Colts vs. Texans: NFL Betting Preview – December 6, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 1, 2020

The Indianapolis Colts (7-4) visit the Houston Texans (4-7) on Sunday, December 6, in a matchup between AFC South foes at NRG Stadium. Indianapolis is favored by  points and the contest has an over/under of .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 1, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Colts games have gone over 53 points on five occasions this season (45.5% of matchups).
  • Houston’s contests have gone over 53 points on five occasions (45.5% of games).
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (51.9 points per game) is 1.1 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 53 points, three points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • The over/under in this game is 53 points, 2.5 higher than the average total in Colts games this season.
  • Games involving the Texans this year have averaged 51.4 points per game, a 1.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • The Colts score the ninth-most points in the league this season, while the Texans’ offense racks up the 17th-most.
  • This contest features the NFL’s 23rd-ranked (Houston) and ninth-ranked (Indianapolis) scoring defenses.
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Colts Betting Insights

  • Indianapolis has put together a 6-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Colts are 4-3 ATS when favored by at least three points.
  • Seven of Indianapolis’ 11 games this year have hit the over (63.6%).

Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston has put together a 4-7 record against the spread this season.
  • The Texans have an even ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least three-point underdogs.
  • Six Houston’s 11 games this year have gone over the point total (54.5% of its outings).

Colts vs Texans: Head to Head

Colts vs Texans: Last 2 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/21/2019 Texans Texans -3.5 46 -205 +180 396-296 HOU 20-17 HOU
10/20/2019 Colts Colts -1.5 46 -121 +106 391-383 HOU 30-23 IND

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When the Colts Have the Ball

  • The Texans defense has allowed 27 points per game this season, 0.5 points less than the 27.5 the Colts have scored.
  • In games where Indianapolis score at least 27.5 points this season, they are 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • Houston is 4-1 overall and 4-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 27 points.
  • The Texans surrender 409.8 yards per game, 39.8 yards more than the 370 the Colts average. On average, the Colts gain 5.6 yards per play and the Texans give up 6.
  • When the Indianapolis offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 3-1 overall and 2-2 against the spread this season.
  • When the Houston defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 3-4 against the spread and 2-5 overall.
  • The Texans have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 154.7 yards per game, compared to the 104.4 yards the Colts offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • In games where the Indianapolis rushing attack puts together at least their season average this season, the Colts are 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Houston defense allows opponents to pick up less than 154.7 yards on the ground, they are 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
  • This season, the Texans have forced an average of 0.7 turnovers per game, compared to the 1.1 times Colts have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, Indianapolis is 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • Houston’s record this season when they force more than 0.7 turnovers: 2-2 ATS, 3-1 overall

When the Texans Have the Ball

  • The Texans rack up 24.4 points per game, comparable to the 23 per matchup the Colts allow.
  • When Houston records at least 24.4 points, it is 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
  • This season, Indianapolis has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 27.5 or fewer points.
  • The Texans average 49.4 more yards per game (361.2), than the Colts give up per outing (311.8). The Texans average 6.3 yards per play, while the Colts give up 5.2 per play.
  • In games Indianapolis limits its opponents to 311.8 or fewer yards, it has a 4-2 record ATS and a 4-2 record overall.
  • This season, the Texans pile up 83.9 yards per game on the ground, 18 fewer per game than the Colts allow per contest (101.9).
  • Houston has a 2-4 ATS record and a 2-4 overall record when the team runs for at least 83.9 yards.
  • This season, Indianapolis is 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall when holding opponents to no more than 101.9 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Texans turn the ball over 0.9 times per game, 0.6 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.5 the Colts force on average.
  • Houston has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 1-2 record overall when it turns the ball over 0.9 times or less.
  • When it forces 1.5 or more turnovers, Indianapolis has a 4-1 record against the spread and a 4-1 record overall.

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Colts Players to Watch

  • Philip Rivers leads the team with 2,978 passing yards (270.7 yards per game) and has a 67.3% completion percentage this year (263-of-391) while throwing 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
  • Jordan Wilkins has taken 78 carries for 293 rushing yards (26.6 yards per game) and one touchdown.
  • Nyheim Hines leads the team with 208 rushing yards on 61 carries (18.9 yards per game), with two touchdowns on the ground. He also has 44 catches for 362 yards (32.9 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • T.Y. Hilton has reeled in 33 passes to lead the team with 408 yards while scoring one touchdown. He has been targeted 55 times and averages 40.8 yards per game.
  • Zach Pascal’s statline this year shows 32 catches for 407 yards and two touchdowns in 11 games. He averages 37 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 52 times.
  • Justin Houston has collected 4.5 sacks, five TFL, and 16 tackles.
  • In nine games, Darius Leonard has racked up 80 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks.
  • T.J. Carrie has two interceptions, nine tackles, and six passes defended this season.

Texans Players to Watch

  • This year, Deshaun Watson has put up 3,201 passing yards (291 yards per game) while going 250-for-363 (68.9% completion percentage) and throwing 24 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has tacked on 293 rushing yards on 62 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 26.6 yards per game.
  • Duke Johnson Jr. has 201 rushing yards on 67 carries (22.3 yards per game), with one touchdown. He also has 20 catches for 172 yards (19.1 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Brandin Cooks has chipped in with 52 catches for 719 yards and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 78 times and puts up 65.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Jordan Akins has caught 22 passes on 28 targets for 275 yards and one touchdown, averaging 34.4 yards per game in eight contests in 2020.
  • Whitney Mercilus has registered a team-leading four sacks, while adding five TFL and 19 tackles.
  • This season, Zach Cunningham has collected 110 tackles, four TFL, and three sacks.

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