College Football Week 13 Picks: Rivalry Week Bets!

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 23, 2022
college football week 13 picks

Sadly, it’s the last week of the college football season. Luckily, that end comes on a high with rivalry week! Below for my college football Week 13 picks, I’m diving into some high-profile matchups like Auburn at Alabama, South Carolina at Clemson, and Oregon at Oregon State. With one more swing at the regular season fences, I’m looking for a strong week.

Bets after Week 12 tally a 30-24 record (56%) and have profited +4.56 units. Stay with us all season long for college football odds, and game previews.

College Football Week 13 Picks, Best Bets

To place a bet on any of the games below, click on their odds in the tables.

South Carolina at Clemson

What would this game line have been if South Carolina didn’t hang 63 points on Tennessee last week? My bet would be on more than 14.5 points. Spencer Rattler played the best game of his collegiate career and against Clemson’s top-25 passing defense (Tennessee was 90th), I don’t anticipate a repeat.

Letdown spots are tricky, but this is a classic one. What do the Gamecocks have left in the tank after last weekend? In letdown spots, I like to target first half lines as the team can come out flat, especially against a front like Clemson.

Aside from this being a rivalry game and at home for the Tigers, Clemson is still alive in the College Football Playoff race. I don’t expect Clemson to be peeking ahead to the ACC Championship Game against North Carolina just yet.

This bet, aside from situation, is majorly because I believe the market and power ratings alike overreacted to South Carolina this week. Don’t forget– this offense just the week before scored a grand total of six points on Florida. Inconsistency is the name of the game for South Carolina this year and I’m taking advantage of a buy-low opportunity in the first half for Clemson.

  • Brett’s Bet: Clemson first half -7.5 (-110), placed Nov. 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Oregon at Oregon State

Off the top: this bet is taking into account Bo Nix’s health in the game.

Oregon State is likely down starting QB Chance Nolan again, who hasn’t played since Oct. 1. This season, the biggest liability for opposing Oregon has been their pass defense, which ranks 127th in pass EPA. Nolan’s replacement Ben Gulbranson is far from an intimidating passer, throwing for under 150 yards as many times as he’s thrown for more than 200 (twice).

At this juncture in the season, Oregon is just a better product than their in-state rival. A seat at the Pac-12 Championship table is up for grabs and all the Ducks have to do is win this game, putting a lot of weight on this one.

An interesting note: Reser Stadium is currently undergoing grandstand renovations and can only seat around 28,000 at the moment. While those 28,000 seats will be full, environment just won’t be a factor here.

Oregon should take home the Platypus Cup with a comfortable win here.

  • Brett’s Bet: Oregon -3 (-110), placed Nov. 23 at FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Best Available Number: Oregon ()

Auburn at Alabama

One win stands between Auburn and bowl eligibility. What an accomplishment for Carnell “Cadillac” Williams that would be considering the depths that this Tigers team sunk this season. This spot is something I’m targeting all weekend long– a team one win away from bowl eligibility versus a team with not much to lose aside from pride.

In this case, Alabama’s out of the SEC Championship Game and likely the College Football Playoff race. All they have left to play for is pride.

Enter a scrappy Auburn team led by a passionate legend of the program who knows the Iron Bowl well. Cadillac is leaning into his expertise since taking over; Auburn is rushing the football with the second-highest frequency of any non-service academy in the country over their last three games (67%!). Persistent teams like the Tigers have found success running on Alabama, most recently LSU and Ole Miss.

That’s not to say Auburn is going to shock Alabama. They may not even have a game like last year given the circumstances. But I do expect them to play keep away and run the ball often. That makes it hard to fully separate in a half, especially in the first half where Auburn is going to have fresh legs and energy.

The full game line is set around 22 points, spotting us an extra 1.5 points in the first half line– something that’s been fixed at some books, but not all.

  • Brett’s Bet: Auburn first half +12.5 (-110), placed Nov. 23 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons