NFC Championship Odds, Picks, SGP Best Bets: Will Total Go Under In Commanders At Eagles?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Eagles Commanders Odds

As the odds for the NFL playoffs shift to Championship Sunday, the Philadelphia Eagles battle the Washington Commanders in the NFC title game. The Eagles are Philadelphia Eagles -31.5 (-110) on Caesars spread favorites against their division rivals. and the total is 77.5 (-113) on BetRivers. Let’s look closer at NFC championship odds for the Commanders at Eagles, including my best bet and potential picks for same-game parlays.

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commanders at eagles odds: spread, moneyline, total

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NFC championship best bets: under 47.5 total points

Let’s revisit the Week 11 slate, where these NFC East foes battled in their first meeting this season. Despite a flurry of fourth-quarter points, the total score went under the game total (48.5) by a comfortable four-point margin.

The offenses combined for six rushing touchdowns in the divisional round, yet I expect more of a brawl like their midseason TNF clash. For one, Washington’s offensive line is banged up, with right guard Sam Cosmi set to miss this matchup. Although Eagles defensive wizard Vic Fangio doesn’t send many blitzes, the Commanders are best suited to play more conservatively.

The fourth-down variance may determine the total and which team covers the point spread. Dual-threat quarterback Jayden Daniels, the likely Offensive Rookie of the Year, is as explosive as they come. Then again, Washington is due for regression in these situations, already setting an NFL record by converting 87% of its fourth-down conversions.

Conversely, Saquon Barkley and Co. have an edge in the trenches, facing a unit that has allowed the second-most explosive carries while showcasing the 10th-worst run-stop win rate. The Eagles’ offense typically operates methodically, notching the league’s eighth-slowest tempo. That’s even likelier to continue because of Jalen Hurts’ knee injury.

I bet 1.10 units on the total finishing with fewer than 47.5 combined points (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook. You’ll also find this in our free sports betting Discord channel. Head to the #roles server to enroll in push notifications.

Good luck with your bets on the odds for Eagles vs. Commanders!

Potential Same-Game Parlay Picks

Using the odds at BetMGM, I paired the full-game under with Jayden Daniels to finish with under 225.5 passing yards. This two-leg SGP churned out +165 odds!

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watch: commanders at eagles betting preview

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Team injuries

Last Updated on 01.31.2025
Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Philadelphia Eagles
Nakobe Dean LB Knee Out 0 Dean is recovering from a torn patellar tendon and could miss the start of the 2025-26 season.
Washington Commanders
Sam Cosmi G Knee Out 0 Cosmi suffered a torn ACL and is expected to miss the start of the 2025-26 season.
Photo by Associated Press/Peter Joneleit

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