Texas vs. LSU Odds, Picks, and Prediction for Nov. 14: Hook em’ Horns!

In a huge SEC matchup on Saturday with major CFP implications, the LSU Tigers host the Texas Longhorns. In this Texas vs. LSU prediction, we will lay out the latest odds, betting trends, key stats, game info, and some great value prop bets.
No. 6 Texas (7-2) is currently in the CFP, but that may change with a loss in Baton Rouge this Saturday. They have won three in a row, with two wins against ranked teams, after two straight losses.
No. 21 LSU (6-3) is currently on the outside looking in, and their CFP chances are likely cooked if they lose this game. They are coming off a bad 31-13 loss to Alabama, and the Tigers desperately need a win.
Texas vs. LSU Odds
Here are the odds for this SEC battle at FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Texas +3.5 (+100) / LSU -3.5 (-120)
- Moneyline: Texas (+146) / LSU (-176)
- Total (Over/Under): Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110)
In this game, LSU is the favorite, and to win the bet and cover the spread, they must win by 4 or more points. For Texas to cover the spread, they have to win outright or lose by 3 points or less.
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- Texas is 3-0 SU in their last three games.
- They have covered the spread in their last three games after failing to do so in the five games before that.
- This is their first game as an underdog this season.
- They have an Under record of 5-3 in their last eight games.
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Texas started the season with Arch Manning as the focal point of the offense, and he was the Heisman favorite. He has shown some flashes this season but is nowhere near a Heisman candidate, but does have three TDs and no picks in each of the last two games. The team is led by a defense that ranks 18th in the nation, giving up 17.4 ppg.
The Longhorns need a solid defensive effort today, as they rank outside the top 105 in the nation in passing and rushing yards per game. However, the run game has been solid, as lead RB Raleek Brown has 346 yards from scrimmage and three TDs in the three-game win streak.
LSU Betting Trends
- LSU is 2-3 SU in their last five games.
- They have been the favorite in every game this season.
- They have an Under record of 4-3 in their last seven games.
LSU also has a solid defense, ranking 17th in the nation, giving up an average of 17.9 ppg. However, in their two losses on the season facing top-10 teams, they gave up at least 31 points in each.
The Tigers rank 18th in the nation in scoring and fifth in passing yards per game, led by QB Sam Leavitt, who threw for seven TDs in two games before the Alabama game, where he had no TD, an INT, and was sacked four times. The sacks are a big issue, and that is not good for LSU, as they will be facing a healthy Colin Simmons, the best defensive player in the country, with 10.5 sacks in six games.
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Key Stats
Texas
- Points Per Game: 48th
- Opponents’ Points Per Game: 18th
LSU
- Points Per Game: Tied for 18th
- Opponents’ Points Per Game: Tied for 17th
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Texas vs. LSU Prediction: Texas +3.5
LSU is at home, and while they are more balanced than the Longhorns, they have lost both games against the top-10 teams they have faced this season. Texas is on a run, and their best player, Simmons, is healthy and ready to wreak havoc. I expect a close game here, and Texas will at least cover the spread.
More Texas vs. LSU Picks, Props and Best Bets
Here are some solid prop bets from the DraftKings sportsbook that we think offer good value.
- Raleek Brown anytime TD scorer: (+105, DraftKings) – In the last two games facing ranked teams, Brown has at least 17 carries and has scored one TD in each of the last three games.
- Arch Manning 220+ passing yards: (+140,DraftKings) – While Texas will run often, Manning will air it out as well, and he has passed for 220+ yards in the last two games and had 297 passing yards in the last game.
- Jackson Harris 71+ receiving yards: (-111, DraftKings) – Harris ranks 18th in the nation in receiving yards, has at least 166 in each of the last two games, and has 71+ receiving yards in each of the last three games.
For all the info you need for prop bets check out our prop betting guide.
Texas vs. LSU Broadcast Info
- Date: Saturday, November 14
- Start Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
- TV and Streaming Options: ABC