Colorado At Kansas Odds, Picks, Predictions: Will Jayhawks Tally College Football Upset?
As the conversation around College Football Playoff seeding intensifies, there’s plenty at stake in this Big 12 clash between No. 16 Colorado and Kansas. Deion Sanders’ bunch is outside looking in but can clinch a berth in the conference title game with a road win, as long as BYU and Utah nab the same outcome. The Buffs are Colorado Buffaloes +16.5 (-112) on DraftKings favorites, and the total is 59.5 (-108) on BetRivers. Let’s assess the odds for Colorado at Kansas to determine if there’s any value.
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colorado at kansas: spread, moneyline, total
Buy-Low, Sell-High Spot?
Colorado is an 8-2 against-the-spread gravy train, tied for the third-best cover rate (80%) in college football betting. Two-way star Travis Hunter, favored among Heisman Trophy odds, has led the Buffs to four straight victories, cashing spread tickets in each matchup.
Conversely, the Jayhawks started the season going 1-5 straight up. Their lone win came against Lindwood, and they failed to cover a single spread over that span. Nevertheless, they only suffered one loss by more than a touchdown. Skip ahead to mid-November, and Kansas has lived up to the spoiler role, covering its last four games versus Houston, Kansas State, Iowa State, and BYU.
‘Rock Chalk’ With Offensive Edge
Dual-threat quarterback Jalon Daniels has rebounded from a back injury that sidelined him last season. He’s led the Jayhawks to a top-20 ranking in both EPA per play and success rate.
Kansas’ offensive improvement starts with controlling the line of scrimmage, accumulating the sixth-most adjusted line yards across Division I. Although Colorado has drastically refined the defense from Sanders’ first year in Boulder, the defensive front isn’t elite, ranking 55th in stuff rate.
Jayhawks offensive coordinator Jeff Grimes uses a slow tempo (107th in plays per minute), ultimately churning the clock and aiding the underdog if its prowess on the ground continues with stud tailback Devin Neal.
As many highlights as the Buffs’ offense has spun together with Hunter and Shedeur Sanders, it’s overpriced in the market. It’s ranked 42nd in EPA per play, 44th in success rate, and 50th in explosiveness.
To boot, Kansas is set up to neutralize Colorado’s passing attack with reliable corners in Cobee Bryant and Mello Dotson. This supports why the Jayhawks are an intriguing upset pick in an ideal situational spot at Arrowhead Stadium.
Final Thoughts
I’ve only bet on a handful of college football contests this year, going 4-1 (+2.90 units). Let’s tack on another with Kansas. Join our free sports betting Discord channel to receive instant notifications whenever I place a bet.
Below is my wager on Jayhawks +3 (-105). The key number of a field goal is available, albeit juiced, at BetMGM Sportsbook.
watch: betting preview for Colorado at Kansas odds
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