Colts vs. Browns: NFL Betting Preview – October 11, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 6, 2020 - Last Updated on October 9, 2020

The 3-1 Indianapolis Colts play the 3-1 Cleveland Browns on Sunday, October 11 at FirstEnergy Stadium. Both teams are on three-game winning streaks, and Indianapolis is favored by one points against Cleveland. The contest’s point total is set at 48.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 9. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Colts games this season average a total of 39.8, which is 7.7 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The average total for Browns games is 62.5 points– 15 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Colts games have gone over 47.5 points on zero occasions this season.
  • In three games this season, the Browns have combined with their opponents to go over 47.5 points.
  • These two teams score a combined average of 56.8 points per game, 9.3 points higher than the total for this matchup.
  • The Colts score the 18th-most points in the NFL this season, while the Browns’ offense score the fourth-most.
  • These teams allow a combined 45.5 points per game, two fewer points than this over/under.
  • Indianapolis is the league’s top-ranked scoring defense while Cleveland is the 27th-ranked.

Colts Betting Insights

  • Indianapolis’ games have gone over the point total in one out of four outings this season.
  • Indianapolis has put together a 3-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Colts are 3-1 ATS when favored by at least 2.5 points.

Browns Betting Insights

  • Three of Cleveland’s four games this year have gone over the point total.
  • Cleveland has put together a 2-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Browns have a split ATS record of 1-1 when an underdog by at least 2.5 points.

Colts vs Browns: Last 5 Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, Indianapolis owns a 4-1 record against Cleveland.
  • Indianapolis has outscored Cleveland 102 points to 98 in the past five contests.
Colts vs Browns: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
9/24/2017 Colts 346-335 CLE 31-28 IND
12/7/2014 Browns 362-248 IND 25-24 IND
10/21/2012 Colts 321-319 IND 17-13 IND
9/18/2011 Colts 27-19 CLE
11/30/2008 Browns 10-6 IND

When the Colts Have the Ball

  • The Colts average 25.8 points per game this season– 5.7 fewer than the 31.5 the Browns have given up in each contest.
  • In games where Indianapolis scores at least 25.8 points this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • Cleveland is 2-0 overall and 1-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 31.5 points.
  • The Colts offense averages 360.2 total yards per game this season– 41 yards fewer than the 401.2 allowed by the Browns defense.
  • The Colts average 5.5 yards per play while the Browns allow 5.6 per play.
  • When Indianapolis totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 overall.
  • When the Cleveland defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season, they are 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • The Colts average 115.2 yards per game on the ground this season, 24.4 yards more than the Browns allow to opposing rushing attacks (90.8).
  • When Indianapolis rushes for at least 115.2 yards this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • When Cleveland limits opposing teams to 90.8 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 1-1 against the spread and 2-0 overall.
  • This season, the Browns force an average of 2.5 turnovers per game, compared to the 0.8 times Colts turn the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they don’t turn the football over this season, Indianapolis is 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • Cleveland is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall this season when they force at least 2.5 turnovers in a game.

When the Browns Have the Ball

  • The Browns average 17 more points per game (31) than the Colts give up (14).
  • When Cleveland scores at least 31 points, they are 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 overall.
  • Indianapolis has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall in games when they hold their opponents to 25.8 points or less.
  • The Browns average 150.8 more yards per game (387) than the Colts allow per contest (236.2). The Browns average 5.9 yards per play, while the Colts allow 4.4 per play.
  • In games where Indianapolis limits its opponents to 236.2 or fewer yards, it has a 1-0 record ATS and a 1-0 record overall.
  • This season, the Browns average 204.5 yards per game on the ground– 127.5 more per game than the Colts allow per contest (77).
  • Cleveland has a 1-1 ATS record and a 2-0 overall record when the team runs for at least 204.5 yards.
  • Indianapolis is 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 overall when holding opponents to 77 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Browns turn the ball over one time per game, 0.8 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.8 the Colts force on average.
  • Cleveland has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 3-0 record overall when it turns the ball over one time or less.
  • When forcing 1.8 or more turnovers, Indianapolis has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall.

Colts Players to Watch

  • Philip Rivers has thrown for 984 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions on 72.7% completion (246.0 yards per game).
  • Rookie Jonathan Taylor leads the Colts with 250 yards on 65 attempts (62.5 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in four games. He also averages 22.5 receiving yards per game, grabbing 10 passes for 90 yards.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has 11 receptions with 194 yards and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 13 times and averages 48.5 yards per game over four outings.
  • T.Y. Hilton has caught 13 passes for 162 yards, averaging 40.5 receiving yards per game (22 targets).
  • In four games, Zach Pascal has caught 10 passes on 19 targets for 129 yards and a touchdown, averaging 32.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Justin Houston has notched a team-leading 3.5 sacks, while adding four TFL and nine tackles over four games.
  • This season, Darius Leonard has collected a team-high 27 tackles and two TFL.
  • Xavier Rhodes has intercepted two passes, added six tackles, and defended five passes in four games.

Browns Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 729 yards while completing 62.6% of his passes (72-of-115), with seven touchdowns and two interceptions in four games this year (182.3 yards per game).
  • Kareem Hunt has 275 rushing yards (68.8 yards per game) and three touchdowns in four games.
  • D’Ernest Johnson added 100 rushing yards on 14 carries (25 yards per game) in the absence of Nick Chubb.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has been targeted 30 times for 16 catches and 236 yards (59 ypg) with three touchdowns in four games this season.
  • Jarvis Landry has 17 catches (19 targets) for 191 yards at 47.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Austin Hooper has caught 12 passes on 17 targets for 96 yards and one touchdown in his first year with Cleveland.
  • Myles Garrett has notched a league-high five sacks, while adding two TFL and 11 tackles over four games.
  • In 2020, B.J. Goodson has recorded 26 tackles and one interception.
  • This season, Denzel Ward leads the team with one interception and has added 12 tackles and six passes defended four in games.

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