College Football Week 3: Purdue At Syracuse Odds

Written By Brett Gibbons on September 16, 2022
Purdue at Syracuse odds

If you like upset specials and weird teams, we have the perfect Week 3 matchup for you. Purdue (1-1) visits Syracuse (2-0) at the JMA Wireless Dome on Saturday, with kickoff scheduled for 12 p.m. ET. Below, we’ll look at Purdue at Syracuse odds and preview the matchup.

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Purdue At Syracuse Odds

College Football Week 3 odds for every game

Purdue At Syracuse Odds Movement

This line’s been all over the place. Teetering around a PK, both teams have been favored at some point, sometimes both at the same time at different books. You should already be line shopping, but this matchup is all about timing and line shopping to get the best price. The best available odds are:

  • Purdue
  • Syracuse

Expect this line to continue to flip flop. Both Purdue and Syracuse are located in legal betting states, although New Yorkers aren’t permitted to bet on in-state teams like Syracuse. (Note: Syracuse is the closest FBS team to most New Hampshire residents.)

The Carrier Dome JMA Wireless Dome: Where Dreams Go To Die

One of college football’s most unique features is strange venues like Georgia State’s Center Parc Credit Union Stadium (formerly the Braves’ own Turner Field), the Kibbie Dome, and the Carrier– uh– JMA Wireless Dome. Odd stadiums and stiff environments can often throw visiting teams off their rhythm. A recent example in Syracuse is Clemson, who is just 1-2 ATS in Syracuse in their last three games and includes an outright upset in 2017.

We’ve seen other teams fall flat this very season (Louisville, Week 1). It’s a tough place to play in a city off the beaten path– not dissimilar to Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, home of the visiting Purdue Boilermakers.

Does having their own trap stadium help Purdue weather the storm in Syracuse? Time will tell.

Styles Make Fights

This year’s Syracuse offense hangs their hat on workhorse running back Sean Tucker. After a 1,000-yard campaign in 2021, Tucker’s picked up 210 yards on 48 carries through two games. He’s complemented by Mississippi State transfer QB Garrett Shrader, a dual-threat who has 119 rushing yards and three TDs of his own (529 yards, five TDs through the air). The Orange have rushed the ball with the 19th-highest frequency so far this season (61.5%).

Conversely, Purdue has thrown the ball on 72.3% of plays this season, second-most in the country. And why wouldn’t they? QB Aidan O’Connell has 576 yards and five TDs on the season. Purdue struggled to throw on Penn State’s man coverage in Week 1, with just a 33.3% success rate; Syracuse held Louisville to 50% SR but only 6.3 yards per attempt when in man. That game plan called for a fairly even balance between man and zone coverage in that Week 1 game for ‘Cuse, but they may lean more into man coverage against Purdue.

The clash of styles will make for a good watch. Syracuse’s offensive style looks more akin to the Penn State offense that Purdue faced in Week 1. That game ended with drama and late-game heroics; while Penn State and Syracuse are two different teams, the styles prove they can end in fireworks.

Purdue at Syracuse Forecast

Given the flip-flopping of this line all week, I jumped on the opportunity to take Syracuse as an underdog earlier on. At home in a tough place to play and a style of offense that’s already beaten Purdue is a tempting bet with 1.5 points of breathing room.

As mentioned earlier, timing is everything. If you lean Purdue, you’ll want to scoop them up at a book that offers them as an underdog. If you side with Syracuse, look for a plus number for the Orange.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons