Colts vs. Steelers: Week 16 NFL Betting Preview – December 27, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 22, 2020

The Pittsburgh Steelers (11-3) attempt to break their three-game losing streak in a matchup with the Indianapolis Colts (10-4) on Sunday, December 27, at Heinz Field. The Steelers are  and the game’s point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 22, 2020, 1:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Colts vs Steelers Betting Odds

Colts vs Steelers Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Colts games have gone over 44.5 points on 10 occasions this season (71.4% of matchups).
  • In seven (50%) games this season, the Steelers have combined with their opponents to go over 44.5 points.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 54.6 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 10.1 points.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 44.5 points, 2.7 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • The points total average for Colts games this season is 51.4, 6.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • This season, Steelers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45, which is 0.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Colts score the eighth-most points in the league this season, while the Steelers’ offense racks up the 13th-most.
  • This contest features the NFL’s second-ranked (Pittsburgh) and 11th-ranked (Indianapolis) scoring defenses.
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Colts Betting Insights

  • Most of Indianapolis’ games this year — eight out of 14 — have hit the over (57.1%).
  • Indianapolis is 8-6 against the spread.
  • The Colts have an ATS record of 6-4 when playing as at least 2.0-point favorites.

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has put together an 8-6 record against the spread this season.
  • The Steelers are 6-5 ATS when an underdog by at least 2.0 points.
  • Half of Pittsburgh’s games this year — seven out of 14 — have gone over the point total.

Colts vs Steelers: Head to Head

Colts vs Steelers: Last Meeting
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/3/2019 Steelers Steelers -1.5 39.5 -125 +112 328-273 IND 26-24 PIT

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When the Colts Have the Ball

  • The Colts, on average, score 9.6 more points per game this season (28.5) than the Steelers allow (18.9).
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Indianapolis is 6-0 and 5-1 against the spread.
  • When the Pittsburgh defense allows 18.9 points or fewer this year, the Steelers have put together a 5-0 overall record and a 4-1 record against the spread.
  • The Steelers defense has given up an average of 297.9 yards per game so far this season, 76.9 yards fewer than the 374.8-yard average from the Colts offense.
  • On average, the Colts pick up 5.8 yards per play and the Steelers give up 4.8.
  • In contests where the Indianapolis offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
  • When the Pittsburgh defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season they are 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
  • The Steelers defense has given up an average of 104.6 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Colts (114).
  • In games where the Indianapolis rushing attack puts together at least their season average, the Colts are 7-0 overall and 6-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Pittsburgh defense allows opponents to pick up less than 104.6 yards on the ground, they are 6-3 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
  • This season, the Steelers have forced an average of 1.8 turnovers per game, compared to the 0.9 times Colts have turned the football over in each contest.
  • When Indianapolis doesn’t turn the football over this season, they are 7-0 overall and 6-1 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh’s record this season when they force more than 1.8 turnovers: 6-4 ATS, 9-1 overall

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Steelers rack up 3.2 more points per game (26.1) than the Colts surrender (22.9).
  • When Pittsburgh scores at least 26.1 points, it is 7-0 against the spread and 7-0 overall.
  • Indianapolis has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall in games when it surrenders 28.5 points or less.
  • The Steelers rack up just 5.1 fewer yards per game (329), than the Colts allow per outing (334.1). The Steelers average 5 yards per play, while the Colts give up 5.4 per play.
  • Indianapolis has a 5-2 record ATS and a 5-2 record overall when holding its opponents to 334.1 yards or less.
  • The Steelers rush for 88.9 yards per game, just 9.2 fewer yards per game than the 98.1 the Colts allow per outing.
  • When Pittsburgh rushes for at least 88.9 yards, it compiled a 6-1 ATS record and a 7-0 overall record.
  • This season, Indianapolis is 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall when holding opponents to no more than 98.1 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Steelers turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, 0.5 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.7 the Colts force on average.
  • Pittsburgh has a 7-2 record against the spread and an 8-1 record overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 times or less.
  • When it forces 1.7 or more turnovers, Indianapolis has a 6-2 record against the spread and a 7-1 record overall.

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Colts Players to Watch

  • Philip Rivers has thrown for 3,735 yards while completing 68.7% of his passes (331-of-482), with 22 touchdowns and nine interceptions (266.8 yards per game).
  • Jonathan Taylor has ran for a team-leading 842 yards on 184 carries (60.1 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns. He also averages 21.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 35 passes for 298 yards and one touchdown.
  • Nyheim Hines has 319 yards on 79 carries (22.8 ypg), with three rushing touchdowns. He also has 53 catches for 412 yards (29.4 ypg) and four touchdowns.
  • T.Y. Hilton has hauled in 50 passes to lead the team with 675 yards with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 79 times and averages 51.9 yards per game over 13 outings.
  • Zach Pascal has chipped in with 524 yards on 39 catches with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 61 times and averages 37.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 35 passes on 53 targets for 437 yards and one touchdown, averaging 39.7 yards per game in 11 contests.
  • DeForest Buckner has 7.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up eight TFL and 53 tackles.
  • This season, Darius Leonard has racked up 109 tackles, six TFL, and two sacks.
  • Kenny Moore II has picked off four passes to lead the team while adding 65 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and 11 passes defended.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3,462 yards while completing 65.3% of his passes (365-of-559), with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (247.3 yards per game).
  • James Conner has churned out a team-high 663 rushing yards (51.0 yards per game) and scored five touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Benny Snell Jr. has 358 yards on 102 carries (25.6 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
  • This season, Diontae Johnson has 77 catches (on 126 targets) to lead the team with 753 yards (57.9 per game) while scoring six touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Chase Claypool has tacked on 53 catches for 718 yards and eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 92 times and averages 51.3 receiving yards per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 82 passes on 107 targets for 670 yards and seven touchdowns, averaging 47.9 yards per game.
  • T.J. Watt has registered a team-leading 13 sacks, while adding 22 TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception.
  • Avery Williamson has collected 89 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 67 tackles, one TFL, and nine passes defended.

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