to believing in each team’s defense less than their offense. Chicago is allowing 34 points per game, Washington 30. While each team’s offense is not putting up nearly that kind of production, they should both be capable of scoring against their opponent’s porous defense.

At such a great price, I’ll take a small wager on Over 5.5 Touchdowns for +136 on FanDuel.

Commanders vs. Bears Player Props

Use the Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to find NFL player props across sportsbooks. Type any player’s name from Commanders vs. Bears in the search tool to see his available odds and click on them to bet now.

Commanders vs. Bears Weather

It’s set to be a clear and calm evening around the nation’s capital on Thursday night. The weekend calls for rain on Saturday, but that’s far enough out that it’s unlikely to impact the game. Weather shouldn’t be a factor in this one.

Commanders vs. Bears Injury Report

NFL teams finalize their injury reports two days before a game and denote whether a player is questionable, doubtful, or out. Practice participation is also logged throughout the week. Here is the Bears injury report and Commanders injury report for Commanders vs. Bears this week.

Starters On The Injury Report

WAS: Jahan Dotson (Ankle): Dotson was a limited participant at practice on Tuesday. He’s questionable to play against the Bears. 

WAS: Curtis Samuel (Quadricep): The Commanders’ primary slot receiver was limited at practice to start the week and holds a questionable tag for Thursday night.

CHI: Eddie Jackson (Foot): Jackson is questionable to take on the Commanders as he nurses a foot injury.

CHI: Jaylon Johnson (Hamstring): The Bears CB is questionable to play with a hamstring injury. 

Commanders Offense vs. Bears Defense

Chicago’s defense has been notably better at defending the run than the pass. It ranks just 15th against the rush, which is phenomenal compared to its 28th-ranked passing defense. The Bears have only played one competent QB, albeit the best one in the game, Patrick Mahomes. Baker Mayfield threw for over 300 yards, and Jordan Love hurled three TDs for the first time.

Sam Howell looked much better last week in Philly than at home against Buffalo in Week 2. Not only did he not turn the ball over, he finally started finding his wide receivers. Through the season’s first three games, his top three options – Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel – only saw 44 combined targets, hauling in 31 of them. In Week 4, Howell targeted them 27 times for 19 completions.

Keep an eye on how Howell’s receiving core matches up well with the Bears’ troubled secondary.

Bears Offense vs. Commanders Defense

Justin Fields has been sacked 17 times this season, the third most. Washington’s most vital assets play on the D-line, tying for the fourth-most sacks through four games.

To be fair to the Bears’ big men up front, they’re affording Fields a clean pocket for 2.7 seconds per dropback. That’s second-best behind Russell Wilson. Let’s see if Fields can avoid running into the Commanders’ athletic front seven on Thursday night. 

Reasons To Bet The Over/Under

Both teams have allowed their opponents to move the ball on offense freely. The Bears have given up the second-most yards per game, the Commanders the fourth-most. They’re also both ranked in the bottom half of the league regarding moving the ball themselves.

Chicago is 4-0 to the over this season, Washington is 2-2. Neither team has contributed much to those overs, however as they combine for an average of just 41 points per game. At the total seems fairly priced. It’s a stay-away for me, especially on a Thursday night when the bizarre happens.

Final Thoughts

This game will likely come down to turnovers for both squads on Thursday Night Football. Washington held its own against the defending NFC champs, largely thanks to Howell’s ability to secure the ball. Chicago failed to maintain a 28-7 lead over the Broncos because its QB couldn’t do the same.

Two shaky offensive lines and question marks hovering around both QBs leave a lot of seemingly random outcomes on the table. Washington has a more talented roster but probably can’t be trusted to beat anyone by nearly a touchdown. Especially on a short week.

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