Colts vs. Lions: NFL Betting Preview – November 1, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 29, 2020 - Last Updated on October 30, 2020

The Detroit Lions (3-3) are three-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Sunday, November 1, against the Indianapolis Colts (4-2). The game’s over/under is set at 50.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 30. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Colts games have gone over 50.5 points on two occasions this season.
  • In two games this season, the Lions have combined with their opponents to go over 50.5 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 1.7 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams (52.2).
  • The over/under for this game is 3.8 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average (46.7).
  • The over/under in this game is 5.2 higher than the average total in Colts games this season (45.3).
  • This season, Lions games have resulted in an average scoring total of 53.5, which is 3.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Colts score the 14th-most points in the NFL this season, while the Lions’ offense puts up the 15th-most.
  • This matchup features the NFL’s 20th-ranked (Detroit) and fourth-ranked (Indianapolis) scoring defenses.
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Colts Betting Insights

  • Indianapolis has played in three games this year that went over the point total.
  • Indianapolis has compiled a 3-3 record against the spread this season.
  • The Colts have an ATS record of 3-2 when playing as at least three-point favorites.

Lions Betting Insights

  • Detroit’s games have gone over the point total in three out of six opportunities this season.
  • Detroit is 3-3 against the spread.
  • The Lions are 1-0 ATS when playing as at least three-point underdogs.

When the Colts Have the Ball

  • The Lions defense has allowed 27.5 points per game this season. The Colts have scored 26.2 points per game.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Indianapolis is 3-0 and 2-1 against the spread.
  • Detroit is 3-1 overall and 3-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 27.5 points.
  • The Lions defense has given up an average of 380.5 yards per game this season– 17.3 yards more than the 363.2 the Colts offense has averaged. The Colts pick up 5.9 yards per play while the Lions allow 5.8 per play.
  • In contests where the Indianapolis offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 0-2 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • When the Detroit defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • The Lions defense has given up an average of 131.8 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That is 33.8 more yards than the Colts have gained running the football (98).
  • In games where the Indianapolis rushing attack runs for at least their season average this season, the Colts are 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • When Detroit holds opposing teams to 131.8 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall.
  • The Lions have forced an average of 1.2 turnovers per game, equal to the 1.2 times Colts have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.2 times or fewer this season, Indianapolis is 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • Detroit is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall this season when they force at least 1.2 turnovers in a game.

When the Lions Have the Ball

  • The Lions put up 6.8 more points per game (26) than the Colts surrender (19.2).
  • When Detroit records at least 26 points, it is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • Indianapolis has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 3-0 record overall in games when it surrenders 26.2 points or less.
  • The Lions collect 66.2 more yards per game (354.2), than the Colts give up per contest (288). The Lions average 5.6 yards per play, while the Colts give up 4.8 per play.
  • Indianapolis has a 3-1 record ATS and a 3-1 record overall when holding its opponents to 288 yards or less.
  • This season, the Lions rush for 20.2 more yards per game (108.5) than the Colts allow per contest (88.3).
  • When Detroit rushes for at least 108.5 yards, it compiled a 1-1 ATS record and a 1-1 overall record.
  • Indianapolis is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to 88.3 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Lions turn the ball over just 0.7 times per game, one fewer turnover per game than the 1.7 the Colts force on average.
  • Detroit has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall when it turns the ball over 0.7 times or less.
  • This season, Indianapolis has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.7 turnovers.

Colts Players to Watch

  • Philip Rivers has 1,598 passing yards (266.3 yards per game), seven touchdowns, and six interceptions and has a 69.7% completion percentage this year (138-of-198).
  • Rookie Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 367 yards on 89 attempts (61.2 yards per game) and three touchdowns in six games. He also averages 27 receiving yards per game, grabbing 16 passes for 162 yards.
  • In six games, Jordan Wilkins has rushed for 94 yards on 29 carries (15.7 ypg).
  • T.Y. Hilton has grabbed 20 passes for 242 yards. He has been targeted 37 times and averages 40.3 yards per game over six outings.
  • Zach Pascal has also contributed with 198 yards on 16 catches with two touchdowns. He has been targeted 28 times and puts up 33 receiving yards per game in six matchups this year.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has caught 11 passes on 14 targets for 194 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 38.8 yards per game in 2020.
  • Justin Houston has 3.5 sacks, four 4.0 TFL, and 10 tackles over six games.
  • Anthony Walker has collected 39 tackles, a TFL, and one interception this season.
  • Xavier Rhodes has two interceptions, 12 tackles, and eight passes defended six in games this season.

Lions Players to Watch

  • This year, Matt Stafford has recorded 1,580 passing yards (263.3 yards per game) while going 127-for-204 (62.3% completion percentage) and throwing 10 touchdowns and four interceptions in six games. He has added a 67 rushing yards on 16 carries, averaging 11.2 yards per game.
  • Adrian Peterson has 314 rushing yards (52.3 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns in his first year with Detroit.
  • Rookie D’Andre Swift has added 185 rushing yards on 35 carries (30.8 yards per game), with four touchdowns on the ground. He also has 20 catches for 152 yards (25.3 per game) and one touchdown.
  • This season, Kenny Golladay has 20 catches (28 targets) for 338 yards (84.5 per game) and two touchdowns in four games.
  • Danny Amendola has added 15 catches for 270 yards, averaging 45 receiving yards per game.
  • T.J. Hockenson has racked up 256 yards on 22 passes with four touchdowns, averaging 42.7 yards per game on 31 targets.
  • Romeo Okwara has four sacks, five TFL, and 15 tackles over six games.
  • Tracy Walker has racked up 37 tackles and three TFL so far this year.
  • Duron Harmon has two interceptions, 22 tackles, and four passes defended six in games this season.

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